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Liquidity Trends Update: Sentiment Shifts and Market Dynamics – January 2025

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

This update builds upon the analysis provided in the Liquidity Trader Macro Liquidity Report dated January 24, 2025 incorporating data released by the Federal Reserve on January 24. The original report highlighted the precarious balance between liquidity drivers and systemic risks. This update refines those insights with the most recent data on the Stock Price to Bank Deposit Ratio, Delivery Versus Payment (DVP) Repo trends, and the Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo Program (RRP) slush fund.

This update aligns with the themes of liquidity-driven market risks and shows emerging sentiment and monetary shifts. These shifts suggest that change is likely in the trajectory of equity markets in the months ahead.

📈Not a subscriber? Subscribe Today and start making informed decisions in an ever-changing market.

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Navigate 2025 Market Risks with Liquidity Trader’s Expert Insights

Lee Adler

Stay Ahead of the Market Curve
In this turbulent market environment, understanding liquidity dynamics is more crucial than ever. Liquidity Trader provides proprietary insights into the macroeconomic factors and liquidity trends driving market movements, helping you anticipate potential risks and opportunities.

Key Topics Covered in Our Latest Report

  • Stock Market Valuations: The S&P 500 remains historically extended relative to liquidity measures. What does this mean for future market performance?
  • Debt Ceiling Dynamics: With the reimposition of the federal debt ceiling, we analyze how Treasury operations might inject or drain liquidity—and how this could impact your portfolio.
  • Repo Market Trends: Stock Prices have closely tracked the trend of Delivery vs. Payment (DVP) repos. A break below critical trendlines could signal a turning point for equity markets.
  • Foreign Liquidity Signals: Central bank liquidations of U.S. Treasuries are raising bearish flags. Is international support for U.S. markets weakening? The impacts will be felt.
  • Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility: With balances dwindling record lows, what’s next for this key buffer against market volatility?

What Does It All Mean for Traders?
From systemic risks in the repo market to speculative leverage driving market sentiment, our in-depth analysis reveals the forces shaping the financial landscape. But timing is critical, and understanding when liquidity trends shift can make all the difference.

Don’t Trade Blind—Trade with Confidence
Gain exclusive access to actionable insights that can help you navigate the complex interplay of liquidity, sentiment, and leverage. Subscribe to Liquidity Trader today to access the full report and stay ahead of market developments.

Your Competitive Edge Awaits
Join the community of informed traders and investors who rely on Liquidity Trader for a deeper understanding of market forces. Click here to subscribe now and make smarter trading decisions.

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Liquidity Inflection Points: Navigating Macro Risks and Repo Trends – January 2025

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

The current market environment reflects a precarious balance between liquidity expansion and underlying systemic risks. Despite the Federal Reserve’s continued quantitative tightening (QT), private money creation through lending and repo markets has kept liquidity flowing, pushing stock prices to historically stretched levels. However, the new political approach to the re-imposition of the federal debt ceiling introduces uncertainties.

This report covers the data and shows you the trends to watch in order to prepare for what’s ahead. A vigilant approach to liquidity signals and fiscal developments will be critical in adapting to potential shifts in market conditions. I will continue to provide that vigilance for you in the months ahead.

📈Not a subscriber? Subscribe Today and start making informed decisions in an ever-changing market.

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Unlock Market Trends: S&P 500 and Dow Analysis for January 2025

Lee Adler

Get exclusive insights into the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average with this week’s Technical Trader Report (subscriber link), where key levels and cycle patterns are shaping market trends. Discover actionable information you won’t find anywhere else:

  • S&P 500: Breaking above xxxx could set the stage for major gains, while a dip below xxxx would signal a deeper pullback. Where will it go next?
  • Dow Jones: A broken downtrend hints at opportunities. Learn how resistance levels between xxxxxx–xxxxxx could influence the next move.
  • Cycle Analysis: The 6-month cycle suggests a potential rebound, but long-term cycles indicate a pivotal moment. Will the bull market sustain, or are we on the verge of a correction?
  • Exclusive Indicator Insights: Narrow rally breadth raises questions about market strength. What’s the signal you should act on?

💡 Don’t miss out—subscribe today to access the full report and get ahead of the market with Lee Adler’s proprietary analysis. Secure your edge now: Learn More & Subscribe.

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S&P 500 Outlook: Key Levels and Cycles for January 2025

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

The market is at a pivotal point, again. Market action early this week should signal whether recent gains lead to a sustained uptrend or a deeper pullback. Here’s what to look for.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

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Maximize Your Trading Edge with Weekly Technical Chart Insights

Lee Adler

Are you ready to elevate your trading strategy with powerful insights? Our Weekly Technical Trader Report offers an unparalleled look into key market trends and chart patterns that can help you stay ahead of the curve. Packed with expert analysis and proprietary algorithms, this report is designed to support smart, confident decision-making.

