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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader- Money Trends

How Fed and Treasury policy, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity, interact to drive the financial markets. Focus on trend direction of US bonds and stocks. Resulting market strategy and tactical ideas. 4-5 in depth reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

The Question is WHY Aren’t Stocks and Bonds Doing even BETTER!

That’s the question of the hour as the Fed pumps money into the financial markets at a record pace. Here’s what’s important about that.

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Straight Faced Powell Says Don’t Call It QE, But We Do

In 2½ months the Fed replaced what it took 8 months to drain off between January and August 2019. But Lying Jerry says, “It’s not QE!”

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November Federal Revenues Grew, Shrinking The Deficit – Here’s What It Means

Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. That has implications for the Treasury supply outlook, and consequently for investment strategy. It may not be what you think.

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They Say It’s Only The Plumbing – That’s A Laugh

The Wall Street captured media likes to tell us that there’s just a small plumbing problem in the money market.

But the fact is that it’s not a “little plumbing problem.”  It’s much bigger. The Fed knew it. You don’t pump $337 billlion in cash into the market in 2 months for nothing.

Here’s the big picture, and what comes next, like forever maybe.

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The Fed and the Bulls Are Winning – QE New is Working

Treasury supply is gargantuan. But size doesn’t matter because the Fed can take it.  And is taking it. Almost all of it.

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October Federal Deficit Grew, So Fed Monetizes Even More

Federal revenues fell in October for the first time since February. And outlays rose, widening the deficit. The Fed raised its ante in response. Here’s what this means and what you should do about it.

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Fed’s Welfare Program for Wall Street Has Stemmed the Crisis, But Not the Bleeding

The Fed has pumped almost $311 billion into the accounts of Primary Dealers since mid September. Here’s what that has done and what it hasn’t, and why you should be worried.

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Macro Liquidity Is Surging Thanks to Uncle Fedster

The Fed has been pumping money into the system hand over fist since mid September when it restarted QE. It’s working… to a degree. But there are problems.

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Surprise Surprise, The Fed is Buying Whatever The Treasury Is Selling

The Fed is taking up all new Treasury issuance, dollar for dollar.  Must be a coincidence.

Uh…

No…

Here’s what it means and what to do about it.

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US Government Defecates – Fed May Lose Control

The US Treasury daily tax data showed weak revenue and soaring outlays in October. The deficit is soaring, but the Fed is monetizing every penny of it and then some, leaving the Primary Dealers with plenty of cash.

Here’s why this is like the Fed piloting a Boeing 737 Max 800. It is exactly the same thing.

No. I mean it.

Seriously.

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