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Is Gold Approaching a Critical Turning Point?

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

As 2025 begins, gold traders are watching closely—key levels are being tested, and the outcome could set the tone for the months ahead. Could this be the moment that defines gold’s next major move?

  • Certain price zones are emerging as potential make-or-break levels.
  • Chart patterns suggest intriguing possibilities for both upside potential and downside risks.
  • Long-term signals are at an inflection point, but not all indicators agree.

Meanwhile, mining stocks are showing signs that cycles may soon shift—but the signals are mixed, and traders are waiting for confirmation of the next major trend. For the time being, there are 3 stocks on the chart pick list which we will let ride this week.

🔍 Want to know which levels and signals could unlock the next phase for gold and mining stocks?
👉 Subscribe for Full Access to Lee Adler’s Gold & Mining Stock Analysis

Subscribers receive exclusive insights into key chart setups, critical price targets, and the cycle phases that could shape the gold market’s direction in 2025. Stay informed and ahead of the curve.

Disclaimer: This summary highlights market conditions but omits detailed projections and strategy. Access the full report for in-depth analysis.

📩 Nonsubscribers can click here to access the full report.

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Topping Patterns? Here Are the Year-End Signals

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Cycles – Intermediate cycles are xxxxxx or trending xxxxxx, while short-term cycles are mixed, driven more by year-end market conditions. Earlier indicators pointed to tops in the x and x-xxxxxx month cycles. Although xxxxx targets have been met, cycle indicators remain xxxx, with ample room for xxxxx lows in the 13-week and 6-month timeframes. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Cycle Screening Measures – Last week’s rebound turned the aggregate measure positive, recovering from a recent low that was near the April bottom. The 29-day moving average (MA) remained flat, sitting just below prior cycle lows, aligning with the 6-month cycle low in May. The cumulative line rose slightly but stayed under the 29-day MA, remaining on an intermediate term xxxx signal. New 6-month cycle indicators shifted to a xxxx signal, suggesting a potential cycle xxxx, but year-end seasonality raises doubt. A clearer picture should emerge in the new year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Third Rail – The market is in a short term downtrend channel but still aligns with longer-term uptrend channels. Key support lies between xxxx-xxxx. A break below xxxx would be a head-and-shoulders breakdown targeting xxxx. Downtrend resistance ranges from xxxx to xxxx, while upward resistance appears at xxxx and xxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – Updated projections suggest a market top is forming, with recent highs near the projected peak. A significant drop below xxxx would suggest a long-term cycle top. Indicators reflect a maturing bull market, but a market recovery this week could signal continued upward movement, delaying the peak well into next year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Monthly Chart – The market remains within the center of a narrow uptrend channel. January’s lower boundary is at xxxx, with the upper limit near xxxx. Although momentum is weakening, it remains xxxxxxx, and no xxxx signal has been triggered yet. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

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Top Chart Picks for Traders – Download Full Report | Liquidity Trader

Lee Adler

Weekly Chart Picks: Long and Short Opportunities for Traders

Happy New Year from Liquidity Trader!

Start your trading year strong with our latest market analysis and chart picks. This week, our screens revealed 133 charts meeting long-term structural buy criteria, while 500 charts hit long-term sell criteria. Notably, this marks two consecutive weeks where nearly one-third of all stocks screened met sell conditions, signaling increased short-selling opportunities as we head into the new year.

Key Highlights:

  • Long-Term Buys: 133 stocks met structural buy criteria.
  • Long-Term Sells: 500 stocks flagged for structural sell criteria.
  • Intermediate Analysis: 132 of the buy setups also matched intermediate buy triggers, while 499 sell setups aligned with intermediate sell signals.
  • Short-Term Triggers: 11 short-term buys and 41 short-term sells were identified.

Visual Review Insights:
Upon closer examination, none of the buy setups stood out, while only one sell short presented a viable entry point. Many charts with sell signals have already moved, limiting ideal entry options at this time.

Performance Recap:
Five picks dropped off the list last week. Across all open and closed positions, the list achieved an average gain of 10.1% over an average holding period of 30 days. This is an improvement from the 7.6% gain in the prior week with a 31-day average holding period.

For December, after cutting losses earlier in the month, the average gain stands at 3.7% over a 29-day average holding period.

Download the Full Report:
Subscribers can click to download the full report with charts and analysis of open and new picks.

Non-subscribers, gain access to the full report by clicking here.

Disclaimer:
All chart picks are theoretical, based on technical screens, for informational purposes, and assume cash-based strategies without margin or options. Past performance does not indicate future results.

For detailed insights and ongoing market updates, visit Liquidity Trader.

