Menu Close

Topping Patterns? Here Are the Year-End Signals

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Cycles – Intermediate cycles are xxxxxx or trending xxxxxx, while short-term cycles are mixed, driven more by year-end market conditions. Earlier indicators pointed to tops in the x and x-xxxxxx month cycles. Although xxxxx targets have been met, cycle indicators remain xxxx, with ample room for xxxxx lows in the 13-week and 6-month timeframes. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Cycle Screening Measures – Last week’s rebound turned the aggregate measure positive, recovering from a recent low that was near the April bottom. The 29-day moving average (MA) remained flat, sitting just below prior cycle lows, aligning with the 6-month cycle low in May. The cumulative line rose slightly but stayed under the 29-day MA, remaining on an intermediate term xxxx signal. New 6-month cycle indicators shifted to a xxxx signal, suggesting a potential cycle xxxx, but year-end seasonality raises doubt. A clearer picture should emerge in the new year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Third Rail – The market is in a short term downtrend channel but still aligns with longer-term uptrend channels. Key support lies between xxxx-xxxx. A break below xxxx would be a head-and-shoulders breakdown targeting xxxx. Downtrend resistance ranges from xxxx to xxxx, while upward resistance appears at xxxx and xxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – Updated projections suggest a market top is forming, with recent highs near the projected peak. A significant drop below xxxx would suggest a long-term cycle top. Indicators reflect a maturing bull market, but a market recovery this week could signal continued upward movement, delaying the peak well into next year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Monthly Chart – The market remains within the center of a narrow uptrend channel. January’s lower boundary is at xxxx, with the upper limit near xxxx. Although momentum is weakening, it remains xxxxxxx, and no xxxx signal has been triggered yet. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Posted in 2 - Technical Trader