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Author: Lee Adler

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Ignoring a Flood of Sell Signals

Lee Adler

As of September 30 closing prices, the list had an average gain of 9.9% up from + 7.4% the previous week, on an average holding period of 28 calendar days, up from an average of 22 days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 265 short-term buys and an incredible 749 short-term sells, which was more than half the total number of stocks that met price and volume minimums. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 38 buys and 90 sells. Is that a lot? Yes.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed the charts, but once again, given the ongoing bullishness of the broad market analysis I was looking for airtight setups on the short side, if such a thing exists. I didn’t see anything resembling that. My impression is that these charts are not clear-cut shorts. Either these are false starts, or too early. I reluctantly added 3 that I felt had the best risk/reward setups, just to dip a toe in the bearish waters.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Balancing that, I found 3 charts that I liked on the buy side and I’m adding those.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

1 pick was dropped from the list since our last look, as shown. I am letting the rest of the existing picks ride, with added or adjusted stops in some cases. Including the new picks, that will leave 19 open picks. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view the list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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The Longer This Goes On, The More Fragile It Becomes

Lee Adler

Market rallies have been well supported by adequate, self generated liquidity. But that’s about to change in October, particularly late October. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

There are a couple of things to watch. One is that …

That prop now goes away until xxxxxxxxxxx. Investors will need to use debt to absorb the immense wave of Treasury supply that’s on the way.

The other factor is that ……. That will give us a better idea of when …………………………. will stop acting as a prop for asset prices.

I continue to estimate that it will ……………………. in late ………. or xxxxxxxxxx.  The longer this goes on, the more fragile the system becomes.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Cracks Beneath the Surface of the Stock Market

Lee Adler

Most indicators are in gear and suggest higher prices ahead, but there’s a crack in a long-term measure that starts a clock. How much higher and how long do we have, doctor? Here’s the prognosis.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Here’s a Gold Thing Going Parabolic

Lee Adler

The 9-12 month cycle has apparently shifted into trending mode as it blew through its previous projection of xxxx. Likewise the 13-week cycle also seems to be trending, with a projected range of xxxx-xxxx.  Resistance is projected around xxxx. If broken, the move would be in parabolic blowoff mode. Is that a good thing? Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Meanwhile our swinging miners picks are up 15%. I’m adding two more to the list this week.

Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Market Can’t Live By Repo Alone

Lee Adler

Not much has changed in liquidity measures since last week’s breakout to new highs. Most indicators have paused. But the market rallies remain well supported by adequate liquidity. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

There are a couple of things to watch. One is that the September T-bill paydowns have ended. These are regular quarterly occurrences that happen when quarterly estimated income tax collections come in. The US Treasury briefly has an excess of cash, and pays down outstanding T-bills. Those are direct cash infusions into dealer and big investor accounts, and they’re virtually always bullish. That prop now goes away until December. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

The other factor is that the Fed’s RRP slush fund has rebounded as a result of those paydowns, and the stupidity of quarter end window dressing. Much of that spike will disappear on October 1. Then we’ll see how much investable cash remains in the RRP facility, so that we can get a better idea of when that fund will run out of cash, and stop acting as a prop for asset prices. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

I continue to estimate that it will effectively run out of money in xxxxxxxxxxx, or xxxxxxxxx at the latest. That’s when we’ll find out whether animal spirits are sustainable on the basis of repo borrowing alone, along with the attendant increase in leverage. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Let ’em Ride

Lee Adler

As of September 23 closing prices, the list had an average gain of + 7.4% on an average holding period of 22 calendar days. That was up from an average gain of + 7.3% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days the week before. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 389 short-term buys and 359 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were 68 buys and 39 sells. Given the bullishness of the broad market analysis I did not want to add shorts, and I felt that there were enough buys already on the list. So I skipped the visual review this week and will let the 14 existing open picks ride. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Stars Are Aligned

Lee Adler

If everything points up, can the bulls be denied? Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Gold Sings Higher and Higher

Lee Adler

The 9-12 month cycle projection suggests that the uptrend has reached its limit and a top is due now on the 13/17 week cycle. However, the projection for that cycle points higher. My bet is on that. This report illustrates why, and gives the targets for this move and longer term. I also update the mining picks as they swing higher. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Macro Money Blows the Roof Off

Lee Adler

Measures of banking system and non bank liquidity have broken out to new highs. The market rallies remain well supported by adequate liquidity. There are a few measures flashing yellow but most are ramping. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

At the same time, critical ratios reached all time levels of extension over the summer. It means that the current rally is likely to be the final rally of the bull markets in stocks and bonds. Enjoy it while it lasts, because it’s not long for this world. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Along with the usual charts and explanations to paint the picture. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Go to the post

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Eight Is Enough

Lee Adler

As of September 16 closing prices, the list had an average gain of + 7.3% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days. That was up from an average gain of + 4.7% on an average holding period of 20 calendar days the week before. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Current screens yielded 523 short-term buys and 140 short-term sells. After applying long term trend structure and intermediate term filters, there were a whopping 184 buys and only 6 sells. Scary stuff for bears. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I reviewed all the sells, and the buys in alphabetical order through the letter H. At that point I had already selected 8 charts to add to the list on the buy side and I stopped. Because Eight is Enough. Non-subscribers click here for access.

To view list and charts of open picks, Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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