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Here’s How Light Treasury Supply In April and May Create Selling Opportunities in Bonds and Stocks

Treasury Supply Trend. See full size chart in the report.

Short term rates in the Treasury money markets have remained near their highs despite the Fed announcing a less tight monetary policy, and despite a big reduction in Treasury supply over the past month.

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Gold Launch Pad Right Where Needed

Gold’s launch from support is a positive sign. I have added 3 more toe-in-the-water mining picks after the last group was stopped out.

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Here Are the Targets Market Has Set Its Sights On

The market is setting its sights on new highs, but there are reasons to believe that it might not make it. I have added tight trailing stops to protect the profit in last week’s SPY call purchase recommendation.

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Here’s Why It’s a Make or Break Week for Bears, But Bulls Too

This is a make or break week for both stock market bulls and bears. Futures exploded higher in the wee hours, making it appear that the path of least resistance is up. If this sticks, it will be an intermediate term bullish confirmation. However, if it does not stick, the bears could gradually gain the upper hand. It’s only 4:30 AM NY time as I write this, and the pre market is the pre market. Let’s see where we are at 4:00PM.

Meanwhile, we have a new conditional SPY call buy recommendation. Here’s what needs to happen to trigger the trade.

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As Fed Balance Sheet Shrinks, Speculative Bank Lending Soars

The Fed’s balance sheet is shrinking, but bank lending for speculative purposes has soared. That is supporting financial asset price inflation. That’s dangerous. This report shows how it works, and why you should be concerned.

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Here’s What Gold Needs to Do to Improve the Odds

There’s a critical price level that gold needs to cross to signal that it will ultimately break out to the upside in a new bull market upleg. Meanwhile, I have added another mining stock pick. We now have 3 toes in the water for a move to the upside, with stops of course!

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S&P 500 Call Option was Sold and Put was Bought as Stock Market Outlook Turned Darker

The previous week’s “as good as it gets” played out last week, with a failed breakout through major resistance. But bears still need more to prove their case. The jury is still considering the evidence. This report shows it to you.

Meanwhile, our SPY call trade from 2 weeks ago was stopped out with a 65% profit on Wednesday. A conditional SPY put trade was triggered when the trigger condition was met with 5 minutes left in the trading day on Friday. I have updated that trade to include stop levels and an S&P price target.

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