Menu Close

Lee Adler’s

Lee Adler’s

Menu

Author: Lee Adler

Gold’s New Year Momentum: Is a Breakout on the Horizon

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Gold’s recent rally above $2700 has sparked excitement among traders and investors. Could this signal a major shift in long-term trends? Our latest report explores critical resistance levels, potential cycle turn signals, and the implications for mining stocks. With key support levels and momentum indicators in play, January might set the stage for significant moves in gold prices. 📩 Nonsubscribers can click here to access the full report.

Get insider insights into gold’s cycles and what they mean for the market. Access the full analysis and stay ahead of the curve by subscribing now at LiquidityTrader.com.

Stay informed. Stay profitable.

Go to the post

Withholding Taxes Surge – Could This Signal a Market Breakout?

Lee Adler

Federal tax collection data shows surprising strength – but what does this mean for markets in 2025?

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

December’s spike in federal withholding tax collections reflects broader economic trends that may influence both stock and bond markets. While the numbers indicate resilience, questions remain about how sustainable this growth is and what role the debt ceiling will play in shaping future outcomes. 🔗 Unlock Full Access – Subscribe Now for in-depth breakdowns and exclusive insights that can help shape your trading strategy.

🔹 By the Numbers:

  • Withheld taxes jumped 13.8% year-over-year by the end of December.
  • Even adjusted for employee compensation inflation, growth remained impressive at 8.8%.
  • Corporate tax collections showed variability – but is this a sign of trouble or just noise?

📈 Charts Show:
Tax collection patterns reveal intriguing cyclical movements. Some trends suggest sustained strength, while others hint at potential shifts ahead.

  • Revenue Growth Cycles – See how recent patterns stack up against historical averages.
  • Short-Term Pullbacks – Are these normal pauses or early warning signs of market retracement?
    🔗 Unlock Full Access – Subscribe Now for in-depth breakdowns and exclusive insights that can help shape your trading strategy.

💼 What You Should Know:
These tax trends could play a crucial role in shaping market conditions over the coming months. Understanding the underlying drivers could offer key insights – but timing and context are essential.

👉 Curious About What’s Next?
Our premium report dives into the details behind these trends, providing the context and analysis you need to stay informed.

🔗 Unlock Full Access – Subscribe Now for in-depth breakdowns and exclusive insights that can help shape your trading strategy.

Go to the post

Federal Tax Collections Support La La Land Outlook

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Federal withholding tax collections were strong in December. Ongoing strong revenue growth could reduce Treasury supply to give the markets xxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx.  Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

The debt ceiling is the wild card. As long as it remains in place pending a deal between Congress and the Trump administration, Treasury supply will be reduced. Normally the supply reduction is achieved via T-bill paydowns, with that cash going back to the original holders of the bills, including major investors, dealers, and banks. Strong revenue growth could mean months of T-bill paydowns lasting through May and June from the annual March- April tax bulge.

The bottom line from the tax revenue perspective is that it will continue to xxxx xxxxxxx xxxxxx market trends, potentially in both stocks and bonds for the duration xxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx in place. Once xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxx, then the Treasury supply problem will return with a vengeance. Until then, the markets remain in La La Land, where all appears well.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Go to the post

Is the Market on the Verge of a Major Move? Key Levels to Watch This Week

Lee Adler

The markets are heating up, with the S&P 500 testing crucial resistance zones that could define the next major trend. As the Dow flirts with breakout levels, traders are eyeing potential shifts that could signal either a new uptrend or a sharp reversal.

🔍 What does this mean for your portfolio?

Cycle analysis points to pivotal turning points, but the signals are mixed. Short-term strength is emerging, but long-term indicators are flashing caution. The coming week could provide the clarity traders need – if they know what to watch.

Highlights from this week’s report:

  • 📈 A key index is approaching resistance that could trigger a breakout – or a breakdown.
  • 🔄 Cycle indicators suggest a critical phase ahead, with potential for major market movement.
  • 🚩 One major index is nearing a level that could either confirm strength or signal a top.

👉 Want to see the full analysis and stay ahead of the market?
Get the complete breakdown by subscribing to our latest Technical Trader Weekly report.

🔗 Subscribe now and get instant access

Don’t miss the insights that could shape your next trade.

