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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader- Money Trends

How Fed and Treasury policy, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity, interact to drive the financial markets. Focus on trend direction of US bonds and stocks. Resulting market strategy and tactical ideas. 4-5 in depth reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Everything Looks Great When the US Treasury Pumps Cash Into the Market

The US Treasury continues to pay down T-Bills. That puts cash back into the accounts of the dealers and investors that had held the securities that are being redeemed. That, in turn, continues to stoke demand for longer dated notes and bonds. It has also contributed to the demand for stocks.

In the short run, all this cash makes everything look great, but don’t be misled. Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, June 25 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

We Knew the Treasury Paydowns Would Be Bullish, But What Now?

Last month in the Treasury Supply update (May 16) I wrote that the debt ceiling would continue to force the Treasury to pay down debt, short term T-bills in particular. I said that the paydowns “will continue until the end of Q2. That’s bullish for bonds, and possibly for stocks.”

But then I said that the picture changes radically in Q3. And that has not changed. Here’s what’s happened so far, what’s likely for the third quarter, and then the big change that’s coming. Having this information will help you to continue to take advantage of the market’s big move, and to be ready for when and how it’s likely to change.

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One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free if you subscribe today! 

Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  Join by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Saturday, June 22 and get the first month free. Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

 

Federal Budget Data is a Bad News-Bad News Story

Tax collections were strong in May except for a dip that coincided with the Nonfarm Payrolls survey. Here’s why that’s unequivocally bad news for the markets and why you need to get ready for a delayed shock reaction.

Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free if you subscribe today! 

Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  New subscribers can join by 5:00 PM Pacific Time Friday, June 14 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Short Term Positive Liquidity, Long Term Scary

View this and all charts full size, full resolution in the report.
View charts full size and full resolution in the report.

The Composite Liquidity Indicator remains near a record extreme, and that’s scary. Here’s what you need to know.

Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 5 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, June 12 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Federal Tax Data for May Says Beware of Jobs Surprise

Tax collections suggest jobs and other economic data for May will surprise the market.

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One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free. 

Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days!

Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. 

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, June 4 and get the first month free!

This offer applies to first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date. The first 90 days from initial signup are risk free for first time subscribers.

Fed Balance Sheet Pressure Is Building But Camouflaged

The Fed’s balance sheet shrank sharply over the past 4 weeks. So it’s no surprise that the stock market rally sputtered. But what’s going on out of view could make things much worse later this year.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 5 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, May 28 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Primary Dealer Positions Bulging, Bloated, and Overstuffed, Could Explode

Primary Dealer positions are record long, record leveraged, and record dangerous.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, May 22 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Ticking Time Bomb In The Treasury Market Could Blow Up The World

The Treasury market will look very bullish for a little while. But the aftermath of the forces that look bullish now, will be terrible. Here’s why.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Monday, May 20 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Treasury Boosts Market With Paydowns Now, But You’ll Be the One Paying the Piper Later

The US Treasury is playing games that make the stock and bond markets look good now. But here’s why you’ll be the one stuck with the bill later, in the form of falling prices.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  

Federal Budget Data Reveals Growth But Hides Ticking Time Bomb

Withholding Tax Chart - Full sized in report

Tax collections for April and real time data into early May showed a strong economy until last week. Then something went wrong.

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One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free for first time subscribers if you subscribe today! 

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  Choose from 3 services or try all 3! Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Monday, May 13 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

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