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Gold to Hibernate Till Winter

Gold should be entering its annual hibernation phase as the 9-12 month cycle tops out and heads into a down phase. Intermediate cycles are in down phases but I see no sign of a big drop.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Only one mining pick is left to swing. Subscribers, see table in report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

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Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

Watch Closely as Warning Signs Abound

There were more signs in last week’s banking and Fed balance sheet data that the market has begun to build an important top. But tops take time. This report lays out what to expect. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Last week I wrote that we should still expect a rally in the near term as the US Treasury continues to pay down T-bills. That has begun to play out. The paydowns should continue for another 3-4 weeks. That will be a bullish influence. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

After that, liquidity will xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx. But it will depend on how much borrowing that dealers and hedge funds will be willing to undertake to buy the immense supply of Treasuries that is headed to market beginning in late May. This is an unknown. Therefore, we must continue to monitor this data every week. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

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KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Perking a Long

The shrinking list did fine last week. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

All 7 picks on the list to start the week last week were winners, including 3 that hit trailing stops. The average gain was 17.1% last week, up from 16.6% the week before. The average holding period was 35 calendar days, versus 34 calendar days in the prior week. That includes picks still open at the end of the week, plus those stopped out during the week.

Past performance does not suggest future results.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Swing Low Sweet Chariot

All cycles are in position to set up a swing low this week. It doesn’t guarantee that it will happen. It just means that the setup is propitious. Here are the signs and levels to watch this week to tell you whether it’s coming or, something worse. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

One More Rally To Go

Cycle projections rose, but the low ends of the projected ranges have been reached. The price is now in the time window for a xxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx. Short-term cycles have entered down phases but xxxxxx xxxxxxx xxxxxxx. Then one more rally to xxxxx xxxxx xxxxxx. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Miner picks are swinging. We’re holding on to what we’ve got!  Subscribers, see table in report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

Warning Signs Abound, But Ignore Them for Now

That’s because they’re early, and an intervening temporary force should drive xxxx xxxx xxxxx.

Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

The warning signs from the Fed’s weekly real time balance sheet data and slightly lagged data on the condition of the US banking system continued last week. The market has acted badly, but this isn’t likely “IT” yet. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx began in early April, and they will continue to xxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxx  the markets for the next 4 weeks or so. Most of that xxxxx will be coming over the next two weeks. As a result, any additional market decline from here is likely to be xxxxxxxxxx. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Timing that will be tricky and a matter for technical analysis. My technical work has suggested that ideally a 6-month cycle low is due xxxxxx xxxx xxxxxx. A couple of weeks on either side of that would be normal, so we need to be alert, as illustrated in Monday’s Technical Trader report. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

We can expect a bigger selloff once the Treasury starts borrowing again, on balance, probably around the xxxxxxxxxxxxxx, and especially when the Fed’s RRP facility is effectively out of cash, which isn’t likely until xxxxxxxxx. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Meanwhile, let’s run through the charts and data so that you can see the logic behind this conclusion. First a review of how this conclusion has evolved over the past couple of months. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Swing Trade Screen Picks – List Shrinks With Good Profits

The list held its own last week as the market sank.  The shorts did well and the longs did ok.  The average gain last week was 16.6% on an average holding period of 34 calendar days. That includes picks still open at the end of the week, plus those stopped out during the week. That performance compares with the previous week’s 17.3% on an average holding period of 27 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

No More Downside

That may be a little extreme, but indications that the 6-month cycle down phase, which has shown up very late in the cycle, xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx potential. That’s consistent with another month of xxxxxxxx liquidity ahead. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Back to the Gold Old Days 4/9/24

We’re in the kind of runaway move that harkens back to the old days when gold was a popular investment. The 9-12 month cycle projection has now risen to xxxx. The high is due by xxxx xx. The 13-week cycle is due to top out by xxxx xx, with the projection rising to xxxx-xxxx. Short-term cycles now point to xxxx-xxxx. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Miner picks are swinging. We’re holding on to what we’ve got!  Subscribers, see table in report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Well Hedged List Gives Steady Performance in the Wild Market

I apologize for the late posting! The report was written over the weekend but inadvertently not uploaded. Performance slipped yesterday but no stops were hit. The performance table is updated with Monday’s closing prices. Charts are as of Friday, April 5.  Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

The list had an ok week last week, despite the market’s wild fluctuations. The average gain last week was 17.3% on an average holding period of 27 calendar days. That includes picks still open at the end of the week, plus those closed out during the week. That performance compares favorably with the previous week’s 16.7% on an average holding period of 31 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

4 picks were stopped out last week with an average gain of 15.4% and an average holding period of 23 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Past performance does not suggest future results. But at least this suggests that since I have made the change to a fully automated selection process over the past 3 weeks, so far, so good. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

There are now 3 layers of screens. The first is the raw output of various buy and sell filters. The second filters those for intermediate trend. The third is a filter of short-term signal triggers. This is new as of March 2024. The new method reduces the final output to a manageable number for final visual review as a check, to remove those that I’m not comfortable with for final selection. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

The latest screens found 321 total unfiltered buys and 522 total unfiltered sells last week. That compares with the previous week’s 117 buys and 238 total sells. So it still appears to be a two way market, with an edge to the sell side. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Friday alone saw 4 buys and 3 sells after the final trigger filters were applied. Not much to choose from. The trends on both sides are mature. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Due to the scarcity of picks on Friday, I reviewed charts from the rest of the week as well as Friday’s picks. Nothing was still interesting. Some had already moved and the rest didn’t have setups that I liked. So I am adding only one pick to the list this week. It’s a short, shown on the table below. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Going forward, I will review the performance of the charts I rule out on visual review to see if this is a worthwhile step, or whether simply going with the raw output yields better results. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

I want the output to be simple to follow and to require only a few minutes to review and implement each week. On that score, I post a table with specific signal indications along with the charts of the new buy and sell short picks so that you can evaluate them and do with them as you might. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

We came into last week with 10 open picks, including 3 shorts and 7 longs. 4 longs hit their stops during the week, leaving 3 short and 3 longs at the end of the week. I am adding just one short and no buys this week, to start the week with 3 longs and 4 shorts.  Non-subscribers click here for access. 

I have adjusted stops for most existing picks. I have removed a stock from one pick and will let it ride this week. New picks will be added without stops. Risk management is assumed via multiple small positions that won’t break the bank if they go wrong. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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