Go to the post

Market at Critical Crossroads

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

The S&P 500 is testing key resistance at xxxx. A breakout could signal a short-term uptrend, while failure to hold would complete a head-and-shoulders top pattern, with a conventional measured move  target at xxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

  • Key Levels:
    • Support: xxxx, xxxx
    • Resistance: xxxx, xxxx

Dow Jones Industrial Average: The Dow is challenging its downtrend channel. A close above xxxxxx signals a breakout, while failure risks falling to support near xxxxxx.

Cycle Analysis: Short-Term: Market strength could confirm a xxxxxx xxxxx xxxxx

  • Long-Term: Vulnerable below xxxx, but potential remains for xxxxx by mid-2025.

Indicator Review: Mixed signals. Short-term indicators lean xxxxxxx, but intermediate cycles show xxxx xxxxx. Sustained gains this week are xxxx xxxxx xxxxx.

Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Go to the post

Master Market Cycles – Exclusive Swing Trade and Short Sale Picks for January 2025

Lee Adler

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis isn’t just about finding buying opportunities – it’s about identifying short sale setups as well. This week’s charts highlight potential reversals and breakdowns, including a well-known retail stock that has flashed multiple sell signals. By applying refined versions of JM Hurst’s cycle theories, these insights provide both long and short opportunities to capitalize on market fluctuations.

🔍 What’s on the Radar:

  • One retail giant just hit resistance within a declining cycle, signaling a possible short sale.
  • A tech stock is triggering early reversal patterns, hinting at a potential upside break.
  • A real estate play near cycle support is showing signs of accumulation – will it hold?

📊 December Results: +3.7% average gain with 29 calendar days average holding period.
These aren’t just signals – they’re part of an ongoing education in market timing and cycle recognition.
👉 Subscribe now to receive Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader instantly and learn to profit from both sides of the market.

Go to the post

Swing Trade Chart Picks – January 2025

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Non-subscribers can click here for access.

Our proprietary cycle screens revealed 161 charts that met minimum long term ideal buy criteria last week, and 309 that met ideal long term sell criteria. This was from a universe of approximately 1500 listed stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. That’s the third straight week that the tilt was to the sell side on major trend indications, but the margin was smaller than in the two prior weeks.

Of those long-term potential buy setups, 52 also met ideal intermediate term buy side criteria. Of the long-term sells, 138 also met ideal intermediate sell criteria. That margin was smaller than the prior week.

The intermediate buys and sells were screened for having hit corresponding short-term triggers last week. The result was interesting. There were 14 short term buys triggered and 11 sells. Is that the seed of change? I admit to not knowing. The purpose of the screening algo is to identify potential trading opportunities, not to forecast market direction.

On visual review I liked 4 of the buys and just one of the sells (sell short). I’ll add them to the list based on the average of today’s opening and closing prices, with one exception. That is as shown on the table below. That one has a limit price for the week, as shown. If hit, it will be added. If not, it stays off.

Meanwhile, I had already trimmed the list over the holiday weeks, and I’ll be closing another short as of today’s open. I’ve added a stop to the remaining pick.  Charts of Open and New Picks To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers can click here for access.

For the month of December, including the last current open pick and those closed earlier in the month, the average gain was 3.7% on an average holding period of 29 calendar days. For January, we start with almost a completely new list, based on a few algorithm adjustments that I have made to reduce the number of false positives.

👉 Subscribe now to receive Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader instantly and stay ahead of market movements. Don’t miss the next round of trading insights!

Disclaimer:
All recommendations are theoretical and assume cash-based trading with no margin or options. Use risk management techniques tailored to your investment strategy. For more insights, visit Liquidity Trader.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Go to the post

Is Gold Approaching a Critical Turning Point?

Lee Adler

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

As 2025 begins, gold traders are watching closely—key levels are being tested, and the outcome could set the tone for the months ahead. Could this be the moment that defines gold’s next major move?

  • Certain price zones are emerging as potential make-or-break levels.
  • Chart patterns suggest intriguing possibilities for both upside potential and downside risks.
  • Long-term signals are at an inflection point, but not all indicators agree.

Meanwhile, mining stocks are showing signs that cycles may soon shift—but the signals are mixed, and traders are waiting for confirmation of the next major trend. For the time being, there are 3 stocks on the chart pick list which we will let ride this week.

