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Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Volatility Returns: Key Cycle Signals to Watch for the Week of 2/3/25

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Volatility is back, and the market is testing critical levels. The S&P 500 futures dropped below key support this morning, challenging the range between xxxx-xxxx. If the selloff sticks, it could open the door to a xxxxxxxxxxxx lows near. xxxxxxxxx. On the other hand, a quick recovery could keep the uptrend alive and put the January highs back in play. 

The Dow is showing signs of a potential breakdown, hovering near 43,800. A drop below this level would raise the risk of a larger top pattern forming, with deeper downside targets of xxxxxx if xxxxxx breaks. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq remains range-bound, with xxxx xxxx xxxx breakout or breakdown on the horizon as conflicting cycles keep it in check. 

This week’s report focuses on the latest cycle analysis and what the data tells us about the path ahead. With short-term cycles turning xxxxxxx xxxx and intermediate-term cycles xxxxxxxxx, the market faces xxxxxxxxxxxx. Long-term cycles suggest the potential for xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, but this could change quickly if xxxxx support levels xxxx. 



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Top Swing Trade Screen Picks for Subscribers- February 3, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Non-subscribers, 📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

Our proprietary cycle screens revealed 273 charts that met ideal major trend buy setup criteria last week. 111charts met ideal major sell criteria. This is from a universe of approximately 1500 listed stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. This test has a two-week lookback period. Therefore, it has a built-in lag for identifying major and intermediate turning points.

287 charts met ideal intermediate term buy side criteria last week. 149 met intermediate term sell side criteria.  

Among the major and intermediate buy setups, 6 short term buys triggered versus 21 sells on Friday. On the week, a total of 69 short term buy signals triggered and 99 short term sell signals.

On visual review I liked none of the buys and 6 of the shorts as shown on the table below (Subscriber report).

Two picks hit stop prices during the week and one short will be closed as of the opening price on Monday. I have added stops to a couple of the remaining picks and am letting others ride for now.

Last week the list showed an average gain of 5.4% on an average holding period of 11 calendar days versus 4.1% with an average holding period of 11 calendar days the previous week. This week the list starts with 17 open picks of which 9 are longs and 8 are shorts. Last week there were 18 open picks to start, of which 10 were longs and 8 were shorts.

January performance was mixed. Including only trades closed out during the month there was an average loss of 2.4% and an average holding period of 14 calendar days. Including both closed picks and those picks still open as of January 31, there was an average gain of 3.7% and an average holding period of 10 calendar days.

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Fakeout Shakeout Volatility is Back- Subscriber Report 1/27/25

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Futures dropped sharply this morning, reaching a low of 5915 before rebounding to 5980 in the premarket. Volatility is back, with xxxx-xxxx now acting as crucial support or resistance. Here are the key technical levels and indicators to watch, along with outlook and price targets depending on this week’s keys.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.



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Top Swing Trade Screen Picks for Subscribers- Jan 27, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Non-subscribers, 📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

Our proprietary cycle screens revealed 160 charts that met ideal major trend buy setup criteria last week versus 162 the prior week. There were 145 that met ideal major sell criteria versus 128 the previous week. This is from a universe of 1440 listed stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria.This test has a two-week lookback period. Therefore, it has a built-in lag for identifying major and intermediate turning points.   

123 charts met ideal intermediate term buy side criteria last week versus 126 the previous week. 113 met intermediate term sell side criteria versus 105 the prior week.  

Among the major and intermediate buy setups, 9 short term buys triggered versus 12 the previous week. 42 sells triggered versus 11 the previous week.    

On visual review I liked 3 of the buys and 6 of the shorts as shown on the table below. Other than when a limit price is indicated, all picks will be added to the list based on the average of opening and closing prices on Monday.

Last week the list showed an average gain of 4.1% with an average holding period of 11 calendar days. Three picks hit stop prices during the week and I posted that one would be covered at last week’s open. The results are included on the chart. I have added stops to the a couple of the remaining picks and am letting others ride for now.

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S&P 500 Outlook: Key Levels and Cycles for January 2025

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

The market is at a pivotal point, again. Market action early this week should signal whether recent gains lead to a sustained uptrend or a deeper pullback. Here’s what to look for.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

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Top Swing Trade Picks for Subscribers- Jan 20, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Our proprietary cycle screens revealed 162 charts that met minimum long term ideal buy criteria last week versus 84 the prior week. There were 128 that met ideal long term sell criteria versus 453 the previous week. This was from a universe of approximately 1500 listed stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. Non-subscribers, 📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

This test has a two-week lookback period. Therefore, it has a built-in lag for identifying major and intermediate turning points. That imposes a penalty at such times. Last week looks like one of those times.

