Lee AdlerThe patterns on the charts of T-bills and the 10 year note are unprecedented. Something terrible has happened in the market. The Fed will have to cut on Monday. Tuesday at the latest.
It has implications for stocks, too. Here’s what to expect next.
The market got way ahead of the amount of cash that the Fed was pumping into dealer accounts in February. That took a toll, and we’ve had a little “adjustment” over the past week. Here’s what comes next.
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We knew that Not QE would fall well shy of Treasury issuance in February, and that that would be a problem for the markets.
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And there’s no reason to conclude that the uptrend is broken…
Yet.
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The February supply increase caused the bond rally to stop in its tracks. But that will change in March.
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The question is what kind of roll it is. This report tells you how to tell.
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The overnight market got hit with more Coronabear virus worries. It gave the dealers another opportunity to load up their long inventories. You know what happens next.
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Update- A few minor corrections.
Federal revenues soared in January. Spending soared more. A lot more. Despite all that stimulus, the tax data suggests that the US economy is just stumbling along.
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Gold remains rangebound, but it’s building up to something big, probably after April.
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