What’s Inside the Report?

  • Proprietary Market Screens: Discover how our system evaluates over 1,500 stocks weekly to identify the most promising setups.
  • Cycle-Based Trading Insights: Learn how cycles influence trends and uncover windows for potential turning points.
  • Trend Analysis & Momentum: Get a clear picture of how key indicators are aligning to shape market conditions.

This week’s report includes deep dives into swing trade setups, market cycles, and actionable insights—all tailored to help traders identify opportunities with precision.

Why Traders Love This Report:

  • Data-Driven: Proprietary algorithms designed to filter out noise and highlight meaningful opportunities.
  • Expert Insights: Backed by six decades of market experience, this report helps traders of all levels find their edge.
  • Timely Updates: Stay informed with weekly analysis and keep pace with the ever-changing market.

Don’t Miss Out

Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, Technical Trader Weekly Chart Picks provides a reliable resource for navigating market complexities. The insights in this report could be the difference between staying ahead of the crowd or falling behind.

📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

Take the guesswork out of trading. Subscribe today to gain exclusive access to the tools and analysis trusted by serious traders.

(Note: Weekly stock picks and detailed trading recommendations are reserved exclusively for subscribers.)

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Top Swing Trade Picks for Subscribers- Jan 20, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Our proprietary cycle screens revealed 162 charts that met minimum long term ideal buy criteria last week versus 84 the prior week. There were 128 that met ideal long term sell criteria versus 453 the previous week. This was from a universe of approximately 1500 listed stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. Non-subscribers, 📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

This test has a two-week lookback period. Therefore, it has a built-in lag for identifying major and intermediate turning points. That imposes a penalty at such times. Last week looks like one of those times.

126 charts met ideal intermediate term buy side criteria last week. 105 met intermediate term sell side criteria. This test also has a two-week lookback period and therefore also a built-in short-term lag.

Among the major and intermediate buy setups, 12 short term buys triggered and 11 sells triggered.  

On visual review I liked 5 of the buys as shown on the table below, but there are two that will only be added if they hit a limit price during the week. I chose one short. Other than as noted, all picks will be added to the list based on the average of Tuesday’s opening and closing prices. Two of the picks will also be added with protective stop prices included.

Meanwhile, last week did not go well as all new picks were shorts. The list had an average loss of 0.1% with an average holding period of 10 calendar days.

Three picks hit stop prices during the week. I’ll drop one more at the open on Tuesday, and add stops to the rest.   

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Gold Trends and Insights- Subscriber Report, Link Corrected

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Gold has been making waves with strong momentum and exciting potential ahead. Don’t miss out on insights that could make a difference in your investment strategies.

This week’s proprietary Gold Trader Report dives deep into:
📈 Key cycle phases and projected high/low ranges.
📊 Momentum indicators shaping the current gold market.
🔍 Trend channels pointing to potential breakout zones.

Want to see what’s next for gold prices and mining stocks? Get exclusive access to the detailed analysis with actionable insights by subscribing today.

👉 Subscribe now to Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader Gold Reports

Stay ahead of the market with unparalleled insights.

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Gold Trends and Insights: Are You Ready for the Next Move?

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Gold has been making waves with strong momentum and exciting potential ahead. Don’t miss out on insights that could make a difference in your investment strategies.

This week’s proprietary Gold Trader Report dives deep into:
📈 Key cycle phases and projected high/low ranges.
📊 Momentum indicators shaping the current gold market.
🔍 Trend channels pointing to potential breakout zones.

Want to see what’s next for gold prices and mining stocks? Get exclusive access to the detailed analysis with actionable insights by subscribing today.

👉 Subscribe now to Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader Gold Reports

Stay ahead of the market with unparalleled insights.

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Navigating Market Risks: Insights from Primary Dealer Positions – January 2025

Lee Adler

Dive into the latest analysis of primary dealer positions and their implications for Treasury and equity markets in 2025. This exclusive report uncovers critical trends in dealer financing, leverage, and hedging strategies, with a focus on key metrics like repo financing volatility and the debt ceiling’s impact on market liquidity. Discover why systemic leverage is growing and how this might influence the timing of the next bear market.

Highlights include:

  • Rising Dealer Leverage: Learn about the risks from record-high fixed-income inventories and imperfect hedges.
  • Repo Market Instability: Explore how wild fluctuations in repo financing could signal deeper systemic issues.
  • Market Outlook: Understand why technical indicators suggest a potential top formation in stocks and bonds.
  • Debt Ceiling Implications: Find out how the government’s cash management strategies could delay market disruptions.

Want the full breakdown of actionable insights and critical signals to watch? Subscribe now to Liquidity Trader for comprehensive analysis and guidance. 👉 Get Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader Delivered Instantly

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

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