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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader- Money Trends

How Fed and Treasury policy, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity, interact to drive the financial markets. Focus on trend direction of US bonds and stocks. Resulting market strategy and tactical ideas. 4-5 in depth reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Monthly Treasury Data Confirms Slower Growth- Bullish!

Federal revenues softened in December. That could be just a blip, or it could be the first signs of a looming recession. It’s bullish if it is, and bullish if it isn’t. Here’s why everything is bullish.

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Is It Bullish When the Fed Hits 99 Percent Monetization

The Fed has monetized 99 percent of the Federal Debt since it started Not QE. That’s been bullish.  Here’s what to look for and how to position, going forward.

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Risks Are Huge – Creeping Signs that Fed is Losing Control

There are growing signs in the banking system that the Fed will lose control, and this won’t end well.

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Federal Revenues Grew Slower, Spending Faster in December

Federal tax collections were a bit softer in December than in recent months, but overall were in the same growth path as throughout the past year. That signals that the US economy isn’t doing much differently than the pace it has been for the past several years. Here’s why that’s still bad news, and what you should do about it.

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Ten Year Yield At Critical Juncture Could Signal Big Trouble, or Not

Circumstantial evidence suggests that the Primary Dealers are in big trouble. The 10 year yield holds the key. Here’s what to look for.

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Here’s Why You Should be Very Worried That Treasury Market Stunk in December

The conditions were optimal for a big rally in Treasuries, but it didn’t happen, and that’s bad news.

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Here’s Why The Fed is Trapped

The Fed can never leave QE. Here’s why, and what it means for you.

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Boffo Federal Revenues in December, But Deficit Was Insanely Huge

Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. But Trump runs the Federal Goverment the way he ran his casinos into the ground.

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The Question is WHY Aren’t Stocks and Bonds Doing even BETTER!

That’s the question of the hour as the Fed pumps money into the financial markets at a record pace. Here’s what’s important about that.

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Straight Faced Powell Says Don’t Call It QE, But We Do

In 2½ months the Fed replaced what it took 8 months to drain off between January and August 2019. But Lying Jerry says, “It’s not QE!”

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