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Category: US Treasury Market and Tax Revenue Trends

Analysis of new Treasury supply and major demand market segments to estimate market liquidity impacts for bonds and stocks.  

Why It’s Big Trouble that Real Time Tax Data Shows Economy Still Growing Fast

The withholding data is the real deal. It continues to show the US economy growing rapidly. Inflation will continue to run very hot, and the Fed will remain under pressure to reduce QE. That showed up this week in Powell’s statement that the Fed will stop saying the bad word, “transitory” because people misunderstand what the Fed means by it. We know otherwise.

Why Jerome Powell Had a Frog In His Throat

Did you notice in yesterday’s press conference how Jerome Powell kept clearing his throat. He was apparently choking on the vomit of his own double talk. The lies, self contradiction, and obfuscation were  breathtaking. This man has no conscience. But then, he’s a central banker. What should we expect.

It’s a good thing that Powell doesn’t own a big bond portfolio.

Booming Tax Revenues, Overheating Risk, and The Real Crisis Starts Now

The stock and bond markets face a triple whammy at the end of this month. In this report I’ll show you what those three things are, why and how they will impact the market, and what you should do about it (subscriber version only). These three things will pose a grave threat to the Treasury market, to short term interest rates, and ultimately to the stock market.

Take the Threat of this Triple Whammy Seriously Now

The stock and bond markets face a triple whammy at the end of this month. In this report I’ll show you what those three things are, why and how they will impact the market, and what you should do about it (subscriber version only). These three things will pose a grave threat to the Treasury market, to short term interest rates, and ultimately to the stock market.