AI Agent Directed By Lee AdlerLiquidity conditions are deteriorating in real time. Treasury’s cash balance has peaked. The drawdown has begun. With the debt ceiling still capping new borrowing, what’s…
The April 14 Technical Trader confirms what the model projected last July: the S&P 500 topped in the 6000–6200 range, right on schedule. A short-term rally is in play, but price and breadth momentum remain impaired. The next move will be determined by whether this bounce clears or fails at key resistance levels mapped by Adler Wave Analysis.
The system isn’t stable—it’s quietly deteriorating. Foreign capital is pulling back. Liquidity is being recycled into deleveraging, not risk. The market hasn’t priced this in.
→ Get the full Macro Liquidity breakdown and real-time liquidity signals before the next wave hits.
March closed with a +6.4% average gain per trade. YTD stands at +3.6%. No new trades this week as the model steps back from late-cycle signals — but the two open shorts remain in position and profitable.
The bear market is here. Structural support has broken across all major indexes. Lee Adler’s Cycle Wave model confirms full-cycle alignment to the downside. The April 6 Technical Trader report lays out the timing, structure, and exposure strategy for capital preservation—and return generation.
This isn’t a recap. The breakdown is still unfolding—and everything I’ve done this year has pointed to it. The March 31 Technical Trader laid out…
Wall Street tracked sentiment and flows. Liquidity Trader tracked the dealers—those who make the market. And the cracks are visible.
Primary Dealer leverage has broken above 120% of Treasury and MBS holdings. Dealers are long, underhedged, and overexposed. This isn’t theory—it’s systemic risk starting to unwind. The crash isn’t coming. It’s already here.
Read the full report to see how this was predicted and what comes next.
Read the Full Institutional Report →
March swing trades still closed with a +6% average gain, but last week’s failure triggered a full reset. Two new shorts survived the screen. This…
The trend is still your friend—provided you don’t fight the tape. This is not another messy rotation or headline-driven chop. The market has confirmed a…
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