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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Loads of Buy Signals with Good Setups

Lee Adler

Current screens yielded 488 short-term buys and 174 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 92 buys and 29 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

I reviewed the charts. The sell side setups were problematic and I chose to add no shorts. There were numerous, solid setups on the buy side, and I chose to add 7 and stopped about half way through the list. With these additions, there will be 23 open picks to start this week which is more than enough. Non-subscribers click here for access.

As of October 14 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 5.8%, down from + 7% the previous week, on an average holding period of 26 calendar days, up from an average of 25 days.  Picks closed in September had an average gain of 1.6% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days.  Picks closed so far in October had an average gain of +5.2% on an average holding period of 29 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Round Number Syndrome

Lee Adler

The market is closing in on the round number target of 6000 that we had foreseen as early as last February. At the same time, there are early signs that we don’t want to squeeze the lemon too hard. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Short term cycles turned up last week. There’s a projection of xxxx on the 6-8 week cycles. A 13-week cycle high is ideally due xxxxxxxx xx. The 13-week cycle projection still points to xxxxxx.

However, the 3-4 year cycle indicator has edged to the sell side. That does not mean that a decline is imminent, but it suggests that the beginning of top formation is at hand. Typically, 4 year cycle tops take xxxxx months to build and break down. That allows for xxxxxx xxxxxx in the xxxx term.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Gold Says, Not So Fast!

Lee Adler

Gold looks like it has enough gas in the tank for one more rally. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

So I have added new mining picks to swing. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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We’re Now Week to Week for this Bull

Lee Adler

Market rallies continue to be well supported by adequate liquidity, but the end is drawing closer. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

There are forces that could begin to hamper the price uptrend around the end of October. The first one is a large Treasury coupon issuance that will suck up liquidity at the end of the month. It will be interesting to see to what extent buyers use repo to fund the absorption of that paper. If they opt not to on balance, prices will fall and yields will rise. That could lead to problems for other asset prices. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Meanwhile, the issuance of T-bills will moderate because the Treasury has excess cash on hand. T-bills serve as perfect collateral for repo borrowing that supports both economic activity and asset price speculation. They are instantly convertible into money. As long as animal spirits are raging, speculators and others will borrow against those bills and the money will get spent on goods, services, and asset speculation. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

We have seen that the more T-bill issuance the merrier. We might guess then, that any reduction in bill issuance might hamper that speculative impulse. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

A big source of money supporting the stock market rally has been the Fed’s RRP slush fund facility. It has been steadily spent down for the past 18 months. It rebuilt by a couple hundred billion at the end of the third quarter (window dressing), and hasn’t dropped back as sharply as I guessed last week it would. There’s still around $325 billion in that facility. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

That’s money that can be used to fund asset purchases, including Treasuries and stocks. If that facility xxxxxx xxxxxxxx, it means that money is being used to xxxxxxx xxxxxxx, other xxxxxx xxxxxxxx, xxx stocks. We have long seen a correlation between declining RRPs outstanding and rising stock prices as holders of the RRPs use the money to buy stocks at the margin. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

At some point that facility will run dry, either in absolute terms, or when the last holders decide that they’re not going anywhere. That will happen in xxxx months. When it does, it should be bearish. For asset prices to continue rising, investors, dealers, and traders will need to fund purchases out of other cash and borrowing. With the constant barrage of Treasury supply it will be a tall order to maintain rising prices. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Finally, there’s the issue of whether stocks are overbought relative to total money. In terms of bank deposits only, the answer is xxxxxx. But in terms of total available money, it’s xxxxxxxxx. It was in June, but that has xxxxxxx. So we’re waiting for a more definitive sign that animal spirits are xxxxxxxxx. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Given the degrees of extension that we’ve seen in the past 6 months, any rollover in these measures now is likely to signal a major market peak. We’re not there yet, but it is week to week. I’ll keep you updated when the first signs appear.  Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Lots of Sell Signals Again

Lee Adler

As of October 7 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 7.0% down from + 9.9% the previous week, on an average holding period of 25 calendar days, down from an average of 28 days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 228 short-term buys and an incredible 453 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 48 buys and 104 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed the charts. Setups on both sides were meh. I only found 1 pick on each side that I liked enough to add to the list. Non-subscribers click here for access.

3 picks hit stops since our last look. 2 will be closed at today’s open. I am letting the rest of the existing picks ride, with added or adjusted stops in some cases. Including the new picks, that will leave 16 open picks. I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Moderating Bullish Outlook

Lee Adler

A 13-week cycle high is ideally due xxxxx xx. The 13-week cycle projection now points to xxxxx, which is a little lower than last week’s projection but still xxxxxxxx from here. The target is doable within xxx xxxxx time xxxxxx. The next down phase should be xxxxx, and should lead to at least a minor xxxxxxxx. A new 6-month cycle projection points to xxxxxx due in xxxxxxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Get Your Red Hots Here

Lee Adler

Withholding tax collections grew strongly in September. They weren’t alone. Other taxes also showed very strong growth. There’s no evidence of economic slowing. Every real time tax measure points to a rapidly growing economy right through October 1. The Fed is easing monetary conditions into a red hot environment. A rapidly growing economy coupled with Fed easing is a recipe for xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx . Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

If revenue continues this red-hot growth, it’s even possible that the November TBAC forecast will show at least a small reduction in expected Treasury supply. That’s something to keep in mind with the 10-year Treasury Yield breaking its 6-month downtrend today. This is a shift toward greater bearishness that I think is reasonable, but that could xxxxxxxxxxxx…

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Signs that This Might Be the End for Gold 10/2/24

Lee Adler

Gold has met the resistance. It’s now consolidating. Short-term cycle lows are due xxxxxxxxx xxxxx xxxx. Then they’ll try again. But the 13-17 week cycle projection has xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx. We need to be alert for signs of top building.  We’ll call em as we sees em. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Meanwhile I have added stops to our swinging miners picks.

Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Ignoring a Flood of Sell Signals

Lee Adler

As of September 30 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 9.9% up from + 7.4% the previous week, on an average holding period of 28 calendar days, up from an average of 22 days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 265 short-term buys and an incredible 749 short-term sells, which was more than half the total number of stocks that met price and volume minimums. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 38 buys and 90 sells. Is that a lot? Yes.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed the charts, but once again, given the ongoing bullishness of the broad market analysis I was looking for airtight setups on the short side, if such a thing exists. I didn’t see anything resembling that. My impression is that these charts are not clear-cut shorts. Either these are false starts, or too early. I reluctantly added 3 that I felt had the best risk/reward setups, just to dip a toe in the bearish waters.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Balancing that, I found 3 charts that I liked on the buy side and I’m adding those.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

1 pick was dropped from the list since our last look, as shown. I am letting the rest of the existing picks ride, with added or adjusted stops in some cases. Including the new picks, that will leave 19 open picks. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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The Longer This Goes On, The More Fragile It Becomes

Lee Adler

Market rallies have been well supported by adequate, self generated liquidity. But that’s about to change in October, particularly late October. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

There are a couple of things to watch. One is that …

That prop now goes away until xxxxxxxxxxx. Investors will need to use debt to absorb the immense wave of Treasury supply that’s on the way.

The other factor is that ……. That will give us a better idea of when …………………………. will stop acting as a prop for asset prices.

I continue to estimate that it will ……………………. in late ………. or xxxxxxxxxx.  The longer this goes on, the more fragile the system becomes.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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