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The current market environment reflects a precarious balance between liquidity expansion and underlying systemic risks. Despite the Federal Reserve’s continued quantitative tightening (QT), private money creation through lending and repo markets has kept liquidity flowing, pushing stock prices to historically stretched levels. However, the new political approach to the re-imposition of the federal debt ceiling introduces uncertainties.
This report covers the data and shows you the trends to watch in order to prepare for what’s ahead. A vigilant approach to liquidity signals and fiscal developments will be critical in adapting to potential shifts in market conditions. I will continue to provide that vigilance for you in the months ahead.
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