The Fed’s weekly real time balance sheet data and its slightly lagged data on the condition of the US banking system are inching closer to suggesting an end to the stock market rally. But they aren’t there yet. It could still take weeks or months.
It’s better not to attempt to anticipate. Money talks, and markets listen. Non-subscribers, click here for access.
Subscribers, click here to download the report.
Markets also have the ability to create their own money. And that’s what’s been happening in this bull run. The Fed and its cohorts are not the drivers of this, as they were under the 12 year QE regime. Non-subscribers, click here for access.
As animal spirits take hold, eventually they turn into manias. And manias create their own liquidity through the magic of leveraged borrowing. As prices of stocks rise, a cycle of rising prices creates more collateral for borrowing, leading to higher prices, and so on. Non-subscribers, click here for access.
Of course, manias ultimately lead to crashes. But they continue until they are exhausted. We look for signs of exhaustion both in the technical market data, which I report in the Technical Trader reports, and in the liquidity data that I report here. In this report, I show you exactly what the charts of the data are telling us to expect in the weeks and months ahead. If you know what’s coming, then you can formulate your own strategy and tactics accordingly. Non-subscribers, click here for access.
As I wrote last week, “The end may come quickly, so we need to be prepared and vigilant. Complacency is the trader’s enemy. We must guard against that…” Non-subscribers, click here for access.
Get the report now, for specifics. Non-subscribers, click here for access.
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