Lee AdlerCycles are topping out. That includes the big ones.
Yet again, whenever I pick a few shorts to add to the list, the market smacks me upside the head. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. It’s like our permabear friends, whose names I’ll withhold out of respect for the dead, who have been warning for 12 years that the market is about to crash. They will be right one day. Well, every few months I’ll see a few short picks that I like and add them to the list. We’ll probably keep losing money on them, but one day, I’ll be right. You’ll see! 😆
Cycles are topping out. That includes the big ones.
Existing picks, all longs, held up pretty well in last week’s selling. 3 of them dipped below their stops, with gains in two of the three. The newest pick, XXXX (subscribers), added last Monday, did surprisingly well. This week, I’m adding one long and three shorts.
Cycles are mixed, and cycle screening measures are deteriorating, but there are still reasons to expect the averages to head higher. Here’s what they are,…
The volatility subsided, but the range remained. 4 picks dipped below their stops. Were they too tight? Or is this the beginning of the end for the longs. Time will tell.
Meanwhile, list performance improved slightly to an average of +2.4%, up from +0.2% the week before, on an average holding period of 15 days, up from 10 days the week before. The percentage change assumes cash trades, no margin, no options.
The stopouts left just 4 picks on the list. All are longs, and all look ok to hold, with stops adjusted based on trigger lines in the charts. I added two more picks from Friday’s screen.
Cycles are still bullish, with the 6 month and 10-12 month cycles ideally due to top out concurrently in xxxx (subscriber version). The 6 month…
The volatility subsided, but the range remained. 4 picks dipped below their stops. Were they too tight? Or is this the beginning of the end for the longs. Time will tell.
Meanwhile, list performance improved slightly to an average of +2.4%, up from +0.2% the week before, on an average holding period of 15 days, up from 10 days the week before. The percentage change assumes cash trades, no margin, no options.
The stopouts left just 4 picks on the list. All are longs, and all look ok to hold, with stops adjusted based on trigger lines in the charts. I added two more picks from Friday’s screen.
Cycles are still bullish, with the 6 month and 10-12 month cycles apparently in trending mode. This means that there are neither price projections nor…
The volatility subsided, but the range remained. 4 picks dipped below their stops. Were they too tight? Or is this the beginning of the end for the longs. Time will tell.
Meanwhile, list performance improved slightly to an average of +2.4%, up from +0.2% the week before, on an average holding period of 15 days, up from 10 days the week before. The percentage change assumes cash trades, no margin, no options.
The stopouts left just 4 picks on the list. All are longs, and all look ok to hold, with stops adjusted based on trigger lines in the charts. I added two more picks from Friday’s screen.
As wild short term volatility chews up swing traders and spits them out, the market averages remain in an uptrend, and look poised to move…
List performance degraded last week, with the average gain dropping to +2.5% on an average holding period of 12 days. That includes open picks and those that triggered stops during the week. Remaining picks are shaky. I have tightened stops.
This table summarizes recent list performance.