Menu Close

Lee Adler’s

Lee Adler’s

Category: 2 – Advanced Cycle Analytics

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with multi timeframe market trend and cycle forecasts   

Cycle Pressures Build While SPX Maintains Rising Long Term Channel

Lee Adler

The market retraced into clustered support but preserved its broader uptrend. Multiple intermediate cycles slipped into down phases, although none have broken long-term rising channels. Short-term cycles remain out of sync and imply continued churning. Early-week action is pivotal because several indicators sit directly on inflection points where failure would trigger deeper declines, while a modest continuation of Friday’s rebound could generate short-term buy signals.

Here are the support and resistance levels, cycle projections, and indicators to watch. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks and Results – Strong Results, Including Shorts

Lee Adler

The screening algorithms produced another week of solid performance last week. But that was yesterday. Our focus now turns to the week ahead, to preserve and grow gains, and reduce the number of losing trades. The methodology is turning up a good number of winners, but still too many losers, and I have been remiss in adding too many iffy setups to the list. The screens are doing their job. The screener needs to do better.

Go to the post

Uptrend Holds While Breadth Weakens Beneath the Surface

Lee Adler

U.S. equities continue to hold within strong uptrend channels across all time frames, yet the advance is showing signs of internal strain. The S&P 500 remains in a steady short-term uptrend after new highs in late October, but cycle-screen data reveal that participation has narrowed sharply. The indexes stay firm, while many individual stocks have slipped into short-term down phases.

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks and Results – Back to the Buy Side

Lee Adler

During the week ended Friday, October 17, out of 1899 stocks meeting institutional price and volume criteria, the screens produced the following results :

Picks closed since September 9 showed an average gain of 7.6% on an average holding period of 29 calendar days. Currently open picks have an average gain of 3% on an average holding period of 22 calendar days. This compares with a gain of 2.2% in the S&P 500 since September 9. Past performance does not indicate future results. 

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks and Results – New Shorts, High Uncertainty, Split Entry

Lee Adler

The bullish fever broke on Friday, and today’s list of new additions to the list shows the effect. However, Friday’s break was driven by a statement made by President Trump. Picks closed since September 9, or open as of the October 10 close, showed an average gain of 8.5%, which is a drop from the 11.6% gain the previous week. This compares with a gain of 0.5% in the S&P 500 since September 9. The average holding period was 32 calendar days. Table below.

Go to the post