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Author: Lee Adler

Here’s a Gold Thing Going Parabolic

Lee Adler

The 9-12 month cycle has apparently shifted into trending mode as it blew through its previous projection of xxxx. Likewise the 13-week cycle also seems to be trending, with a projected range of xxxx-xxxx.  Resistance is projected around xxxx. If broken, the move would be in parabolic blowoff mode. Is that a good thing? Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Meanwhile our swinging miners picks are up 15%. I’m adding two more to the list this week.

Non-subscribers click here for access.

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Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Market Can’t Live By Repo Alone

Lee Adler

Not much has changed in liquidity measures since last week’s breakout to new highs. Most indicators have paused. But the market rallies remain well supported by adequate liquidity. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

There are a couple of things to watch. One is that the September T-bill paydowns have ended. These are regular quarterly occurrences that happen when quarterly estimated income tax collections come in. The US Treasury briefly has an excess of cash, and pays down outstanding T-bills. Those are direct cash infusions into dealer and big investor accounts, and they’re virtually always bullish. That prop now goes away until December. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

The other factor is that the Fed’s RRP slush fund has rebounded as a result of those paydowns, and the stupidity of quarter end window dressing. Much of that spike will disappear on October 1. Then we’ll see how much investable cash remains in the RRP facility, so that we can get a better idea of when that fund will run out of cash, and stop acting as a prop for asset prices. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

I continue to estimate that it will effectively run out of money in xxxxxxxxxxx, or xxxxxxxxx at the latest. That’s when we’ll find out whether animal spirits are sustainable on the basis of repo borrowing alone, along with the attendant increase in leverage. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

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KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Let ’em Ride

Lee Adler

As of September 23 closing prices, the list had an average gain of + 7.4% on an average holding period of 22 calendar days. That was up from an average gain of + 7.3% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days the week before. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 389 short-term buys and 359 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 68 buys and 39 sells. Given the bullishness of the broad market analysis I did not want to add shorts, and I felt that there were enough buys already on the list. So I skipped the visual review this week and will let the 14 existing open picks ride. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Stars Are Aligned

Lee Adler

If everything points up, can the bulls be denied? Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Gold Sings Higher and Higher

Lee Adler

The 9-12 month cycle projection suggests that the uptrend has reached its limit and a top is due now on the 13/17 week cycle. However, the projection for that cycle points higher. My bet is on that. This report illustrates why, and gives the targets for this move and longer term. I also update the mining picks as they swing higher. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Macro Money Blows the Roof Off

Lee Adler

Measures of banking system and non bank liquidity have broken out to new highs. The market rallies remain well supported by adequate liquidity. There are a few measures flashing yellow but most are ramping. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

At the same time, critical ratios reached all time levels of extension over the summer. It means that the current rally is likely to be the final rally of the bull markets in stocks and bonds. Enjoy it while it lasts, because it’s not long for this world. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Along with the usual charts and explanations to paint the picture. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Eight Is Enough

Lee Adler

As of September 16 closing prices, the list had an average gain of + 7.3% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days. That was up from an average gain of + 4.7% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days the week before. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 523 short-term buys and 140 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were a whopping 184 buys and only 6 sells. Scary stuff for bears. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed all the sells, and the buys in alphabetical order through the letter H. At that point I had already selected 8 charts to add to the list on the buy side and I stopped. Because Eight is Enough. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Stock Market Has Perfect Lineup for Fall Classic

Lee Adler

Cycles now appear to be aligned to the upside just in time for the playoffs. . Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Gold Gets Ready to Rumble 9/12/24

Lee Adler

Cycles appear to be back in gear to the upside with the 9-12 month cycle in xxxx xxxx. Resistance is indicated around xxxx. Trend should accelerate if they clear that. However, a daily close below xxxx would suggest at least an intermediate term top. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

I have added 5 mining picks to swing.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Primary Dealer Clown Show Danger Pales in Comparison to Hedgie Daredevils

Lee Adler

Primary Dealers remain modestly net xxxx the bond market, including both their securities portfolios and futures hedges. That’s a problem, considering not only what’s going on right now, but what has been going on for the past 3 months. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Technically Treasuries are near an important inflection point on the charts. Repo shows extended leverage among dealers. They are slightly xxxxx overall, which isn’t bullish for the big picture. They are leveraged to the hilt and they’re taking hits. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Hedge fund positions in Treasuries have blown the basement out of their record short position. The mind boggling short position is based on a hedged carry trade that just keeps getting bigger and bigger. This is partly a function of ever increasing supply. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

That has the potential to trigger an unstable unwinding. So far it hasn’t. The rally goes on and their short position keeps getting bigger. It’s not clear how long it will be until this breaks. We must remain vigilant for a sign, whether it be in the liquidity data or the technical side. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Between both the dealers and the hedge funds we see these enormous positions, extreme leverage, and one-way hedged bets. Whatever way this breaks, the move should be big and fast in both bonds and stocks. However, we don’t yet have a tell on which market takes the hit, and which takes off. Or maybe with the extreme leverage, they both implode. Something big is coming, but when and how are still unclear. We need to be vigilant for something big. Here’s what to do in the meantime while we lie in wait, ever watchful. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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