Menu Close

Lee Adler’s

Lee Adler’s

Menu

Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Major Inflection Point

Lee Adler

As Americans make the decision of what kind of government they want, the stock market also faces a major decision this week. Indications are mixed in all time frames. We await a clear signal. Here’s what we’re looking at as deciders.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycles – Short-term cycle lows are due xxxxxxx xxxxxxx and projections have xxxxxxxx xxxxxx. But the up phases in 6-month and 10-12 month cycles are in question. Any weakness this week would xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx . By extension, if those cycles xxxxxx xxxxx xxxxxxx , that would suggest xxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx  in longer cycles as well. An extension of the rally this week could xxxxxx xxxxx xxx.

Cycle Screening Measures – The aggregate indicator set up a potentially higher short-term low on Friday. If the market rallies Monday, then this would tend to support a xxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx. But the intermediate pattern has turned xxxxxxxxxx, with xxxxxxx  highs and xxxxxxx lows. Likewise, the 6-month cycle numbers are solidly on the xxxx side. Barring a xxxxxxxx xxxxx, these numbers suggest an xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx. That, in turn, would suggest impending xxxxxx xxxxxxxx in longer cycles.

Third Rail – The market setup up a new short-term downtrend. A down day on Monday would confirm that trend. Conversely, a weekly close above xxxx would break it and keep the uptrend intact. That would keep the measured move target of xxxx still in view.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – A weekly close below xxxx would suggest a possible major top. Conversely, holding above that would allow for the likelihood of xxxx around year end or January.

Monthly Chart – 10/28/24 The market is approaching its upper channel bound at xxxx, now, rising to around xxxx in November and xxxx in December.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Picking a Few Nickels With Steamroller Still Coming

Lee Adler

Current screens yielded 464 short-term buys and 459 short-term sells. Rangebound whipsaws continue to dominate the action. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 70 buys and 29 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Last week I wrote that, “I’m not interested in buys at this late stage of the cycle, especially in view of the warning signs in the liquidity measures.” So much for that. After reviewing the charts I decided to try and pick up a few nickels in front of the steamroller. I added 5 charts on the buy side. I liked one short. Non-subscribers click here for access.

9 picks were closed last week and I’ll remove 1 more as of Tuesday’s opening price. I am letting the rest of the existing picks ride, with added or adjusted stops in some cases. I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ. Non-subscribers click here for access.

As of October 28 closing prices, including open picks and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 5.2% down from +5.3% the previous week, on an average holding period of 30 calendar days, up from an average of 25 days.  Picks closed in September had an average gain of 1.6% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days.  Picks closed so far in October had an average gain of +2 % on an average holding period of 27 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Go to the post

Market Broke for Second Wind

Lee Adler

Cycle screening data turned negative on the xxxxxxxx term. However, the sell indications look premature for the xxxxxxxx cycle. Broad market indicators are not yet at that level of negativity. Therefore, I’m on the alert for a second wind to the six-month cycle off the expected short-term low due xxxxx xxxxx xxxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycles – Short-term cycle lows are due xxxx xxx xxx, and the timing looks premature for a xxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxxxxx. The 13-week cycle is a xxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx however. Its xxxxxx phase could extend into xxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

With the coming election, this will be less about cycles and more about the news cycle and unpredictable, random kneejerk reactions. If we do get a sharp drop in the short-term, I would expect a xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxx in the 6-month cycle before xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxxcomplete. This would be typically around xxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Cycle Screening Measures – These numbers turned deeply negative. The aggregate reached a level consistent with a xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx, but the pattern and other measures suggest intermediate term xxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx. The problem here is that the xxxx indications look premature for the 6-month cycle. Non subscribers click here to access.

Third Rail – xxxx and xxxxx are the support levels to watch this week. Breaking those could indicate short-term trend change. If neither is broken, then the uptrend remains intact. Resistance is at xxxx and xxxxx. If neither is cleared, a xxxxxx xxxxxxxx is likely to develop between xxxxx and xxxxx. The xxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx would signal the next significant move. Non subscribers click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – A weekly close below xxxxxx would suggest a xxxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx. 18-26 month cycle indicators are in very interesting positions here. A xxxxxx xxxxxxx this level would suggest a xxxxxxx xxxxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Monthly Chart – The market is approaching its upper channel bound at xxxx, now, rising to around xxxx in November and xxxx in December. Non subscribers click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Letting It Ride

Lee Adler

Current screens yielded 119 short-term buys and 520 short-term sells. That’s flipped from the week before as rangebound whipsaws dominate the action. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 16 buys and 69 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

I’m not interested in buys at this late stage of the cycle, especially in view of the warning signs in the liquidity measures. I reviewed the sell side charts. Some of the setups were interesting, but I prefer to wait for more signs of a market top being in place before adding more shorts. So with a big list already, I prefer to sit and wait for it to shrink via hitting stops. Non-subscribers click here for access.

