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Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Jack Be Nimble, Jill Be Quick, This Market’s Not a Monolith

Short term and intermediate trend channels are heading up, but it’s tenuous and there are trading opportunities on both sides of the ledger. We look at trigger points that would signal a big move, and point out a few stocks that look poised to ride the next move.

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Bulls Come Back to Work

The long holiday weekend has ended and bulls are back at their desks.

Bullish on Biden’s growing lead in the polls, right? Because when the market was going down 2 weeks ago, the papers said that was because the market feared Biden. I guess traders switched sides, because the charts sure look bullish again all of a sudden.

Wow.

Here’s what to look for to signal that this is for real. Along with a few ideas on how to ride it.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Early, But It’s a Potential Crash Setup Again

There are no guarantees in this game. Crashes are extremely rare events. But these are extreme times, and this particular setup calls for extreme caution.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Wild, Woolly, Illiquid

Last week was wild and wooly. The volatility suggests illiquidity, which at this stage is not bullish. It’s consistent with the idea I’ve espoused in Liquidity Trader reports that the Fed not supplying sufficient liquidity to support an uptrend.

But the technical stuff says, “Ay! Not so fast!”

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Sunday Night Massacre

By early Monday morning, the ES futures were trading at 2966, and had traded as low as 2925. 2950 is now critical support. If New York fails to hold that, then the market would be in crash mode again. What would the target of that be? And what if 2950 holds? Is it still bearish?

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Old Bears Never Die, They Just Get Eaten Alive

Cycle alignments are still mostly bullish, but now extended. The 6 month cycle remains bullish, and already stratospheric cycle projections for the S&P and QQQ have gone even higher.

How much more can an erstwhile bear take? How much more should they? Here are some suggestions.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

Not a subscriber? Try Lee Adler’s Technical Trader risk free for 90 days!  

Bullish as Hell, But Wait! What’s This?

The Fed is no longer pumping enough money into dealer accounts to sustain bull markets in both stocks and bonds, and it has tried to steer investors out of stocks and into Treasuries. It doesn’t matter. Rising markets create their own liquidity until they don’t. It’s called margin. Technical analysis shows us the effects of that, tells us what the trend is, and indicates when it might be reversing.

The trend is up, and there’s no sign of reversal yet. However, after reviewing my chart pick screens I came up with twice as many shorts as longs. Is that my bias, or are those individual charts trying to tell us something, the first canary singing?

Here’s what we’re watching.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Here’s Who Loses When Technical Indicators Are Bullish but Liquidity is Bearish

Bullish indications mean that we must assume that the bulls remain in control until proven otherwise, regardless of the bearish liquidity forces (See latest Liquidity Trader report) over the next three weeks. A bull move in stocks would raise the specter of a selloff in the bond market to support a stock rally, because there won’t be enough cash around to support rallies in both. But that’s not our problem.  We just need to be on the right side of the move, whatever it is.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Here’s What to Look For In Market Fraught With Uncertainty

The market has now been rangebound for 5 weeks, leaving the cycle picture muddled. Wave amplitude remains relatively high, while frequency has increased. If the recent pattern holds, the market would top out on Thursday. But what if it doesn’t cooperate. Here’s what to look for to signal what comes next.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

Not a subscriber? Try Lee Adler’s Technical Trader risk free for 90 days!  

The COVID19 Bull Market

Stocks are selling off this morning but the trend still favors the bulls. Here are the parameters to watch that would confirm, or signal a change.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

Not a subscriber? Try Lee Adler’s Technical Trader risk free for 90 days!  

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