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Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

S&P 500 Nearing Critical Levels – Is the Bull Market Dead?

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

🚨 Weekly Market Insights – Down, But Not Out 🚨

The S&P 500 is approaching a tipping point, and understanding the next move could give you the edge in this volatile market. The latest Technical Trader Weekly report highlights crucial levels and cycle trends you need to watch. Click here to access a risk free trial.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

🔄 Cycles:
The market is flashing signs of topping out. Projections suggest the S&P 500 could hit highs between 6000 and 6200, with the 2-year cycle expected to peak by early 2025. A drop below 5700 could signal the end of the bull market, but a recovery above 6020 could keep the rally alive into next year.

👉 Want to stay ahead of these trends? Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

📊 Cycle Screening Measures:
A short-term low might be around the corner, but the broader outlook is weakening.  While there’s room for a rebound, the widening downside signals suggest deeper corrections ahead.

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Third Rail – Key Levels to Watch:
The S&P 500 recently broke down from a compact top pattern. A break below xxxx could lead to steeper declines, with xxxx being the critical level to watch. However, a move above xxxx opens the door to fresh highs.

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📅 Long-Term Weekly Chart:

A close below xxxx would likely confirm the market has reached the top of the 3-4 year cycle, signaling a bearish shift. However, staying above xxxx in January could extend the bull market. This aging trend still has potential – if it holds key levels.

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📈 Monthly Chart Outlook:
The S&P 500 is pushing near the upper bound of its long-term uptrend, with resistance climbing to xxxx. Support rests at xxxx. If the market stays above xxxx into January, further gains are possible. A break lower than xxxx would trigger broader sell signals.

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💼 Why Stay on the Sidelines? 
Get exclusive access to professional insights and detailed market breakdowns that give you the upper hand. Click here to unlock full access and stay ahead of market trends. Try the service risk free for 3 months. 

Subscription Plans

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This summary is produced by AI, for the purpose of search engine optimization (SEO). The analysis, conclusions, charts, and discussion in the subscriber report are entirely and solely the original work product of Lee Adler, derived from raw data and original analysis based on 60 years of market observation and technical charting.  

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These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Weekly Market Insights: Is the Market Waiting to Get Fed?

The stock market is perched at a critical juncture, awaiting clarity as conflicting indicators create a tense atmosphere for traders and investors. Short-term cycles hint at potential shifts, while long-term trends remain intact—for now. Key metrics suggest the market could see either a resumption of its rally or a possible turn toward consolidation later this week.

One thing is clear: the interplay between technical resistance levels and support zones will play a pivotal role in defining the next moves. Will the market break through the current trading range, or will it reverse? This week, price action could offer the first hints.  Non subscribers can click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Indicators to Keep You Ahead

  • Cycle Trends: What do mixed signals from 6-month and longer-term cycles suggest for future market direction?
  • Third Rail Dynamics: How could trading within a defined range signal the next big move?
  • Market Momentum Breadth: Why are cumulative indicators hovering near critical levels, and what does it mean for upcoming trends?
  • Long-Term Channels: Is the market’s climb still aligned with historical trendlines, or are we nearing a turning point?

Gain exclusive insights on what’s driving the market—and the actionable strategies you need to stay ahead. Don’t miss out on the deeper analysis of these unfolding trends. Subscribe now to access the full report and ensure you’re ready for whatever the market brings next.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

This summary is produced by AI, for the purpose of search engine optimization (SEO). The analysis, conclusions, charts, and discussion in the subscriber report are entirely and solely the original work product of Lee Adler, derived from raw data and original analysis based on 60 years of market observation and technical charting.  

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These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Technical Trader Weekly Chart Picks: Top Swing Trade Opportunities This Week

Swing Trade Screen Highlights – 1 New Short Pick
This week’s screening revealed a dynamic shift toward sell setups: Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

  • 116 charts met long-term structural buy criteria.
  • 180 charts met long-term structural sell criteria.
  • Intermediate triggers: 81 buys vs. 114 sells.
  • Short-term signals: 7 buy triggers and 17 sell triggers.
    Non-subscribers can click here for access.