As of October 21 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 5.3% down from +5.8% the previous week, on an average holding period of 25 calendar days, up from an average of 26 days. Picks closed in September had an average gain of 1.6% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days. Picks closed so far in October had an average gain of +2.6% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Go to the post

For More Upside

Lee Adler

There’s no sign of a top yet in the technical or cyclical data. Cycle projections point to more upside this year. This report shows exactly how much more. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycles – The 6-month cycle has a new projection of xxxx due in xxxxxxx. However, in the short run, the 13-week cycle should be xxxxxxxxxxxxxx. Its high was ideally due xxxxxxx xx. The 13-week cycle projection still points to xxxxxxxxxx. 6-month and 10-12 month cycles should be xxxxx in up phases, which should xxxxx shorter term down phases xxxxx.

Cycle Screening Measures – These numbers remained positive, xxxxxx the uptrend, and xxxxxxxxx enough for the xxxxxxxxxxxx. There’s no sign of  xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx.

Third Rail – The market stayed within its uptrend channels last week. To create even the beginning of a short-term reversal would require a daily close below xxxxx. On the other hand, clearing xxxx this week would open the way for a quick move to xxxx.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – The market has room to run to xxxx now, and xxxxx at year end. The 3-4 year cycle indicator has edged to the xxxx side, which suggests that the beginning of xxxxxx is at hand. Typically, xx year cycle tops take xxx months to build and break down. That allows for xxxxxxxxx.

Monthly Chart – The market is approaching its upper channel bound at xxxx, now, rising to around xxxx in November and xxxx in December.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Loads of Buy Signals with Good Setups

Lee Adler

Current screens yielded 488 short-term buys and 174 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 92 buys and 29 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

I reviewed the charts. The sell side setups were problematic and I chose to add no shorts. There were numerous, solid setups on the buy side, and I chose to add 7 and stopped about half way through the list. With these additions, there will be 23 open picks to start this week which is more than enough. Non-subscribers click here for access.

As of October 14 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 5.8%, down from + 7% the previous week, on an average holding period of 26 calendar days, up from an average of 25 days.  Picks closed in September had an average gain of 1.6% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days.  Picks closed so far in October had an average gain of +5.2% on an average holding period of 29 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Go to the post

Round Number Syndrome

Lee Adler

The market is closing in on the round number target of 6000 that we had foreseen as early as last February. At the same time, there are early signs that we don’t want to squeeze the lemon too hard. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Short term cycles turned up last week. There’s a projection of xxxx on the 6-8 week cycles. A 13-week cycle high is ideally due xxxxxxxx xx. The 13-week cycle projection still points to xxxxxx.

However, the 3-4 year cycle indicator has edged to the sell side. That does not mean that a decline is imminent, but it suggests that the beginning of top formation is at hand. Typically, 4 year cycle tops take xxxxx months to build and break down. That allows for xxxxxx xxxxxx in the xxxx term.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Lots of Sell Signals Again

Lee Adler

As of October 7 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 7.0% down from + 9.9% the previous week, on an average holding period of 25 calendar days, down from an average of 28 days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 228 short-term buys and an incredible 453 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 48 buys and 104 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed the charts. Setups on both sides were meh. I only found 1 pick on each side that I liked enough to add to the list. Non-subscribers click here for access.

3 picks hit stops since our last look. 2 will be closed at today’s open. I am letting the rest of the existing picks ride, with added or adjusted stops in some cases. Including the new picks, that will leave 16 open picks. I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Go to the post

Moderating Bullish Outlook

Lee Adler

A 13-week cycle high is ideally due xxxxx xx. The 13-week cycle projection now points to xxxxx, which is a little lower than last week’s projection but still xxxxxxxx from here. The target is doable within xxx xxxxx time xxxxxx. The next down phase should be xxxxx, and should lead to at least a minor xxxxxxxx. A new 6-month cycle projection points to xxxxxx due in xxxxxxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Ignoring a Flood of Sell Signals

Lee Adler

As of September 30 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 9.9% up from + 7.4% the previous week, on an average holding period of 28 calendar days, up from an average of 22 days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 265 short-term buys and an incredible 749 short-term sells, which was more than half the total number of stocks that met price and volume minimums. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 38 buys and 90 sells. Is that a lot? Yes.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed the charts, but once again, given the ongoing bullishness of the broad market analysis I was looking for airtight setups on the short side, if such a thing exists. I didn’t see anything resembling that. My impression is that these charts are not clear-cut shorts. Either these are false starts, or too early. I reluctantly added 3 that I felt had the best risk/reward setups, just to dip a toe in the bearish waters.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Balancing that, I found 3 charts that I liked on the buy side and I’m adding those.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

1 pick was dropped from the list since our last look, as shown. I am letting the rest of the existing picks ride, with added or adjusted stops in some cases. Including the new picks, that will leave 19 open picks. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Go to the post