🔍 Want to know which levels and signals could unlock the next phase for gold and mining stocks?
👉 Subscribe for Full Access to Lee Adler’s Gold & Mining Stock Analysis

Subscribers receive exclusive insights into key chart setups, critical price targets, and the cycle phases that could shape the gold market’s direction in 2025. Stay informed and ahead of the curve.

Disclaimer: This summary highlights market conditions but omits detailed projections and strategy. Access the full report for in-depth analysis.

📩 Nonsubscribers can click here to access the full report.

Go to the post

Topping Patterns? Here Are the Year-End Signals

Lee Adler

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the full report.

Cycles – Intermediate cycles are xxxxxx or trending xxxxxx, while short-term cycles are mixed, driven more by year-end market conditions. Earlier indicators pointed to tops in the x and x-xxxxxx month cycles. Although xxxxx targets have been met, cycle indicators remain xxxx, with ample room for xxxxx lows in the 13-week and 6-month timeframes. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Cycle Screening Measures – Last week’s rebound turned the aggregate measure positive, recovering from a recent low that was near the April bottom. The 29-day moving average (MA) remained flat, sitting just below prior cycle lows, aligning with the 6-month cycle low in May. The cumulative line rose slightly but stayed under the 29-day MA, remaining on an intermediate term xxxx signal. New 6-month cycle indicators shifted to a xxxx signal, suggesting a potential cycle xxxx, but year-end seasonality raises doubt. A clearer picture should emerge in the new year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Third Rail – The market is in a short term downtrend channel but still aligns with longer-term uptrend channels. Key support lies between xxxx-xxxx. A break below xxxx would be a head-and-shoulders breakdown targeting xxxx. Downtrend resistance ranges from xxxx to xxxx, while upward resistance appears at xxxx and xxxx. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Long-Term Weekly Chart – Updated projections suggest a market top is forming, with recent highs near the projected peak. A significant drop below xxxx would suggest a long-term cycle top. Indicators reflect a maturing bull market, but a market recovery this week could signal continued upward movement, delaying the peak well into next year. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Monthly Chart – The market remains within the center of a narrow uptrend channel. January’s lower boundary is at xxxx, with the upper limit near xxxx. Although momentum is weakening, it remains xxxxxxx, and no xxxx signal has been triggered yet. Non subscribers can click here to access a risk free trial.

Go to the post

Top Chart Picks for Traders – Download Full Report | Liquidity Trader

Lee Adler

Weekly Chart Picks: Long and Short Opportunities for Traders

Happy New Year from Liquidity Trader!

Start your trading year strong with our latest market analysis and chart picks. This week, our screens revealed 133 charts meeting long-term structural buy criteria, while 500 charts hit long-term sell criteria. Notably, this marks two consecutive weeks where nearly one-third of all stocks screened met sell conditions, signaling increased short-selling opportunities as we head into the new year.

Key Highlights:

  • Long-Term Buys: 133 stocks met structural buy criteria.
  • Long-Term Sells: 500 stocks flagged for structural sell criteria.
  • Intermediate Analysis: 132 of the buy setups also matched intermediate buy triggers, while 499 sell setups aligned with intermediate sell signals.
  • Short-Term Triggers: 11 short-term buys and 41 short-term sells were identified.

Visual Review Insights:
Upon closer examination, none of the buy setups stood out, while only one sell short presented a viable entry point. Many charts with sell signals have already moved, limiting ideal entry options at this time.

Performance Recap:
Five picks dropped off the list last week. Across all open and closed positions, the list achieved an average gain of 10.1% over an average holding period of 30 days. This is an improvement from the 7.6% gain in the prior week with a 31-day average holding period.

For December, after cutting losses earlier in the month, the average gain stands at 3.7% over a 29-day average holding period.

Download the Full Report:
Subscribers can click to download the full report with charts and analysis of open and new picks.

Non-subscribers, gain access to the full report by clicking here.

Disclaimer:
All chart picks are theoretical, based on technical screens, for informational purposes, and assume cash-based strategies without margin or options. Past performance does not indicate future results.

For detailed insights and ongoing market updates, visit Liquidity Trader.

Go to the post