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Category: US Treasury Market and Tax Revenue Trends

Analysis of new Treasury supply and major demand market segments to estimate market liquidity impacts for bonds and stocks. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Market Conditions Now As Good As It Gets

Federal revenues softened in December. That could be just a blip, or it could be the first signs of a looming recession. It’s bullish if it is, and bullish if it isn’t. Here’s why everything is bullish.

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Monthly Treasury Data Confirms Slower Growth- Bullish!

Federal revenues softened in December. That could be just a blip, or it could be the first signs of a looming recession. It’s bullish if it is, and bullish if it isn’t. Here’s why everything is bullish.

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Get this report and access to past reports.  Read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only.

Federal Revenues Grew Slower, Spending Faster in December

Federal tax collections were a bit softer in December than in recent months, but overall were in the same growth path as throughout the past year. That signals that the US economy isn’t doing much differently than the pace it has been for the past several years. Here’s why that’s still bad news, and what you should do about it.

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Boffo Federal Revenues in December, But Deficit Was Insanely Huge

Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. But Trump runs the Federal Goverment the way he ran his casinos into the ground.

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November Federal Revenues Grew, Shrinking The Deficit – Here’s What It Means

Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. That has implications for the Treasury supply outlook, and consequently for investment strategy. It may not be what you think.

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They Say It’s Only The Plumbing – That’s A Laugh

The Wall Street captured media likes to tell us that there’s just a small plumbing problem in the money market.

But the fact is that it’s not a “little plumbing problem.”  It’s much bigger. The Fed knew it. You don’t pump $337 billlion in cash into the market in 2 months for nothing.

Here’s the big picture, and what comes next, like forever maybe.

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October Federal Deficit Grew, So Fed Monetizes Even More

Federal revenues fell in October for the first time since February. And outlays rose, widening the deficit. The Fed raised its ante in response. Here’s what this means and what you should do about it.

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