What else is new? Tomorrow, the Fed talks. But Fed talk is cheap. The Fed wants you to think that talk – its talk –…
This is what it does. It stops publishing good data, and either substitutes no data, or shitty data.
I rely on the Fed’s weekly data in my research. I want to know what’s going on as close to real time as possible. It’s simple. As traders, we need current data, or as close to current as possible.
The Fed’s new format H6 money supply release is utterly useless. But fortunately, there’s a workaround.
The US Treasury’s attempt to rescue the Treasury market began in mid February. It’s not going well. They’ve managed to stop the hemorrhaging. Prices have…
Last month, I headlined this report, “We Don’t Need No Effin’ Stimmy.” That’s even more true now. Withholding tax collections are skyrocketing. It’s good news…
The bear market in Treasuries that started in August devolved into an outright crash last week. Meanwhile, evidence shows that cash in Primary Dealer accounts…
The US Treasury announced today that it would inject another $30 billion into the markets, in an attempt to forestall systemic meltdown. It will pay…
The Treasury is injecting still more cash into the market, on top of the $96 billion it already staged last week. It announced on Tuesday…
The Treasury is injecting more cash into the market. It announced today that it will do a second round of T-bill paydowns next week, adding…
And I’ve spewed a whole lot of words over the past 3 weeks. Scary words. Words including warnings that one of the titans of the…
This is big. In a panic over the surge in the 10 year Treasury yield and the attendant fall in Treasury note and bond prices,…
Let’s talk about the confusion around QE cause and effect, with financial bubbles and money supply. And let’s get to the point — the proof of how QE actually enters the banking system AFTER it gets pumped into the markets, not before.
The Primary Dealers always hedge their fixed income portfolio positions in the futures markets. Looking only at their bond portfolio positions may not give us…