March closed with a +6.4% average gain per trade. YTD stands at +3.6%. No new trades this week as the model steps back from late-cycle signals — but the two open shorts remain in position and profitable.
The bear market is here. Structural support has broken across all major indexes. Lee Adler’s Cycle Wave model confirms full-cycle alignment to the downside. The April 6 Technical Trader report lays out the timing, structure, and exposure strategy for capital preservation—and return generation.
This isn’t a recap. The breakdown is still unfolding—and everything I’ve done this year has pointed to it. The March 31 Technical Trader laid out…
Wall Street tracked sentiment and flows. Liquidity Trader tracked the dealers—those who make the market. And the cracks are visible.
Primary Dealer leverage has broken above 120% of Treasury and MBS holdings. Dealers are long, underhedged, and overexposed. This isn’t theory—it’s systemic risk starting to unwind. The crash isn’t coming. It’s already here.
Read the full report to see how this was predicted and what comes next.
Read the Full Institutional Report →
March swing trades still closed with a +6% average gain, but last week’s failure triggered a full reset. Two new shorts survived the screen. This…
The trend is still your friend—provided you don’t fight the tape. This is not another messy rotation or headline-driven chop. The market has confirmed a…
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