126 charts met ideal intermediate term buy side criteria last week. 105 met intermediate term sell side criteria. This test also has a two-week lookback period and therefore also a built-in short-term lag.

Among the major and intermediate buy setups, 12 short term buys triggered and 11 sells triggered.  

On visual review I liked 5 of the buys as shown on the table below, but there are two that will only be added if they hit a limit price during the week. I chose one short. Other than as noted, all picks will be added to the list based on the average of Tuesday’s opening and closing prices. Two of the picks will also be added with protective stop prices included.

Meanwhile, last week did not go well as all new picks were shorts. The list had an average loss of 0.1% with an average holding period of 10 calendar days.

Three picks hit stop prices during the week. I’ll drop one more at the open on Tuesday, and add stops to the rest.   

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S&P 500’s Critical Crossroads: What Lies Ahead for the Markets?

Lee Adler

Are the markets on the brink of a major shift? The current analysis suggests the S&P 500 is hovering around a pivotal support level, and the implications could be a major shock for investors. Will short selling become a viable strategy for portfolio protection and profit?

Key highlights include:

  • S&P 500 Alert: Will it hold the 5800 support area or plunge toward the next target? A potential breakout above xxxx could flip the script entirely.
  • Cycle Analysis: Bearish phases dominate the landscape. Could a rally challenge that, or would it be a setup for a deeper decline?

Our full report dives deep into these market-moving dynamics, using advanced cycle and technical analysis to map out the most likely paths, with specific triggers to alert you.

Curious to learn more? Unlock the complete report to gain actionable insights and prepare for what’s next. Subscribe here to read the full analysis.

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Critical Market Turning Point: What Will S&P 500 Break Below 5800 Mean

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

As the market nears completion of a major top pattern, here’s what it means for the intermediate and longer term outlook.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

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Top Swing Trade Picks & Market Insights: Gold, Footwear, and Short-Sale Opportunities – Jan 12, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Oh, Dem Golden Slippers!

This week’s Technical Trader Weekly Chart Picks provides a comprehensive look at market trends, offering actionable chart picks for swing trades. Here’s a preview of what our proprietary technical cycle screens uncovered:

  • Market Sentiment Shifts: A significant tilt towards sell signals for the fourth consecutive week, indicating potential opportunities for savvy traders.
  • Long-Term & Intermediate Trends: Key insights from proprietary cycle screens of all actively traded NYSE and Nasdaq stocks, highlight swing trend changes, exclusively for subscribers.
  • Performance Updates: December closed with an average gain of 3.7% over a 29-day holding period, reinforcing the value of disciplined, data-driven strategies.

Stay Ahead of the Market: Our proprietary algorithm continues to evolve, integrating adjustments aimed at enhancing entry and exit timing and reducing noise in trade signals. Subscribers gain exclusive access to expertly curated charts and performance tracking to refine their trading strategies.

🚀 Take your trading to the next level! Subscribe to our Technical Trader service designed for chart traders, and those looking for early warning on fundamentals based opportunities and dangers. Gain access to weekly chart picks, detailed performance tracking, and exclusive insights.

🔗 Visit LiquidityTrader.com and join an elite community of traders maximizing their edge in the market.

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Market at Critical Crossroads

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

The S&P 500 is testing key resistance at xxxx. A breakout could signal a short-term uptrend, while failure to hold would complete a head-and-shoulders top pattern, with a conventional measured move  target at xxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

  • Key Levels:
    • Support: xxxx, xxxx
    • Resistance: xxxx, xxxx

Dow Jones Industrial Average: The Dow is challenging its downtrend channel. A close above xxxxxx signals a breakout, while failure risks falling to support near xxxxxx.

Cycle Analysis: Short-Term: Market strength could confirm a xxxxxx xxxxx xxxxx

  • Long-Term: Vulnerable below xxxx, but potential remains for xxxxx by mid-2025.

Indicator Review: Mixed signals. Short-term indicators lean xxxxxxx, but intermediate cycles show xxxx xxxxx. Sustained gains this week are xxxx xxxxx xxxxx.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

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