After a visual review, 1 short-sell pick stood out, which will be added on Monday. All picks are tracked based on half-position entries at the opening price and the remainder at the close.
Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Performance Review:
The portfolio had an average gain of 7.0% over a 30-day holding period, maintaining consistency compared to last week’s performance. Historical monthly results include:
Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Trading Strategy Note:
The strategy illustrated is experimental and may not suit all investors. These picks serve educational purposes for experienced chart traders seeking actionable ideas. Always consult with an advisor before making investment decisions. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Disclaimer:
All recommendations are theoretical and assume cash-based trading with no margin or options. Use risk management techniques tailored to your investment strategy. For more insights, visit Liquidity Trader.

The screens, analysis, and conclusions in this report are the author’s. This public summary post has been edited by AI for the purpose of search engine optimization (SEO). The original subscriber report is strictly the author’s.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

Stock Cycles Point Upward but High Due Soon with S&P Near Projections – Technical Trader Report

Cycles are in gear to the upside. A 6 month cycle high is due shortly, but projections point much higher.  Non subscribers can click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Cycles are aligning for an upward trend. A 6-month cycle high is expected shortly, but projections suggest even greater potential. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Cycle Analysis:
The 6-month cycle projection has increased to xxxx, though it’s worth noting that the 13-week cycle projection of xxxx appears more realistic. There are still x-x weeks left in the current up phase. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Short-term cycles are in sync, with projected highs of xxxx expected this week. Any mild correction could pave the way for a breakout toward the 13-week cycle projection. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Cycle Screening Measures:
Data was weak last week, no longer supporting the rally. A down day on Monday would break the pattern of higher lows. If the market holds, the pattern remains neutral to modestly bullish. However, the 6-month cycle measures have flipped to xxxxxxxxxx, signaling at least a xxxxxxxxxxxx. Smoothed, lagged measures are on the verge of triggering xxxxxx if the market holds steady this week. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Trend Channel Analysis:
The lower trendline of the sharpest short-term channel is rising from xxxx to xxxxx this week. If the market closes above xxxx on Friday, it will remain in an intermediate-term uptrend. Support at xxxx is the next level, with a potential drop to a significant support cluster around xxxx if broken. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart:
The market is rising in the mid-channel, with clearance to xxxx by year-end. Channel support rises from xxxx to xxxx by mid-January. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Monthly Chart (12/2/24):
The lower channel bound sits at xxxx this month, with the upper bound around xxxx, setting the stage for potential price action in the coming weeks. Non subscribers can click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Technical Stock Screens Reveal- 2 Buys and 2 Short Sale Picks This Week

The screens revealed 116 charts that met minimum long-term structural buy criteria and 97 that met minimum long-term structural sell criteria. Among the buy signals, 93 met intermediate buy criteria, while 36 of the long-term sell signals met intermediate sell criteria. After further screening, 10 short-term buy signals and 5 short-term sell signals (including sell short opportunities) were identified. Based on a visual review, 2 buys and 2 short sales will be added to the list on Monday.non-subscribers can click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Seven picks were removed from the list last week based on prior instructions. Stops are being maintained on 4 others, while the remainder will be held this week. The strategy incorporates risk management through small position sizes and diversification, though your approach may vary. non-subscribers can click here for access.

As of December 6, the open and closed picks yielded an average gain of 7.1% with an average holding period of 27 calendar days, compared to 6.8% the previous week with a holding period of 23 calendar days.non-subscribers can click here for access.

For a complete list of open and new picks with charts, non-subscribers can click here for access.

Including open picks as of December 6, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 7.1% on average holding period of 27 calendar days. That compares with +6.8% the previous week also on the average holding period 23 calendar days. non-subscribers can click here for access.

