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Month: January 2021

Tax Collections Did Better in December But The Bond Market Still Broke

The risks are astronomical despite improved tax collections.

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How to Play the S&P Heading for 4200

This report shows why that’s the target, and adds a few more swing trade picks to take advantage.

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These reports are for informational purposes, aimed at a broad audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Now That We’re Through the Month-end QE Shortage

We have a little tightness in the market at the end of every month. That’s because the Treasury issues a big wad of TP and the Fed isn’t there to absorb it. The Fed is just doing its piddly little $20 billion a week of Treasury purchases, and the Treasury is slugging the market with $100 billion or so of new supply.

Last week the actual numbers were worse. The last QE injection was $6 billion on December 23. They then didn’t do another one until Monday January 4, with $8.8 billion. Meanwhile, the Treasury plopped $164 billion in new supply on to the market on December 31.

We got through the deluge relatively unscathed. But there’s a lot to look forward to for the rest of the month.

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Projections Point Higher, So When Will Shorts Start Working?

Cycle configurations remain bullish. I have updated cycle projections for both the short and intermediate term, and the long term. There’s no respite in sight for bears yet, but a few more shorts than usual showed up in this week’s chart picks. Here’s what that could

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the report.

Not a subscriber? Follow Lee’s weekly swing trade chart picks with Lee Adler’s Technical Trader, risk free for 90 days!  

These reports are for informational purposes, aimed at a broad audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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