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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader- Money Trends

How Fed and Treasury policy, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity, interact to drive the financial markets. Focus on trend direction of US bonds and stocks. Resulting market strategy and tactical ideas. 4-5 in depth reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Federal Revenues Grew Slower, Spending Faster in December

Lee Adler

Federal tax collections were a bit softer in December than in recent months, but overall were in the same growth path as throughout the past year. That signals that the US economy isn’t doing much differently than the pace it has been for the past several years. Here’s why that’s still bad news, and what you should do about it.

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Ten Year Yield At Critical Juncture Could Signal Big Trouble, or Not

Lee Adler

Circumstantial evidence suggests that the Primary Dealers are in big trouble. The 10 year yield holds the key. Here’s what to look for.

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Here’s Why You Should be Very Worried That Treasury Market Stunk in December

Lee Adler

The conditions were optimal for a big rally in Treasuries, but it didn’t happen, and that’s bad news.

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Here’s Why The Fed is Trapped

Lee Adler

The Fed can never leave QE. Here’s why, and what it means for you.

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Boffo Federal Revenues in December, But Deficit Was Insanely Huge

Lee Adler

Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. But Trump runs the Federal Goverment the way he ran his casinos into the ground.

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The Question is WHY Aren’t Stocks and Bonds Doing even BETTER!

Lee Adler

That’s the question of the hour as the Fed pumps money into the financial markets at a record pace. Here’s what’s important about that.

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Straight Faced Powell Says Don’t Call It QE, But We Do

Lee Adler

In 2½ months the Fed replaced what it took 8 months to drain off between January and August 2019. But Lying Jerry says, “It’s not QE!”

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November Federal Revenues Grew, Shrinking The Deficit – Here’s What It Means

Lee Adler

Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. That has implications for the Treasury supply outlook, and consequently for investment strategy. It may not be what you think.

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They Say It’s Only The Plumbing – That’s A Laugh

Lee Adler

The Wall Street captured media likes to tell us that there’s just a small plumbing problem in the money market.

But the fact is that it’s not a “little plumbing problem.”  It’s much bigger. The Fed knew it. You don’t pump $337 billlion in cash into the market in 2 months for nothing.

Here’s the big picture, and what comes next, like forever maybe.

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The Fed and the Bulls Are Winning – QE New is Working

Lee Adler

Treasury supply is gargantuan. But size doesn’t matter because the Fed can take it.  And is taking it. Almost all of it.

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