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Subscriber Report- Market at a Crossroads: Trading Range or Impending Break?

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

The market remains rangebound, with key resistance at xxxx and support at xxxx. A breakout could target xxxx, while a failure may lead to xxxx. Long-term cycles indicate a potential xxxx, but no decisive xxxxx signal yet. A xxxxx move xxxx resistance could xxxxx the bull market, while a failure at xxxxx could trigger a significant decline. Watch for confirmation signals xxxxxxxxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a full access trial subscription.



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Proprietary Market Intelligence: Weekly Chart Setups for Professional Traders – February 2025

Lee Adler

I find the patterns that become the great stories.

Stay ahead of market turns with data-driven trade setups designed for professionals.

The latest Technical Trader – Weekly Chart Picks provides a quantitative breakdown of institutional-grade trade setups across equity markets. Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle screens flagged 1,031 major trend buy setups last week, but is this a signal for sustained upside, or the early stages of distribution?

Key Institutional Trading Insights:

📊 Liquidity & Market Structure – Stocks tested and rebounded off major support, but with a deteriorating buy/sell ratio, is the tape shifting?
📈 Long Setups: 108 Intermediate Buys, 70 Short-Term Triggers – Strength concentrated in select sectors, but conviction remains mixed.
📉 Short Setups: 108 Major Sells, 165 Intermediate Sell Signals – Heavy rejection at resistance zones suggests increased downside risk.
🚨 Friday’s Close: 30 Buy vs. 52 Sell Signals – A growing imbalance in supply/demand dynamics.

Institutional Trade Performance Snapshot

  • Last week’s model portfolio delivered a +7.9% average gain with an average holding period of 13 calendar days.
  • The current list begins with 18 open trades (6 long, 12 short), shifting positioning toward selective risk exposure.
  • January performance closed trades and end of month open positions posted a +3.7% gain and average holding period of 17 calendar days.

Short-Term Entries with Long-Term Potential

🚀 Great short-term entry points can lead to excellent long-term holds. Many institutional trades begin as tactical setups but evolve into high-conviction, trend-following positions. Liquidity Trader’s insights help identify short-term opportunities that can grow into sustainable, long-term winners.

Built for Institutional Capital & Professional Traders

Designed for hedge funds, PE firms, bank trading desks, and portfolio managers, this report is backed by decades of market cycle analysis, liquidity insights, and evolving technical algorithms drawn from Lee Adler’s 60 years technical charting experience assisted by AI.

🔹 Real-time access to institutional-grade setups:
📥 Subscribe now and gain an edge in this changing ever shifting market.

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Top Swing Trade Screen Picks for Subscribers- February 8, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Non-subscribers, 📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

Our proprietary cycle screens returned 1031 charts that met ideal major trend buy setup criteria last week. That’s out of 1480 that met minimum price and volume criteria. It is an enormous number but it doesn’t necessarily imply that a big bull move is coming. It merely means that most stocks had fallen to test major support and rebounded to finish above those support levels. That’s typically a short term bullish setup. After a long bull run, the first pullback to support almost never results in a major reversal, but it could be the start of a topping process that could ultimately result in a subsequent breakdown.

Drilling down, there were only 108 stocks that met intermediate buy side criteria and just 70 hit short term buy triggers over the course of the week.

There were 108 that met ideal major sell criteria on the week. That means that they rose to long term resistance and were rebuffed. 165 had intermediate term sell setups, which is significantly more than intermediate buys. 131 hit short term sell triggers, nearly double the short term buy triggers.  

Looking at just Friday’s data, there were 30 short term buy signals and 52 on the sell side.  

Among the major and intermediate buy setups, 21 short term buys triggered versus 4 sells on Friday. So it is a mixed bag overall, not a picture that suggests easy pickings.

On visual review I liked just one of the buys and none of the shorts as shown on the table in the subscriber report.

Two existing picks hit stop prices during the week and one short had been noted to be covered as of the opening price last week. I have designated 1 sell and 1 short cover as of Monday’s opening prices. I am adding stops to the remaining picks. Last week the list showed an average gain of 7.9% on an average holding period of 13 calendar days versus 5.4% with an average holding period of 11 calendar days the previous week. This week the list starts with 18 open picks of which 6 are longs and 12 are shorts. Last week there were 17 open picks to start, of which 9 were longs and 8 were shorts.

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🚨 Market Bombshell: What This Hidden Tax Signal Means for Stocks & Bonds 🚀

Lee Adler

Is the Market on the Brink of a Major Move? The Answer Lies in This Overlooked Data…

Withholding tax collections just made a surprising rebound, signaling a shift that could rock markets in the weeks ahead. But is it a sign of strength—or a ticking time bomb? 🤔

📊 Here’s What You Need to Know:
✅ Tax revenues are surging—what does it mean for liquidity?
✅ Corporate tax collections show record-breaking profits—but will the House and the whales cash out?
✅ The debt ceiling wildcard—how long can the Treasury prop up this market before the dam breaks?

💡 Savvy traders and investors are already positioning ahead of the next big move. Don’t get caught off guard.

🔎 Get exclusive access to the full breakdown before the mainstream media catches on:
👉 Read the full report NOW

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Early February Withholding Tax Rebound Signals Sustained Growth, But Inflation Still a Factor

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Withholding tax collections entered a strong rebound phase in early February after their typical cyclical trough in late January. Strong employee earnings inflation accounted for 2/3 of the gain. Meanwhile, corporate tax collections continue to reflect strong profitability and excise tax collections were also strong.

 Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

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Liquidity on the Edge: What You Need to Know About the Market’s Hidden Risks

Lee Adler

The stock market is at a crossroads, with liquidity trends signaling both opportunity and danger. Key risks include potential breakdowns in repo lending, foreign investor withdrawals, and the U.S. Treasury’s debt ceiling strategies. These factors could shape the market’s trajectory in the coming months.

What Are the Experts Watching?

  1. Stock Valuations vs. Liquidity
    Equity valuations have reached extreme levels. Could this be a prelude to a major correction?
  2. Debt Ceiling and Treasury Policy
    The Treasury’s high cash balance provides a temporary cushion, but looming tax refund outflows and policy decisions could change the game.
  3. Repo Market Trends
    DVP repo lending is a critical driver of speculative liquidity. A shift here could ripple through the markets.
  4. Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility
    With balances nearing depletion, the market’s reliance on this liquidity source is under threat.
  5. Foreign Central Bank Activity
    A sharp decline in foreign liquidity injections poses a potential headwind for U.S. markets.

Don’t Miss the Full Analysis

This is just a glimpse of the insights available in Lee Adler’s Macro Liquidity Report. Subscribers receive detailed breakdowns, actionable strategies, and early warning signals for market shifts.

👉 Unlock the full report and stay ahead.

Why Subscribe?

  • Exclusive insights into liquidity trends that drive the markets.
  • Timely analysis of key indicators like repo markets, Fed policy, and Treasury strategies.
  • Early warning signals for shifts in market sentiment and momentum.

Stay informed. Stay ahead. Don’t let hidden risks catch you off guard.

👉 Get instant access to Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader now.

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Liquidity on the Edge: Debt Ceiling Drama, Repo Risk, and Market Momentum

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Liquidity remains plentiful, sustaining bullish market sentiment for now. Key risks include a breakdown in repo growth, foreign investor withdrawal, and Treasury policy for debt ceiling management. A reversal in any of these areas could signal the start of a major market correction.

The next few months will be critical in determining whether liquidity continues to sustain market momentum or if cracks start to emerge. Here are the keys to the outlook.

📈Not a subscriber? Subscribe Today and start making informed decisions in an ever-changing market.

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Gold’s Road to $3,600? Cycle Projections Reveal What’s Next

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

The new 9-12 month cycle up phase is now confirmed. Shorter cycles have hit projections and were due to top out last week but the upturn in the longer cycle could cause them to trend, or skew to the right. In the short run, gold is in the clear for a move to…

👉 Not a subscriber? Subscribe now to Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader Gold Reports

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Volatility Resurgence: Cycle-Based Technical Analysis for Market Professionals

Lee Adler

After a period of relative calm, volatility has returned to the markets with a vengeance. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq are all testing critical support levels, leaving traders and money managers on edge. This is a pivotal moment: whether these levels hold or break will dictate the market’s trajectory in the weeks ahead. For professional investors and money managers, understanding the interplay between key cycle indicators and major support and resistance levels is essential to navigating these turbulent waters.

In this week’s analysis, we provide actionable insights into:

  • Key cycle phases across short, intermediate, and long-term horizons.
  • Market signals that could indicate an upcoming trend shift.
  • Multicycle breadth-momentum indicators revealing potential opportunities.

With markets at a crossroads, this analysis is designed to give you a clear framework for decision-making in uncertain conditions.

Market Highlights:

1. Is the Market Setting Up for a Major Move? Volatility is surging, and key technical and cycle indicators are signaling a possible inflection point. Will the market break down further, or is this a shakeout before the next move higher?

2. Signs of a Larger Trend Reversal? Key indicators clearly foreshadowed and confirm a battle between short-term weakness and long-term cycle trends. Could this be the beginning of a larger shift, or will the bulls regain control?

3. Momentum and Breadth Signals Worth Watching Our cycle screening data highlights crucial shifts in multicycle momentum and breadth. Spotting these early can provide an edge in determining where the next opportunities lie.

Why This Matters for Professionals:

  • Risk Management: Insights to help you refine your entry and exit points.
  • Timing Opportunities: Identify key market signals before they unfold.
  • Actionable Framework: A structured approach to navigating uncertainty with confidence.

Stay ahead of the curve. Take a risk free trial today to read the full analysis to uncover the latest insights and strategies tailored for professional investors and money managers. Don’t miss this opportunity to refine your market approach in a rapidly shifting environment. Also includes weekly stock screens for swing trade ideas. A good short term swing trade entry can turn into a great long term holding.

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Volatility Returns: Key Cycle Signals to Watch for the Week of 2/3/25

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Volatility is back, and the market is testing critical levels. The S&P 500 futures dropped below key support this morning, challenging the range between xxxx-xxxx. If the selloff sticks, it could open the door to a xxxxxxxxxxxx lows near. xxxxxxxxx. On the other hand, a quick recovery could keep the uptrend alive and put the January highs back in play. 

The Dow is showing signs of a potential breakdown, hovering near 43,800. A drop below this level would raise the risk of a larger top pattern forming, with deeper downside targets of xxxxxx if xxxxxx breaks. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq remains range-bound, with xxxx xxxx xxxx breakout or breakdown on the horizon as conflicting cycles keep it in check. 

This week’s report focuses on the latest cycle analysis and what the data tells us about the path ahead. With short-term cycles turning xxxxxxx xxxx and intermediate-term cycles xxxxxxxxx, the market faces xxxxxxxxxxxx. Long-term cycles suggest the potential for xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, but this could change quickly if xxxxx support levels xxxx. 



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