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Author: Lee Adler

Gold Chart Cycles Show Mixed Signals: Trading Range Continues as Long-Term Uptrend Remains Intact

Lee Adler

The gold chart cycles are currently showing mixed and directionless movements, with no clear signs of momentum in either direction. This suggests that the trading range is likely to persist until cycles align for a potential upside shift. A key setup to watch for a potential breakout could materialize in [specific timeframe or scenario]. As of now, the long-term uptrend remains intact, but a daily close below [specific support level] within the next week would challenge this outlook. On the other hand, a breakout above [specific resistance level] could spark a more decisive upward move. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

In the miner swing pick list, there were 4 picks with an average gain of 5.2% over an average holding period of 3 weeks. Additionally, 26 charts presented short-term buy signals last week, with 16 triggered at major support levels. I’ve reviewed those charts, including 2 that were already on the list, and added 3 new opportunities for consideration.

Non-subscribers can click here for access to these premium updates.

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Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails.  Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Stock Cycles Point Upward but High Due Soon with S&P Near Projections – Technical Trader Report

Lee Adler

Cycles are in gear to the upside. A 6 month cycle high is due shortly, but projections point much higher.  Non subscribers can click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Cycles are aligning for an upward trend. A 6-month cycle high is expected shortly, but projections suggest even greater potential. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Cycle Analysis:
The 6-month cycle projection has increased to xxxx, though it’s worth noting that the 13-week cycle projection of xxxx appears more realistic. There are still x-x weeks left in the current up phase. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Short-term cycles are in sync, with projected highs of xxxx expected this week. Any mild correction could pave the way for a breakout toward the 13-week cycle projection. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Cycle Screening Measures:
Data was weak last week, no longer supporting the rally. A down day on Monday would break the pattern of higher lows. If the market holds, the pattern remains neutral to modestly bullish. However, the 6-month cycle measures have flipped to xxxxxxxxxx, signaling at least a xxxxxxxxxxxx. Smoothed, lagged measures are on the verge of triggering xxxxxx if the market holds steady this week. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Trend Channel Analysis:
The lower trendline of the sharpest short-term channel is rising from xxxx to xxxxx this week. If the market closes above xxxx on Friday, it will remain in an intermediate-term uptrend. Support at xxxx is the next level, with a potential drop to a significant support cluster around xxxx if broken. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart:
The market is rising in the mid-channel, with clearance to xxxx by year-end. Channel support rises from xxxx to xxxx by mid-January. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Monthly Chart (12/2/24):
The lower channel bound sits at xxxx this month, with the upper bound around xxxx, setting the stage for potential price action in the coming weeks. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Technical Stock Screens Reveal- 2 Buys and 2 Short Sale Picks This Week

Lee Adler

The screens revealed 116 charts that met minimum long-term structural buy criteria and 97 that met minimum long-term structural sell criteria. Among the buy signals, 93 met intermediate buy criteria, while 36 of the long-term sell signals met intermediate sell criteria. After further screening, 10 short-term buy signals and 5 short-term sell signals (including sell short opportunities) were identified. Based on a visual review, 2 buys and 2 short sales will be added to the list on Monday.non-subscribers can click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Seven picks were removed from the list last week based on prior instructions. Stops are being maintained on 4 others, while the remainder will be held this week. The strategy incorporates risk management through small position sizes and diversification, though your approach may vary. non-subscribers can click here for access.

As of December 6, the open and closed picks yielded an average gain of 7.1% with an average holding period of 27 calendar days, compared to 6.8% the previous week with a holding period of 23 calendar days.non-subscribers can click here for access.

For a complete list of open and new picks with charts, non-subscribers can click here for access.

Including open picks as of December 6, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 7.1% on average holding period of 27 calendar days. That compares with +6.8% the previous week also on the average holding period 23 calendar days. non-subscribers can click here for access.

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, non-subscribers can click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Stock Market Outlook: Extreme Valuations, Liquidity Growth, and the Road to the Next Bear Market

Lee Adler

Stock Prices and Market Liquidity: Extreme Valuations and the Path to a Potential Bear Market

Stock prices are currently stretched beyond any extreme levels seen since the 2000 Internet/Tech bubble peak when compared to market liquidity. However, this alone isn’t enough to trigger a sell signal. Liquidity continues to grow, and there’s nothing to stop it from expanding further. Similarly, stock market valuations, which reflect long-term market sentiment, are likely to become even more extreme in the foreseeable future. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Liquidity Growth and Stock Market Valuations: What Investors Need to Know

Despite the current extreme valuations, liquidity is still on the rise, providing support to the market. This continued growth in liquidity and sentiment could drive valuations to even higher levels, prolonging the bull market. Non-subscribers can access the full report for in-depth insights. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

When Market Sentiment Shifts: Preparing for a Potential Bear Market and Crash

When market sentiment does eventually shift, it is unlikely to result in a typical correction. The greater risk is a significant bear market, potentially with one or more market crashes along the way. While we are not at that point yet, this report explores what investors can expect as market conditions evolve. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Impact of the Debt Limit and Political Factors on Stock Market Timing

The re-imposition of the U.S. debt limit on January 2 could trigger the usual political instability that accompanies these episodes. This report highlights how these political factors could impact the timing of the next stock market peak and what investors should anticipate for the future of the market. Subscribers can download the full report for detailed analysis.

Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Giant Gain in November Withholding Tax Collections

Lee Adler

Federal withholding tax collections surged in November on the heels of the October stall. That stall was due to hurricanes and the Boeing strike. We were aware that a rebound was already under way in late October. It continued with a vengeance in November. But much of the growth was a result of delayed demand. It was a bungee effect from the October pullback. Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

The bigger picture shows ongoing strong revenue growth that could reduce xxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxxx the months ahead, especially if the Trump Administration lets the debt ceiling play out. That and strong revenue growth would mean months of xxxxxxx x xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx beginning in xxxxxxxxxxxx and lasting through xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx. Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Gold’s Trading Cycle Alignment Has Potential

Lee Adler

The 13 week cycle should be in the early stages of a xxxx xxxx phase, due to last until late January. Short cycles are in xxxx phases, along with the 9-12 month cycle. But there’s no sign of thrust in either direction. The trading range should continue until cycles get in gear to the upside. A setup conducive to that could come in xxxx. The long term uptrend remains intact. A daily close below xxxx over the next week would violate it.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

The miner swing pick list has 4 picks. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails.  Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Analyzing Short and Long-Term Market Trends and Patterns

Lee Adler
Cycles

The up phases in cycles from 13 weeks to 10-12 months have strengthened. The only cycle with a projection is the 6 month cycle. It points to a high of xxxx ideally due xxxxxx xxxxxx. A variance of a month or so is normal.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycle Screening Measures

These measures continue to xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxx  with 6 month cycle measures suggesting xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Third Rail   

The market is moving toward the apex of a wedge pattern at xxxx this week. The lower trendline of the sharpest short term channel rises from xxxx to xxxx this week. If the market is above xxxx on Friday, it’s still a strong uptrend. Clearing that would suggest acceleration toward a quick move to xxxx.  Even if they break the lower line, a short term uptrend would still be in force until there’s a close below xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart

The market is rising mid channel with clearance to xxxx at year end. Channel support rises from xxxx to near xxxx.Non subscribers click here to access.

Monthly Chart

The lower channel bound is at xxxx this month. The upper bound is around xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Warning Signs: Are Primary Dealers Indicating a Market Top?

Lee Adler

Measures of Primary Dealer holdings, financing and hedging are flashing warnings of an approaching stock market top. After surging for a couple of years they’re diverging from supporting bullish stock and bond market price trends. The last time this happened was in 2021, in a process that lasted around 14 months before the market reversed. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

No two historical periods are identical. But the current divergences and signs of retrenchment have lasted almost as long as the prior instance. Once the mass psychology that fed the bullish trend begins to reverse, the deleveraging starts. That reversal then becomes self sustaining . First it happens slowly. Then it happens suddenly. We want to be on the alert to be out of long positions. We also want to position for shorts before that sudden phase hits.  Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Liquidity measures set the context. They’re warning that we’re in the late stage of this bull market. It’s time to be alert to any signs of reversal in the technical indicators. For the bond market, that could be something as simple as the 10 year yield xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx. Once that happens, the potential for a hard selloff in the bond market increases. That could erupt into contagion to stocks. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

However, there’s a wild card. Come January 2, the Federal debt ceiling will be reimposed. The incoming administration will begin to deal with that on January 20. The new government has yet to tip its hand. Will it allow the clock to run until Treasury cash runs down to zero until it raises the debt limit? Non-subscribers, click here for access.

The Treasury’s practice in past episodes of debt ceiling roulette has been to use Treasury cash to pay down T-bills. Meanwhile it continues issuing coupon debt on the pre-ordained schedule. That has bullish effects for stocks, because T-bill paydown pump cash back into investor and dealer accounts. Some players then deploy that into the stock market. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

That effect would last until Treasury cash approaches zero. If that’s the policy choice, that process takes 5-6 months to reach a climax. At that point, they must raise the debt limit. Otherwise we leap into the unknown where the US government can’t pay its bills. I reveal what that would mean in this report. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Top Stock Charts: This Week’s Insights

Lee Adler

The screens produced 43 charts meeting both long term, intermediate, and short term buy side criteria. Only one met all sell side criteria. On visual review I liked 2 of the buys and will add them to the list on Monday. I took a pass on the one short sale candidate. Here’s the updated list for this week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the report.

One pick will be counted as covered at the opening price on Monday. I have added stops to 7 others.  

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Gold’s Setup for End November

Lee Adler

A 13 week cycle low was due but confirmation is needed. Holding above the last low, followed by an upturn would be a good start. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails.  Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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