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, non-subscribers can click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Analyzing Short and Long-Term Market Trends and Patterns

Cycles

The up phases in cycles from 13 weeks to 10-12 months have strengthened. The only cycle with a projection is the 6 month cycle. It points to a high of xxxx ideally due xxxxxx xxxxxx. A variance of a month or so is normal.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycle Screening Measures

These measures continue to xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxx  with 6 month cycle measures suggesting xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Third Rail   

The market is moving toward the apex of a wedge pattern at xxxx this week. The lower trendline of the sharpest short term channel rises from xxxx to xxxx this week. If the market is above xxxx on Friday, it’s still a strong uptrend. Clearing that would suggest acceleration toward a quick move to xxxx.  Even if they break the lower line, a short term uptrend would still be in force until there’s a close below xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Long-Term Weekly Chart

The market is rising mid channel with clearance to xxxx at year end. Channel support rises from xxxx to near xxxx.Non subscribers click here to access.

Monthly Chart

The lower channel bound is at xxxx this month. The upper bound is around xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Top Stock Charts: This Week’s Insights

The screens produced 43 charts meeting both long term, intermediate, and short term buy side criteria. Only one met all sell side criteria. On visual review I liked 2 of the buys and will add them to the list on Monday. I took a pass on the one short sale candidate. Here’s the updated list for this week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the report.

One pick will be counted as covered at the opening price on Monday. I have added stops to 7 others.  

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Weekly Stock Trading Signals: 7 Buys and 9 Sells

There were 553 short-term buy signals and 321 short-term sell signals in the screens this week. After applying long term and intermediate term filters, there were 7 buys and 9 sells.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the report.

On visual review I liked 1 of the buys and added it to the list. I chose none of the short sale candidates this week. Here’s the updated list. Non-subscribers click here for access.

One pick will be counted as covered at the opening price on Monday. I have added stops to 7 others.  

I assume risk management through small position sizes and diversification. Your approach may differ.

Including open picks as of November 21, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 7.2% on average holding period of 17 calendar days. That was up from 5.6% the previous week also on the average holding period 17 calendar days.  Picks closed in October had an average gain of +1.3 % on an average holding period of 27 calendar days. Picks closed in September had an average gain of 1.6% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days. 

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Market Cycle Outlook: December Predictions Levels and Timing

Cycles

The pending test of the post-election high looms large. If the market clears xxxx, then it would clear the way for a run to xxxx in December. That would make it eminently doable for the initial 6 month and 10-12 month cycle projection of xxxx by late March. But if it stalls with no breakout, we should be alert for xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycle Screening Measures

For the time being, the uptrend remains xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxx xxxxx. The slower measures are in xxxxxxxxxxx  patterns, or are neutral, but there’s no xxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxx signal.

Third Rail   

The key trend support levels on Monday are around xxxx and xxxx. If either of those xxxx xxx, then the uptrend xxx xxxx xxxx xxxx. Those lines rise through the week to xxxx and xxxx. If the market is xxxxx those levels on Friday, xxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xxxxx. Even if they break, a short term uptrend would still be in force until there’s a close below 5845.

Long-Term Weekly Chart

3-4 year cycle indicators have whipsawed, and may be signaling trending as opposed to the beginning of xxxx xxxxxxx. As long as they stay flat in this range, the xxxx  xxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxx.

 Monthly Chart

10/21/24 The market is approaching its upper channel bound at xxxx, now, rising to around xxxx in November and xxxx in December.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Effective Trading Strategies: Buys and Sells This Week

There were 611 short-term sells and 222 short-term buys in the screens this week. After applying long term and intermediate term filters, there were 20 buys and 23 sells. The overwhelming number of short term sell signals were filtered out by the longer term cycle status and trend structures. In other words, to the screening algos, they looked too early to short. But we’ll be watching. We already have several on the list. No doubt there will be more in the weeks and months ahead. Non-subscribers click here for access.

On visual review I liked 3 of the buys and added them to the list. I chose none of the short sale candidates this week. To view the list and charts of open picks, non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

On visual review there were 17 buys that I liked. That was too many to add to the list so I chose 6 that I liked best. I chose 4 to add as shorts.

Including open picks as of November 15, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 5.6% on average holding period of 15 calendar days. That was down slightly from 5.8% the previous week, but with a reduction of the average holding period from 21 calendar days to 15. 

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!