Menu Close

Author: Lee Adler

Quiet But Ominous Signs of Early Bull Demise

Signs of a potentially extended up phase have disappeared. The up phases in cycles from 13 weeks to 10-12 months are now tenuous, with most indicators for those cycles nearing a flip to the sell side. Here are the signs you should look for. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Gold Melts 11/12/24

Gold melted down, but it can resolidify.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – More Buys and a Few Shorts- Link Corrected

There were 308 short-term buys and 245 short-term sells in the screens this week. After applying long term and intermediate term filters, there were 92 buys and 73 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

On visual review there were 17 buys that I liked. That was too many to add to the list so I chose 6 that I liked best. I chose 4 to add as shorts.

Including open picks as of November 11, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 5.8% on average holding period of calendar days. That gain was up from +2.7% the previous week, on an average holding period of 22 calendar days the prior week.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Swing Trade Screen Picks – More Buys and a Few Shorts- Link Corrected

There were 308 short-term buys and 245 short-term sells in the screens this week. After applying long term and intermediate term filters, there were 92 buys and 73 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

On visual review there were 17 buys that I liked. That was too many to add to the list so I chose 6 that I liked best. I chose 4 to add as shorts.

Including open picks as of November 11, and those closed last week, the list had an average gain of 5.8% on average holding period of calendar days. That gain was up from +2.7% the previous week, on an average holding period of 22 calendar days the prior week.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Here’s Why Lower Treasury Supply Ahead is Bullish or Super Bullish

Treasury supply is scheduled to moderate over the next 3 months but there will still be moments of pressure on the markets. How the new government treats the debt ceiling reimposition on January 2 is a wild card. If it treats the debt ceiling as inviolable, then it will pay down T-bills for a few months until it runs out of cash. Those paydowns would be bullish. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

3-2-1 Liftoff

The election lit the fuse for the market to return to the correct 6 month cycle path after signs of a premature top. We weren’t fooled. We had rightfully questioned those signs and had seen that short term cycle upturns were due. Now it looks like they’re headed a few percent higher. Here’s exactly how much and when to expect it. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Don’t Be Misled By October Tax Collections Collapse

Federal withholding tax collections stalled in October. The jobs report mirrored the tax collections for a change. Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

According to economists, external factors were to blame for the slowdown. For once, I won’t quibble. These included the 2 hurricanes that pounded Florida and the Southeast, and the Boeing strike. That strike will continue to impact year to year comps for as long as it lasts. Hopefully, there will be no more hurricanes. Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

10/4/24 If revenue continues this red-hot growth, it’s even possible that the November TBAC forecast will show at least a small reduction in expected Treasury supply. That’s something to keep in mind with the 10-year Treasury Yield breaking its 6-month downtrend today. This is a shift toward greater bearishness that I think is reasonable, but that could change come early November if the Treasury shocks the market with a supply reduction. Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

That outlook came to pass, with a small reduction in expected supply for the next 3 months. I will consider that in greater depth along with a detailed supply schedule estimate in a report to follow in a few days. The biggest wildcard, however, is the re-imposition of the debt ceiling on January 2. If past debt ceiling episodes are any guide, the Treasury xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxx. Those paydowns are normally a xxxxxxxxxxx influence. That would start in January. More on that in the next report. Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Treading Water

Current screens yielded 433 short-term buys and 229 short-term sells. Rangebound whipsaws continue to dominate the action. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 41 buys and 23 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Old Gold Uptrend Could Get Smoked

Gold has been in trending mode. That may be coming to an end  Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

I’m pulling some miner picks off the list this week.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

Major Inflection Point

As Americans make the decision of what kind of government they want, the stock market also faces a major decision this week. Indications are mixed in all time frames. We await a clear signal. Here’s what we’re looking at as deciders.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Cycles – Short-term cycle lows are due xxxxxxx xxxxxxx and projections have xxxxxxxx xxxxxx. But the up phases in 6-month and 10-12 month cycles are in question. Any weakness this week would xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx . By extension, if those cycles xxxxxx xxxxx xxxxxxx , that would suggest xxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx  in longer cycles as well. An extension of the rally this week could xxxxxx xxxxx xxx.

Cycle Screening Measures – The aggregate indicator set up a potentially higher short-term low on Friday. If the market rallies Monday, then this would tend to support a xxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx. But the intermediate pattern has turned xxxxxxxxxx, with xxxxxxx  highs and xxxxxxx lows. Likewise, the 6-month cycle numbers are solidly on the xxxx side. Barring a xxxxxxxx xxxxx, these numbers suggest an xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx. That, in turn, would suggest impending xxxxxx xxxxxxxx in longer cycles.

Third Rail – The market setup up a new short-term downtrend. A down day on Monday would confirm that trend. Conversely, a weekly close above xxxx would break it and keep the uptrend intact. That would keep the measured move target of xxxx still in view.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – A weekly close below xxxx would suggest a possible major top. Conversely, holding above that would allow for the likelihood of xxxx around year end or January.

Monthly Chart – 10/28/24 The market is approaching its upper channel bound at xxxx, now, rising to around xxxx in November and xxxx in December.

Subscription Plans

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance.