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Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Short-term Cancer Culture

On Friday, 154 short term buy signals and 743 short-term sell signals triggered, out of the 1484 stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. However, after applying long term structure filters there were 34 buys and just 13 sells. The selloff so far looks to have only short-term implications. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Politics and Markets Make Strange Bedfellows

Joe will go, but the market won’t go with him. Political events, no matter how much of a watershed they represent, do to cause trend change. Reactions to those events are very short-term, and the market usually returns to the cyclical patterns that were developing before the event, within a few days. That will happen here.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Meanwhile, cycle indicators say that the market won’t go much lower here and that a higher high is still in the offing down the road. Maybe not as high as before, but higher. Here’s when and where to expect both the next top, and a longer term top. Non subscribers click here to access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Holding the Averages Versus Picking Swing Trades

Last week 404 short term buy signals and 204 sell signals triggered, out of the 1454 stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. This was an increase on the buy side over the previous two weeks where the signals were roughly evenly divided. The rally finally appears to be broadening. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

After applying long term structure filters there were 44 buys and 9 sells. However, 21 of the buys were ETFs and almost all of those were fixed income related. So while there’s evidence of broadening, much of it is a mirage related to the bond market as opposed to stocks. Therefore, I don’t expect this to be easy pickins on the way up. Non-subscribers click here for access.

After reviewing the screen output, I added 6 buys to the list because they appeared ready to emerge or extend emergent moves. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I added no shorts. Non-subscribers click here for access.

As usual I’m adding new picks without protective stops. I’m closing out the last short as of Monday’s opening price. I am allowing most previous picks to ride without stops. I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ. Non-subscribers click here for access.

List performance was lackluster again last week, mostly because I threw one bad apple into the barrel. The end result was an average gain of 0.2% on an average holding period of 8 calendar days. The week before that, the list had an average gain of 0.8% with an average holding period of 9 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I have been searching for a big mover in vain in recent weeks. Since April, buy and hold the averages has been a better strategy than attempting to pick the best swing trades. The bullish action has been concentrated in a handful of huge capitalization stocks. I can’t predict when that will change. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Higher for Longer

Cycle projections had pointed to a strong market this summer, but this is ridiculous. Here’s what they’re telling us now. Is it “Get on board or get out of the way?” Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Summer’s Here, Dive In

For a second straight week, more than half the stocks in the market generated short-term signals on Friday. 350 short term buy signals and 390 sell signals triggered, out of the 1426 stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. Like the previous week, they were again nearly evenly divided between buy and sell signals with a slight edge to the sell side. The market averages are climbing but many stocks are not. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

After applying long term structure filters there were 24 buys and 35 sells. In other words, less than 10% of the short-term signals that appeared to have the potential for bigger moves. I added 4 buys because they appeared to be ready to emerge from nice bases. I’ll give them a couple of weeks to swim or sink. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I added one short. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Chart picks tracking table and charts, below. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Past performance does not suggest future results.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Big Move in Superficial Intelligence

The market shifted into trending mode last week when it looked set up for a short-term down phase. The advance could become open ended, with no projections to tell us where to look for a top, if it exceeds the revised 10-12 month cycle projection of xxxx. It looks and feels like an end stage blowoff, where only a few big stocks are driving the advance in the S&P. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Late July is prime time for the xxx-week and xxx month cycle xxxs. However, the 6-month cycle has been dominant and it points towards late xxxxxxxx for the ideal window for a cycle high. Non subscribers click here to access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Ohh You’re a Holiday

List performance has been lackluster for the past two months and this week is the Fourth of July week. Seems like a good time to take a break. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Just to be sure, I reviewed 41 buy side stocks and 16 on the sell side that met both trigger and cycle structure criteria, and my reaction was meh! It looked like just more probable whipsaw setups. Given the macro TA, the count of 41 buys and 16 sells looks suspicious to begin with. I always go by the rule, Don’t trust, but verify. So I did. Non-subscribers click here for access.