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New Year’s Chart Picks Update

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Happy New Year. Here’s a quick update on our chart picks. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

The screens revealed 133 charts that met minimum long term structural buy criteria last week, and 500 that met minimum long term structural sell criteria. That’s two straight weeks that nearly a third of all the stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria were on the sell side. It suggests that there will be more opportunities to sell short in the new year.  Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Of those long-term potential buy setups, 132 also met intermediate term buy side minimum criteria. Of the long-term sells, 499 also met intermediate sell criteria. The intermediate buys and sells were screened for corresponding short term triggers. There were 11 short term buys triggered and 41 sells. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

On visual review I liked none of the buys and just one of the sells (sell short). The rest of the sells have already moved and do not have ideal entry setups .Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Meanwhile, 5 picks dropped off the list last week, as shown on the table below.  

Including picks closed last week and the one still open at the end of the week, the list had an average gain of 10.1% on average holding period of 30 calendar days. That compares with +7.6% the previous week on an average holding period 31 calendar days. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

I had culled losing positions earlier in the month. As a result, including the last current open pick and those closed earlier in the month, the average gain in December has been 3.7% on an average holding period of 29 calendar days. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Disclaimer:
All recommendations are theoretical and assume cash-based trading with no margin or options. Use risk management techniques tailored to your investment strategy. For more insights, visit Liquidity Trader.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

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Gold Is On the Critical List

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Short term cycle lows are now due but the 4 week cycle projection allows for another plunge that would crush the uptrend. Iff xxxx holds, the setup would be conducive to a rally. Despite that, weekly swing trade chart screens revealed 3 mining picks that look good.

📩 Nonsubscribers can click here to access the full report.

The Landscape of Gold Market Cycles
Gold’s trajectory is revealed by cycle charts and momentum indicators,. These provide crucial insights into market shifts. Seeing these patterns can help identify key opportunities or risks, whether you’re trading short-term fluctuations or planning long-term investments.g

In 2024, gold’s movement has been defined by its alignment with major trend channels and resistance levels. These, signal potential opportunities for traders. As the broader market cycles evolve, staying informed about emerging patterns is key to maximizing returns.

Long-Term Momentum: Navigating Trends with Confidence
Gold’s long-term momentum is of interest for investors. Its interaction with critical support lines and multi-year breakout targets reflects the direction and volatility of the market. Navigating these trends requires careful analysis of support and resistance trends. Understanding breakout and breakdown potential is also necessary.

For those monitoring mining stocks, specific stock cycle screening data reveals trade suggestions to align with market conditions. These nuanced insights empower traders to refine their approaches based on the latest signals.

Want the Full Picture?
Gain deeper access to precise cycle projections, actionable insights, and expert commentary by subscribing to the full report. Stay ahead of market trends with comprehensive analysis that equips you for success in trading gold and related assets.

📩 Subscribe Now to unlock exclusive content and stay ahead in today’s ever-changing gold market!

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Liquidity Trends and Stock Market Insights – Is a Bear Market Imminent? | Download Full Report

Lee Adler

Is the Stock Market on the Brink of Reversal? Stay Ahead with the Latest Liquidity Insights 🚨

The stock market is pushing into extreme territory, with liquidity measures signaling potential risks ahead. Liquidity Trader’s latest report dives deep into the underlying factors shaping market movements and highlights key indicators that could spell the beginning of a bear market.

📊 Key Insights from the Report:

1. Expanding Market Liquidity
Despite the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Tightening (QT), liquidity within the financial system continues to rise. This growth, driven by private lending, repo markets, and government spending, reveals the market’s capacity to self-generate liquidity, even as the Fed reduces its balance sheet.
👉 Non-subscribers can click here to access the full analysis.

2. Stock Market Resilience – How Long Can It Last?
Markets remain elevated, reflecting bullish sentiment and ample liquidity. Although stocks are extended to extreme levels, no definitive sell signals have emerged—yet. However, the risk of a market correction or bear market is increasing. This report shows you the signs.
👉 Non-subscribers can click here to access the full analysis.

3. Debt Limit and Treasury Dynamics
With the re-imposition of the debt limit approaching, Treasury actions could inject further liquidity into the system. This dynamic may temporarily support markets, but the long-term implications will remain. This report tells what they are, and how and when we’ll get there.
👉 Gain full insights by clicking here for access.

4. Repo Markets – Fueling Speculation at Dangerous Levels
Delivery vs. Payment (DVP) repos have played a crucial role in funding federal debt and amplifying liquidity available for asset speculation. Repo trends strongly correlate with rising stock prices, but signs of an approaching trend reversal are emerging. This report shows and tells how to know when the trend has reversed.
👉 Non-subscribers can click here to explore these findings.

