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Month: February 2019

These Charts Show You Whether Fed’s Reversal Has Pre-Empted a Crash

The Fed announced at its January meeting that “they panicking” (apologies to Trading Places) and that neither rate increases nor the shrinkage of the balance sheet are on autopilot any longer. The Fed says it will adjust both as the economy and “financial conditions,” aka the stock market, dictate.

So far, neither has given them an excuse to loosen, although the economic priesthood and the Wall Street captured media have repeatedly characterized the economy as “softening.”  Softening is not the same as shrinking. That’s what the Fed is looking for. Although mostly it’s worried about a stock market decline. No sign of that lately either.

The question before us now is whether the Fed’s change in approach will pre-empt the crash I’ve been expecting. Here’s the answer, and I show you exactly why that is.

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Gold Bus Heads For Rest Stop

Gold broke out and then pulled back. There’s a number that it must hold to keep the trend bullish.

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The Last Best Hope for Bearkind

The Fed is on crack, so it’s hard to follow Rule Number One: Don’t fight the Fed. We don’t know what the Fed will do, and neither do they.  The tape rules, and the numbers say that the market is going higher. Here are the charts and tables that show how much higher, and how much longer, plus a recommendation for how to make money from it.

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Did The Fed Just Send The Market On The Greatest Misdirection Play Ever?

It has been 4 weeks since the government shutdown ended, not enough time for any official economic data on the post shutdown period.

But we have data. Boy do we have data! It’s the daily tax collections data. And what it is showing is simply amazing. Post shutdown withholding tax collections have gone through the roof.

Here’s what it could mean.

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Two Mining Stock Picks as Gold Looks Good -LINK CORRECTED

Gold’s uptrend is intact, with the potential to move higher.  We have a couple of mining stock selections that look good.

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Try Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader, including the Gold and Mining Stock Trader risk free for 90 days!  Prelaunch special. Subscribe now for 10% off posted prices. Your order will be adjusted upon completion. Renewals will be at the discounted rate. Start saving and following the money right now! 

If The Bear’s Glove Don’t Fit, You Must Acquit

The bear is near death. Here’s what to look for to determine whether he lives or dies, and whether you should be buying calls or puts for your next trade.

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This Chart Shows Why Dealer Positions Are a Catastrophe in the Making

The Primary Dealers are in trouble, demonstrably worse trouble than they were in just before the September 2008 stock market crash.

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After Hitting Projections, Here’s Where To Buy GDX

Short term cycles have entered down phases on gold and the precious metals stocks. GDX looks promising but only under a certain condition delineated in this report.

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Show Me The Money, The Big Money, Before You Talk Bull

Just because the Fed uttered a few comforting words to the market doesn’t mean that we are out of the woods. Talk is cheap. Money talks. Fed BS walks. Show me the money, the big money, then we’ll talk about a potentially bullish scenario. Because as of now, it’s not there.

This report will show you exactly why both stocks and bonds are riding for a fall, and will give you a good idea of exactly what to do about it.