So many whipsaws, so little time. That’s been the nature of this market. While the market averages crawled higher as a few mega cap stocks that drive the averages trended higher, most issues have been whipsawing in trading ranges. Going nowhere fast. Non-subscribers click here for access.

The problem is that that kind of action generates lots and lots of swing trade signals in my screens. With few breakouts following those rangebound, there are no big winners to carry the day. The system works, and is designed to work, when even a handful of stocks break out of those ranges following the signals. Lately, that just has not been happening. They’re staying stuck. And then the signals reverse quickly. Non-subscribers click here for access.

So last week the list’s average gain came to 1.3% on an average holding period of 11 calendar days. The week before the list had an average loss of 0.6% with an average holding period of 15 calendar days. In other words, going nowhere fast. Non-subscribers click here for access.

This weekend I was curious to see how many unfiltered short term buy and sell signals there were. The results were eye opening. Or eye watering. On Friday alone, 364 buy signals triggered, and 370 sell signals, out of the 1400 stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. In other words, more than half the stocks in the market generated short-term signals on Friday. And they were evenly divided between buy and sell signals. And this market is supposedly going somewhere? Non-subscribers click here for access.

I don’t think so. Non-subscribers click here for access.

So let’s sit out this week. I’m closing all theoretical picks except one as of Monday’s opening price. Enjoy your holiday.Non-subscribers click here for access.

Meanwhile, I will sit back and watch the charts for a bit to see if the makings of a trend begin to coalesce. The macro analysis Magic 8 Ball says, “Not very likely,” in the short run. Maybe later in July, a few cycles should sync up for a late summer move. That’s what I’ll be looking for in the individual charts that the screens produce. The odds are that it won’t happen this week or the next. Non-subscribers click here for access.

There’s no stop on the one remaining open pick. Normally, risk management is assumed via multiple small positions that won’t break the bank if they go wrong. In this case, risk management is achieved by holding lots and lots of cash and just one small pick for a trade, not a big risk for trader-kind. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Chart picks tracking table and charts, below. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Past performance does not suggest future results.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Fourth of July Dud Could End the Celebration

The Fourth of July fireworks show will let us know if the second half stock market outlook will be a rocket, a flare, or a dud. Here’s how we’ll know. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Stick It

The market is doing its best to get us to go sit it out, but you gotta be in it to win it, so I’m adding a few shorts this week. With great trepidation, I might add. There’s just not much conviction here, since the screen output hasn’t been productive in many weeks.

Maybe that’s a good sign. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Including picks still open at the end of the week plus those stopped out during the week, the list had an average loss of 0.6% with an average holding period of 15 calendar days. That compares with a loss of 1 % with an average holding period of 13 calendar days, for the prior week.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Screens of Friday’s closing price charts resulted in 47 stocks meeting preliminary buy side criteria versus 82 on the sell side. That compares with 21 buys and 136 sells the week before. These sell side tilts have been going on for a month, without results.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Next, I counted the signals that were triggered on Friday alone. After applying these trigger filters, just 6 of the preliminary buys qualified on Friday, while 31 of the sells did. That’s a lot of sell signals. I picked a few of those to add to the list, but no buys this week.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Five picks hit their stop prices last week. Dropping those leaves just 5 picks, including 1 buys and 4 short on the list for this week.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

I have adjusted stops for the remaining existing pick. Risk management is assumed via multiple small positions that won’t break the bank if they go wrong.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, see table of picks and charts in report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

For picks closed in May, it was a losing month. Picks closed out during the month had an average loss of 0.1% and an average holding period of 22 calendar days.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

For all picks closed out in April the average gain was 15.2% on an average holding period of 34 calendar days. Of those 7 were buys and 4 were shorts.   Non-subscribers click here for access.

Past performance does not suggest future results.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Weak Trend Status Quo

This is a narrowly based rally, that shows no sign that a break is imminent. But it is fragile. Hedging would be ….. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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