The Treasury’s numbers for June were as bad as expected. Early July numbers look good, but it’s a trick. Here’s how we know, and what…
Wall Street media shills have noted that the Fed’s balance sheet has shrunken a bit in recent weeks. Let’s get this out of the way…
The Meyer Lansky like Fed has cut back QE, but Treasury supply has also receded. So the Fed is still funding most new issuance, either…
As the Fed has cut back on QE, Primary Dealers have also cut back their inventories of Treasuries and the leverage that they use to…
The Treasury’s numbers are in for June and they’re not good. First things first. The BLS jobs data is just BS. Subscribers, click here to…
Common sense says that as case numbers increase, tax collections would fall and vice versa, REGARDLESS of whether governments imposed lockdowns. So my expectation was…
The imbalance between Fed QE and Treasury supply is ugly as as it gets for the next week, but then it gets less ugly. Here’s…
We know that total liquidity is still growing. The Fed is still printing and pumping money into the system at an historic rate. That rate…
This data tells us exactly what the big picture is right now, while Wall Street economists are still scratching their asses and trying to figure out what the government statistician manipulated data will be and will mean. And the first report from that government data is still 13 days away.
Primary dealers have been gradually paying down their outstanding repo loans from the Fed, just as we have long expected. This has momentous implications for…
The Monthly Treasury Statement for May confirms that the economy rebounded during the month, but more recent data through last week suggests that the rebound…
A sharp eyed subscriber caught an error on the top of page 4 of this report. I typed “billion,” instead of “trillion,” twice, in reference…