Category: 2 – Technical Trader

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Cycles – Intermediate cycles are xxxxxx or trending xxxxxx, while short-term cycles are mixed, driven more by year-end market conditions. Earlier indicators pointed to tops in the x and x-xxxxxx month cycles. Although xxxxx targets have been met, cycle indicators remain xxxx, with ample room for xxxxx lows in the 13-week and 6-month timeframes. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Cycle Screening Measures – Last week’s rebound turned the aggregate measure positive, recovering from a recent low that was near the April bottom. The 29-day moving average (MA) remained flat, sitting just below prior cycle lows, aligning with the 6-month cycle low in May. The cumulative line rose slightly but stayed under the 29-day MA, remaining on an intermediate term xxxx signal. New 6-month cycle indicators shifted to a xxxx signal, suggesting a potential cycle xxxx, but year-end seasonality raises doubt. A clearer picture should emerge in the new year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Third Rail – The market is in a short term downtrend channel but still aligns with longer-term uptrend channels. Key support lies between xxxx-xxxx. A break below xxxx would be a head-and-shoulders breakdown targeting xxxx. Downtrend resistance ranges from xxxx to xxxx, while upward resistance appears at xxxx and xxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – Updated projections suggest a market top is forming, with recent highs near the projected peak. A significant drop below xxxx would suggest a long-term cycle top. Indicators reflect a maturing bull market, but a market recovery this week could signal continued upward movement, delaying the peak well into next year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Monthly Chart – The market remains within the center of a narrow uptrend channel. January’s lower boundary is at xxxx, with the upper limit near xxxx. Although momentum is weakening, it remains xxxxxxx, and no xxxx signal has been triggered yet. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Subscribers Only. Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

With gratitude for your support, I wish you a Joyeux Noel and Happy New Year from Nice, France!

The screens revealed 33 charts that met minimum long term structural buy criteria last week, and 455 that met minimum long term structural sell criteria. That’s nearly a third of all the stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. It’s a dramatic change that suggests that there will be more opportunities to sell short in the new year. Just not right now. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Of those long-term potential buy setups, just 24 met intermediate term buy side minimum criteria. Of the long-term sells, 317 met intermediate sell criteria. The intermediate buys and sells were screened for corresponding short term triggers. There were 3 short term buys triggered and 18 sells. The reason that there were so few short term sells is that most of the damage had already been done. The next round of sell signals after a rebound or consolidation should be good short sales. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

On visual review I liked none of the buys or sells (sell short). The holiday week is always a good time to take a break anyway.

Meanwhile, 11 picks dropped off the list last week, as shown on the table below. I had recommended 3 to be sold as of the open last week. The rest hit my posted stops. I am placing or maintaining stops on all but 1 of the 6 picks that remain open to begin the holiday week. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Including open picks as of December 20, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 7.6% on average holding period of 31 calendar days. That compares with +7.0% the previous week on an average holding period 30 calendar days. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

I had culled losing positions earlier in the month. As a result, for December as a whole, including current open picks and those closed earlier in the month, the average gain has been 3.5% on an average holding period of 26 calendar days. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

This system obviously isn’t perfect. The screens have done a good job of finding winners but also too many that turn bad. I continue to tweak the algorithms with the goal of including checks in the screening process that will recognize setups that will not be profitable. However, sometimes good charts end up breaking bad. 😁 Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Disclaimer:
All recommendations are theoretical and assume cash-based trading with no margin or options. Use risk management techniques tailored to your investment strategy. For more insights, visit Liquidity Trader.

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The stock market is perched at a critical juncture, awaiting clarity as conflicting indicators create a tense atmosphere for traders and investors. Short-term cycles hint at potential shifts, while long-term trends remain intact—for now. Key metrics suggest the market could see either a resumption of its rally or a possible turn toward consolidation later this week.

One thing is clear: the interplay between technical resistance levels and support zones will play a pivotal role in defining the next moves. Will the market break through the current trading range, or will it reverse? This week, price action could offer the first hints.  Non subscribers can click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Indicators to Keep You Ahead

• Cycle Trends: What do mixed signals from 6-month and longer-term cycles suggest for future market direction?
• Third Rail Dynamics: How could trading within a defined range signal the next big move?
• Market Momentum Breadth: Why are cumulative indicators hovering near critical levels, and what does it mean for upcoming trends?
• Long-Term Channels: Is the market’s climb still aligned with historical trendlines, or are we nearing a turning point?

Gain exclusive insights on what’s driving the market—and the actionable strategies you need to stay ahead. Don’t miss out on the deeper analysis of these unfolding trends. Subscribe now to access the full report and ensure you’re ready for whatever the market brings next.

Subscription Plans

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This summary is produced by AI, for the purpose of search engine optimization (SEO). The analysis, conclusions, charts, and discussion in the subscriber report are entirely and solely the original work product of Lee Adler, derived from raw data and original analysis based on 60 years of market observation and technical charting.  

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These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Cycles are in gear to the upside. A 6 month cycle high is due shortly, but projections point much higher.  Non subscribers can click here to access.

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Cycles are aligning for an upward trend. A 6-month cycle high is expected shortly, but projections suggest even greater potential. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Cycle Analysis:
The 6-month cycle projection has increased to xxxx, though it’s worth noting that the 13-week cycle projection of xxxx appears more realistic. There are still x-x weeks left in the current up phase. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Short-term cycles are in sync, with projected highs of xxxx expected this week. Any mild correction could pave the way for a breakout toward the 13-week cycle projection. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Cycle Screening Measures:
Data was weak last week, no longer supporting the rally. A down day on Monday would break the pattern of higher lows. If the market holds, the pattern remains neutral to modestly bullish. However, the 6-month cycle measures have flipped to xxxxxxxxxx, signaling at least a xxxxxxxxxxxx. Smoothed, lagged measures are on the verge of triggering xxxxxx if the market holds steady this week. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Trend Channel Analysis:
The lower trendline of the sharpest short-term channel is rising from xxxx to xxxxx this week. If the market closes above xxxx on Friday, it will remain in an intermediate-term uptrend. Support at xxxx is the next level, with a potential drop to a significant support cluster around xxxx if broken. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart:
The market is rising in the mid-channel, with clearance to xxxx by year-end. Channel support rises from xxxx to xxxx by mid-January. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Monthly Chart (12/2/24):
The lower channel bound sits at xxxx this month, with the upper bound around xxxx, setting the stage for potential price action in the coming weeks. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Cycles

The up phases in cycles from 13 weeks to 10-12 months have strengthened. The only cycle with a projection is the 6 month cycle. It points to a high of xxxx ideally due xxxxxx xxxxxx. A variance of a month or so is normal.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycle Screening Measures

These measures continue to xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxx  with 6 month cycle measures suggesting xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Third Rail   

The market is moving toward the apex of a wedge pattern at xxxx this week. The lower trendline of the sharpest short term channel rises from xxxx to xxxx this week. If the market is above xxxx on Friday, it’s still a strong uptrend. Clearing that would suggest acceleration toward a quick move to xxxx.  Even if they break the lower line, a short term uptrend would still be in force until there’s a close below xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart

The market is rising mid channel with clearance to xxxx at year end. Channel support rises from xxxx to near xxxx.Non subscribers click here to access.

Monthly Chart

The lower channel bound is at xxxx this month. The upper bound is around xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance.