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Month: June 2020

The VIrus is the Economy

The Virus Is the Economy

Lee Adler

Common sense says that as case numbers increase, tax collections would fall and vice versa, REGARDLESS of whether governments imposed lockdowns. So my expectation was that as governors across the country lifted restrictions, case numbers would rise, and tax collections would fall.

Well here we are.

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Act on real-time reality!

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Gold Breaks Out, or Does It?

Lee Adler

Gold has edged above resistance this morning. Is it a breakout, and if so, what does it mean? This report has answers and a few mining picks to dig.

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Early, But It’s a Potential Crash Setup Again

Lee Adler

There are no guarantees in this game. Crashes are extremely rare events. But these are extreme times, and this particular setup calls for extreme caution.

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As Bad As Next Week Will Be

Lee Adler

The imbalance between Fed QE and Treasury supply is ugly as as it gets for the next week, but then it gets less ugly. Here’s what you need to know and how you need to see it to trade successfully.

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Here’s What Could Start a New Gold Rush

Lee Adler

Gold is poised for a breakout. Here’s what to look for and a couple new mining picks to swing.

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Beware of the Rub That Will Irritate Markets

Lee Adler

We know that total liquidity is still growing. The Fed is still printing and pumping money into the system at an historic rate. That rate is well above the norms of the original QE back in 2009-10, but well below the peak panic levels of March and April. The Fed has been dialing it back from the extreme pumping it reached at the market bottom in March.

Ay, but theres’s a rub, and it’s not barbecue. It’s an irritant. And the markets won’t like it.

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Wild, Woolly, Illiquid

Lee Adler

Last week was wild and wooly. The volatility suggests illiquidity, which at this stage is not bullish. It’s consistent with the idea I’ve espoused in Liquidity Trader reports that the Fed not supplying sufficient liquidity to support an uptrend.

But the technical stuff says, “Ay! Not so fast!”

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These Real Time Charts Show US Economy Contracting Again in June

Lee Adler

The data is noisy, and week to week the changes may not mean much. But in some weeks, it’s obvious that it’s part of a bigger trend, whether confirming or indicating change. Even if there are just hints, this information can be incredibly useful. It is useful because it tells us exactly what the big picture is, while Wall Street economists are still scratching their asses and trying to figure out what the government statistician manipulated data means. And the first report from that data is still 13 days away.

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IF YOU WANT TO KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENIN NOW, before even the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days!

Act on real-time reality!

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Macro Liquidity Ain’t Bullish, and Will Get Worse

Lee Adler

Primary dealers have been gradually paying down their outstanding repo loans from the Fed, just as we have long expected. This has momentous implications for the stock and bond markets.

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Swinging the Picks While Boring for Gold

Lee Adler

Gold prospectors look for the mother lode on the range.  There are a couple of mining picks for them to swing.

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