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This Friday’s screens had 19 buys and 53 sells. 2 of those were inverse bond funds so we can ignore that. 51 sells is still a big enough number on the sell side to make me sit up and pay attention. I was overconfident on the long side, and overstayed several of the longs on the pick list without trailing stops. I’ve instituted them, and a few outright sells this week. I also didn’t trust the short picks and bailed on two of them too early last week.
1340 stocks met the initial screening criteria in the current screen. 5.4% of them rendered signals on Friday, including nearly 4% that were sell signals. That’s a more than a typical percentage of new signals on a given day. So it’s time to look for a possible rollover and more shorts to add to the list.
On reviewing the charts, I found 6 setups I liked well enough as shorts to add to the list. They’re on the table below. I will remove 4 longs as of Monday’s opening price. I have added stops to 5 others.
In total, this will bring the list to 15 open picks, of which 9 will be longs, and 6 will be shorts. This is the most shorts we’ve had in many moons. “Many moons” is a way of saying how long its been when you don’t know the actual number of months. Let’s just say it’s been awhile.
As of Friday, the average gain of open picks and those closed last week was 3.6% with an average holding period of 27 calendar days. That was a drop from an average gain of 8.5% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days two weeks ago. I allowed the list to age too much without installing trailing stops. Will compensate going forward, but the market will undoubtedly make that look bad too.
The table and charts of open picks are below. I’m back to using trailing stops, and have instituted a couple of new picks with initial protective “just-in-case” stops.
The table and charts of open picks are below (subscriber version only).
Table (subscriber version only)
Charts (subscriber version only)
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The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor.
These picks are illustrative and theoretical. Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trade at your own risk.
