Supply and demand conditions for stocks and bonds have been as good as it gets over the past month. We can thank the Fed’s Not QE program, and light Treasury supply for that.
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It ain’t rocket science. The Fed drives liquidity and stock prices are the first order effect because that’s how monetary policy transmission is designed. These charts show you the way!
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Federal revenues softened in December. That could be just a blip, or it could be the first signs of a looming recession. It’s bullish if it is, and bullish if it isn’t. Here’s why everything is bullish.
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The Fed has monetized 99 percent of the Federal Debt since it started Not QE. That’s been bullish. Here’s what to look for and how to position, going forward.
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There are growing signs in the banking system that the Fed will lose control, and this won’t end well.
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Federal tax collections were a bit softer in December than in recent months, but overall were in the same growth path as throughout the past year. That signals that the US economy isn’t doing much differently than the pace it has been for the past several years. Here’s why that’s still bad news, and what you should do about it.
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Circumstantial evidence suggests that the Primary Dealers are in big trouble. The 10 year yield holds the key. Here’s what to look for.
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The conditions were optimal for a big rally in Treasuries, but it didn’t happen, and that’s bad news.
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The Fed can never leave QE. Here’s why, and what it means for you.
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Federal tax collections were robust in November, signaling that the US economy is perking along. But Trump runs the Federal Goverment the way he ran his casinos into the ground.
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