5. Shrinking Fed Reverse Repo (RRP) Liquidity
The Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility, once a key source of liquidity, has dwindled to nominal levels. As reliance shifts to market-driven liquidity through repos and leverage, the risk of market fragility increases. Our report examines signals of an imminent unwinding, one that could become self reinforcing and chaotic.
👉 Access the full breakdown by clicking here.

6. Foreign Central Banks – A Key Market Driver
Foreign central banks’ liquidity flows significantly influence U.S. markets. Current data hints at potential warning signs, though no decisive sell signals have been triggered. This report shows you what those signals will look like and will keep you updated regularly.
👉 Understand the implications by accessing the full report.

7. Treasury and Bond Market Outlook
Elevated Treasury cash balances are fueling short-term liquidity, but rising bond yields and ongoing debt issuance are creating pressures that could spread into equities and other asset classes. This report will tell you when to expect that.
👉 Download the full analysis here to stay informed.

💼 Why You Need This Report:
Understanding liquidity trends and their correlation with stock prices is essential to staying ahead of market movements and avoiding, or profiting from, downturns. Whether you’re an active trader or a long-term investor, the insights in this report will provide you with the knowledge to navigate volatile conditions.

👉 Subscribe Now to Unlock Full Access
Gain exclusive access to this critical report and stay informed with real-time updates on liquidity, repo markets, and Treasury dynamics.

📈 Limited-Time Offer – 90-Day Risk-Free Trial
Start your journey with Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader and make smarter, data-driven decisions before the market reacts.

🔗 Subscribe Now to stay ahead of market trends!

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Did Liquidity Just Hit Limit Up? – New Year Outlook

Lee Adler

The stock market is extended, and liquidity measures are at extremes. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Expanding Market Liquidity – Despite the Federal Reserve’s ongoing Quantitative Tightening (QT), liquidity within the financial system continues to grow. This expansion is driven by private lending, repo markets, and government spending. This shows the market’s ability to generate liquidity despite the Fed’s shrinking its balance sheet. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Stock Market Resilience – Stock prices remain elevated at trend extremes, reflecting bullish sentiment and plentiful liquidity. While markets are extended, no clear sell signals have emerged yet.  However, the potential for a bear market to begin is high.  We remain on the alert for signs that it is imminent. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Debt Limit and Treasury Dynamics – The upcoming re-imposition of the debt limit could support the markets. This report explains why and how. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Role of Repo Markets – Delivery vs. Payment (DVP) repos have been central to market speculation and liquidity growth. Repo has funded the Federal Debt, increasing the money available for asset speculation.  Rising repo activity correlates strongly with stock price increases. They’ve reached an apparent trend extreme. This report looks for signs of reversal. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Diminishing RRP Liquidity – The Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility, once a primary source of liquidity, has been drawn down to a nominal level. As the RRP pool shrinks, the market’s reliance on self-generated liquidity through repos and credit creation increases. That means increasing leverage with increasing fragility and vulnerability to rapid, uncontrolled unwinding.  This report examines signs that that may be imminent. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Foreign Central Bank Influence –Foreign central banks play a pivotal role in liquidity flows, with their Federal Reserve custodial holding and foreign RRP activity correlating with market movements. There are warning signs in this data, but no outright sell signals yet. Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Treasury and Bond Market Outlook – The Treasury’s cash balance remains elevated, supporting short-term liquidity through T-bill paydowns. However, rising bond yields and continued debt issuance should continue to apply pressure to fixed-income markets, with eventual contagion into stocks and other assets. These reports looks at the signs.  Non-subscribers can click here for access to the full analysis.

Want the full picture? Subscribe now to gain access to the complete report and uncover the critical insights that could transform your investment strategy. 

 

👉 Subscribe Now 📈 Special Offer
Act now and enjoy a risk-free 90-day trial to Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader! Know what’s happening before the Street does—start making decisions based on real-time reality.

📈 Subscribe Today and start making informed decisions in an ever-changing market.

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Top Chart Picks for a Prosperous 2025: Merry Christmas from Liquidity Trader

Lee Adler

As we celebrate the festive season, Liquidity Trader presents a weekly selection of chart picks that signal promising opportunities for substantial growth in 2025. Algorithmic analysis delves into key market trends, providing you with actionable insights to make informed investment decisions.

Key Highlights:

  • In-Depth Analysis: Liquidity Trader’s systems meticulously examine market movements to identify stocks with the potential for significant gains in both directions (including short sales) in the coming weeks and months.
  • Strategic Insights: Gain a competitive edge with these weekly reports, showing these chart picks derived from both automated systems and my personal review, along with what they mean for the overall market outlook.
  • Expert Recommendations: Leverage this expert output to navigate the complexities of the financial landscape and optimize your investment portfolio.

Stay informed and ahead of the curve with LiquidityTrader’s latest analyses and recommendations. Latest performance:

Want to unlock full access to our chart picks and exclusive market insights? Subscribe now to receive real-time updates and stay ahead in the investment game.

