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Whipsaw Warning: Technical Trader Repositions for First Leg of New Bear Market

March swing trades still closed with a +6% average gain, but last week’s failure triggered a full reset. Two new shorts survived the screen.

This week’s Technical Trader swing trade report from Liquidity Trader marks a rare full-system stop-out — not just on individual names, but across the board.

“Spectacular failures like last week’s don’t happen often. But when they do, they almost always signal a major trend change.” — Lee Adler

After a strong February–March downleg and timely profit-taking, the model rotated long — only to get caught in one of the most abrupt signal breakdowns in years.

The result:

  • All open longs closed

  • Two new short picks added, even after last week’s hard selloff

  • Cycle Wave screens flipped short, with the typical lag seen at the start of major bear phases

The lag isn’t a flaw — it’s intentional. The indicators in this model are deliberately tuned to avoid reacting to short-term, news-driven noise. That means missing the first thrust of a new move is an accepted tradeoff for avoiding the kind of churn that wrecks capital over time.

Even after last week’s whipsaw, the model still posted +6% average gains per trade in March, while long-only portfolios based on the S&P 500 were down nearly 6% for the month.

Now the focus shifts:

  • Preservation turns to repositioning

  • Rebounds become entry points

  • Short exposure will scale as setups align

One thing I’ve learned from actively watching the tape since 1967:
The trend really is our friend — but only if we know what it is.
That’s why we don’t fight the tape. We align with it.



Institutional Access

If you’re managing capital and not yet positioned for this move, these reports lay out concrete steps to get there — quickly, and for as long as the setup lasts.

The Technical Trader report delivers swing trade setups aligned with the dominant trend — long or short. Sometimes it’s one position. Sometimes it’s twenty. But every name earns its place.

You can request a complimentary review copy (for qualified professionals), or subscribe here to receive it weekly.

One report. One decision. One position at a time, or twenty. Technical Trader Swing Trade Screen Selections stand ready to assist.

In sync with the dominant trend.

Liquidity Trader Swing Trade Selections and Performance – March 31, 2025

Subscribers: Download the full report here

Liquidity Trader’s long/short swing trade selection screens are now posted.

 Non subscribers here for access.  

Stay ahead of the market with institutional-grade analysis and precision swing trade picks.

The Breakdown Is the Opportunity

The trend is still your friend—provided you don’t fight the tape.

This is not another messy rotation or headline-driven chop. The market has confirmed a multi-timeframe structural breakdown, and the Cycle Wave model shows that this move is just beginning.

While most still see this as just a correction, the real opportunity lies in the major downside that is now unfolding. The March 31 Technical Trader report captures cycle reversal and downside alignment—across the S&P, Dow, and QQQ.

The signals are real. The structure is clear. This is the major opportunity you’ve been waiting for.


What This Report Signals:

  • Long-term and short-term cycles are now fully synchronized—to the downside

  • Failed rallies and early cycle breakdowns are stacking in sequence

  • Resistance levels are holding; support is not

  • The Cycle Wave Composite™ confirms—but stays gated


Liquidity Trader reports focus on forecasting when price turns are likely in each time frame, based on time tested cycle analysis. They help you recognize and act on signals with confidence when they occur, reducing doubt and uncertainty. You’ll know when to take positions and when to close out based on clear, actionable insights.


Liquidity Trader reports aren’t about predicting moves.
They’re about providing actionable insights to help you make confident decisions—whether to enter, hold, or exit positions.


Institutional Access

If you’re managing capital, and you’re not positioned for this move yet, there’s still time.

The breakdown is underway.  There’s still time to take advantage.

Trend Is Your Friend if You Don’t Fight the Tape

UPDATE: My apologies. The original notification email went out with last week’s headline. The report link was correct. 


Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

We must not downplay or fight strong major trend signals. The trend is your friend only if you don’t fight the tape. 

Non subscribers can click here for access.

 

Liquidity Trader Swing Trade Selections and Performance – March 25, 2025

Subscribers: Download the full report here

Liquidity Trader’s long/short swing trade selection screens are now posted. Average trade profit for trades closed in March +10.7% on 100% cash equities selections. Average holding period 19 calendar days. 6 new selections today.

 Non subscribers here for access.  

Stay ahead of the market with institutional-grade analysis and precision swing trade picks.

S&P Clears the Crash Channel — But Is It Still a Bear Market?

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Cycle signals suggest the rally isn’t what it seems.

Non subscribers can click here for access.

 

Treasury’s Liquidity Trap: Rebuild Now, Shock Later

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

A new analysis suggests that the liquidity crisis may arrive sooner than the actual liquidity cliff

Professional investors, click here for one time complimentary report or to subscribe for instant access to all reaports. .

 

Subscriber Report: Critical Test for Markets: Breakdown or Rebound?

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here for access.

The latest Technical Trader update is now available. The market is at a tipping point. Will key levels hold, or is the next leg down about to unfold? Full Hurst cycle analysis with projected dates and price targets now live on Liquidity Trader.

Not a Subscriber? Stay ahead with proprietary cycle-based technical analysis.

Liquidity Trader Swing Trade Performance – March 17, 2025

Subscribers: Download the full report here

Liquidity Trader’s swing trade selection screens still lean bearish on balance, despite Friday’s bounce.

For the second consecutive week, I added no new picks—an unusual outcome that emphasizes that successful trades sometimes require waiting patiently for clear setups. Meanwhile, closed trades continue to outperform, while open positions remain strong.

Key Takeaways:

  • No new picks for the second straight week.
  • Closed trades this month averaged a +11.2% gain over 18 days, vs. S&P 500’s -5.3% decline.
  • Two open trades remain, averaging +35.8% over 21 days.

📌 Full details, trade performance breakdowns, and updated trailing stops available in the subscriber report.

🔐 Subscribers: Read the full report here

New subscribers get full access to this week’s proprietary report, including open positions and stops. 

🔗 Subscribe here.  Get This Week’s Best Setups – Limited Access for Serious Traders

Stay ahead of the market with institutional-grade analysis and precision swing trade picks.

Subscriber Report: Temporary Relief Possible but Treasury Liquidity Pressures Are Building

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Treasury issuance and liquidity measures suggest a probable temporary reprieve but how long and how strong. After that comes the deluge. This report looks at the keys to watch with charts and highlighted. 

My analysis and conclusions, organized by AI for clarity and flow, with emphasis of key points. Reported textually and visually. 

 Professional investor non-subscribers, click here for one time complimentary report access or to subscribe.