Wishing you a Merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year!

Note: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Don’t miss out on the latest market opportunities. Join Liquidity Trader today and take your investment strategy to the next level. Questions? Call 561-839-3726 and I will be happy to speak to you about subscription options.

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Chart Picks Say Merry Christmas

Lee Adler

Subscribers Only. Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

With gratitude for your support, I wish you a Joyeux Noel and Happy New Year from Nice, France!

The screens revealed 33 charts that met minimum long term structural buy criteria last week, and 455 that met minimum long term structural sell criteria. That’s nearly a third of all the stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. It’s a dramatic change that suggests that there will be more opportunities to sell short in the new year. Just not right now. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Of those long-term potential buy setups, just 24 met intermediate term buy side minimum criteria. Of the long-term sells, 317 met intermediate sell criteria. The intermediate buys and sells were screened for corresponding short term triggers. There were 3 short term buys triggered and 18 sells. The reason that there were so few short term sells is that most of the damage had already been done. The next round of sell signals after a rebound or consolidation should be good short sales. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

On visual review I liked none of the buys or sells (sell short). The holiday week is always a good time to take a break anyway.

Meanwhile, 11 picks dropped off the list last week, as shown on the table below. I had recommended 3 to be sold as of the open last week. The rest hit my posted stops. I am placing or maintaining stops on all but 1 of the 6 picks that remain open to begin the holiday week. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Including open picks as of December 20, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 7.6% on average holding period of 31 calendar days. That compares with +7.0% the previous week on an average holding period 30 calendar days. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

I had culled losing positions earlier in the month. As a result, for December as a whole, including current open picks and those closed earlier in the month, the average gain has been 3.5% on an average holding period of 26 calendar days. Non-subscribers can click here for access.

This system obviously isn’t perfect. The screens have done a good job of finding winners but also too many that turn bad. I continue to tweak the algorithms with the goal of including checks in the screening process that will recognize setups that will not be profitable. However, sometimes good charts end up breaking bad. 😁 Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Disclaimer:
All recommendations are theoretical and assume cash-based trading with no margin or options. Use risk management techniques tailored to your investment strategy. For more insights, visit Liquidity Trader.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails. If you use those services, please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

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S&P 500 Nearing Critical Levels – Is the Bull Market Dead?

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

🚨 Weekly Market Insights – Down, But Not Out 🚨

The S&P 500 is approaching a tipping point, and understanding the next move could give you the edge in this volatile market. The latest Technical Trader Weekly report highlights crucial levels and cycle trends you need to watch. Click here to access a risk free trial.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

🔄 Cycles:
The market is flashing signs of topping out. Projections suggest the S&P 500 could hit highs between 6000 and 6200, with the 2-year cycle expected to peak by early 2025. A drop below 5700 could signal the end of the bull market, but a recovery above 6020 could keep the rally alive into next year.

👉 Want to stay ahead of these trends? Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

📊 Cycle Screening Measures:
A short-term low might be around the corner, but the broader outlook is weakening.  While there’s room for a rebound, the widening downside signals suggest deeper corrections ahead.

🔍 Get the latest market insights. Unlock the full analysis now. Try the service risk free for 3 months. 

⚡ Third Rail – Key Levels to Watch:
The S&P 500 recently broke down from a compact top pattern. A break below xxxx could lead to steeper declines, with xxxx being the critical level to watch. However, a move above xxxx opens the door to fresh highs.

🛡️ Protect your investments. Click to access full insights with a 3 month risk free trial.

📅 Long-Term Weekly Chart:

A close below xxxx would likely confirm the market has reached the top of the 3-4 year cycle, signaling a bearish shift. However, staying above xxxx in January could extend the bull market. This aging trend still has potential – if it holds key levels.

💡 Position yourself for the next move. Full report available. Subscribe here, risk free for 3 months. 

📈 Monthly Chart Outlook:
The S&P 500 is pushing near the upper bound of its long-term uptrend, with resistance climbing to xxxx. Support rests at xxxx. If the market stays above xxxx into January, further gains are possible. A break lower than xxxx would trigger broader sell signals.

🚀 Don’t miss out on critical market updates. Subscribe now to access expert analysis risk free for 3 months.

💼 Why Stay on the Sidelines? 
Get exclusive access to professional insights and detailed market breakdowns that give you the upper hand. Click here to unlock full access and stay ahead of market trends. Try the service risk free for 3 months. 

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

This summary is produced by AI, for the purpose of search engine optimization (SEO). The analysis, conclusions, charts, and discussion in the subscriber report are entirely and solely the original work product of Lee Adler, derived from raw data and original analysis based on 60 years of market observation and technical charting.  

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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