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Category: Lee’s Free Thinking

Is the Market Setting Up for a Major Move?

What’s Next for Stocks? Key Levels to Watch

The market is at a critical inflection point, and traders are watching closely. Will we see a breakout to new highs, or is downside risk building beneath the surface?

🔎 Is the S&P 500 testing a make-or-break level?
🔎 Are long-term market cycles signaling a shift?
🔎 What indicators are traders watching right now?

Don’t miss out on expert analysis that cuts through the noise. Get real-time insights delivered straight to your inbox.

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Proprietary Market Intelligence: Weekly Chart Setups for Professional Traders – February 2025

I find the patterns that become the great stories.

Stay ahead of market turns with data-driven trade setups designed for professionals.

The latest Technical Trader – Weekly Chart Picks provides a quantitative breakdown of institutional-grade trade setups across equity markets. Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle screens flagged 1,031 major trend buy setups last week, but is this a signal for sustained upside, or the early stages of distribution?

Key Institutional Trading Insights:

📊 Liquidity & Market Structure – Stocks tested and rebounded off major support, but with a deteriorating buy/sell ratio, is the tape shifting?
📈 Long Setups: 108 Intermediate Buys, 70 Short-Term Triggers – Strength concentrated in select sectors, but conviction remains mixed.
📉 Short Setups: 108 Major Sells, 165 Intermediate Sell Signals – Heavy rejection at resistance zones suggests increased downside risk.
🚨 Friday’s Close: 30 Buy vs. 52 Sell Signals – A growing imbalance in supply/demand dynamics.

Institutional Trade Performance Snapshot

  • Last week’s model portfolio delivered a +7.9% average gain with an average holding period of 13 calendar days.
  • The current list begins with 18 open trades (6 long, 12 short), shifting positioning toward selective risk exposure.
  • January performance closed trades and end of month open positions posted a +3.7% gain and average holding period of 17 calendar days.

Short-Term Entries with Long-Term Potential

🚀 Great short-term entry points can lead to excellent long-term holds. Many institutional trades begin as tactical setups but evolve into high-conviction, trend-following positions. Liquidity Trader’s insights help identify short-term opportunities that can grow into sustainable, long-term winners.

Built for Institutional Capital & Professional Traders

Designed for hedge funds, PE firms, bank trading desks, and portfolio managers, this report is backed by decades of market cycle analysis, liquidity insights, and evolving technical algorithms drawn from Lee Adler’s 60 years technical charting experience assisted by AI.

🔹 Real-time access to institutional-grade setups:
📥 Subscribe now and gain an edge in this changing ever shifting market.

🚨 Market Bombshell: What This Hidden Tax Signal Means for Stocks & Bonds 🚀

Is the Market on the Brink of a Major Move? The Answer Lies in This Overlooked Data…

Withholding tax collections just made a surprising rebound, signaling a shift that could rock markets in the weeks ahead. But is it a sign of strength—or a ticking time bomb? 🤔

📊 Here’s What You Need to Know:
✅ Tax revenues are surging—what does it mean for liquidity?
✅ Corporate tax collections show record-breaking profits—but will the House and the whales cash out?
✅ The debt ceiling wildcard—how long can the Treasury prop up this market before the dam breaks?

💡 Savvy traders and investors are already positioning ahead of the next big move. Don’t get caught off guard.

🔎 Get exclusive access to the full breakdown before the mainstream media catches on:
👉 Read the full report NOW

Liquidity on the Edge: What You Need to Know About the Market’s Hidden Risks

The stock market is at a crossroads, with liquidity trends signaling both opportunity and danger. Key risks include potential breakdowns in repo lending, foreign investor withdrawals, and the U.S. Treasury’s debt ceiling strategies. These factors could shape the market’s trajectory in the coming months.

What Are the Experts Watching?

  1. Stock Valuations vs. Liquidity
    Equity valuations have reached extreme levels. Could this be a prelude to a major correction?
  2. Debt Ceiling and Treasury Policy
    The Treasury’s high cash balance provides a temporary cushion, but looming tax refund outflows and policy decisions could change the game.
  3. Repo Market Trends
    DVP repo lending is a critical driver of speculative liquidity. A shift here could ripple through the markets.
  4. Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility
    With balances nearing depletion, the market’s reliance on this liquidity source is under threat.
  5. Foreign Central Bank Activity
    A sharp decline in foreign liquidity injections poses a potential headwind for U.S. markets.

Don’t Miss the Full Analysis

This is just a glimpse of the insights available in Lee Adler’s Macro Liquidity Report. Subscribers receive detailed breakdowns, actionable strategies, and early warning signals for market shifts.

👉 Unlock the full report and stay ahead.

Why Subscribe?

  • Exclusive insights into liquidity trends that drive the markets.
  • Timely analysis of key indicators like repo markets, Fed policy, and Treasury strategies.
  • Early warning signals for shifts in market sentiment and momentum.

Stay informed. Stay ahead. Don’t let hidden risks catch you off guard.

👉 Get instant access to Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader now.

Volatility Resurgence: Cycle-Based Technical Analysis for Market Professionals

After a period of relative calm, volatility has returned to the markets with a vengeance. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq are all testing critical support levels, leaving traders and money managers on edge. This is a pivotal moment: whether these levels hold or break will dictate the market’s trajectory in the weeks ahead. For professional investors and money managers, understanding the interplay between key cycle indicators and major support and resistance levels is essential to navigating these turbulent waters.

In this week’s analysis, we provide actionable insights into:

  • Key cycle phases across short, intermediate, and long-term horizons.
  • Market signals that could indicate an upcoming trend shift.
  • Multicycle breadth-momentum indicators revealing potential opportunities.

With markets at a crossroads, this analysis is designed to give you a clear framework for decision-making in uncertain conditions.


Market Highlights:

1. Is the Market Setting Up for a Major Move? Volatility is surging, and key technical and cycle indicators are signaling a possible inflection point. Will the market break down further, or is this a shakeout before the next move higher?

2. Signs of a Larger Trend Reversal? Key indicators clearly foreshadowed and confirm a battle between short-term weakness and long-term cycle trends. Could this be the beginning of a larger shift, or will the bulls regain control?

3. Momentum and Breadth Signals Worth Watching Our cycle screening data highlights crucial shifts in multicycle momentum and breadth. Spotting these early can provide an edge in determining where the next opportunities lie.

Why This Matters for Professionals:

  • Risk Management: Insights to help you refine your entry and exit points.
  • Timing Opportunities: Identify key market signals before they unfold.
  • Actionable Framework: A structured approach to navigating uncertainty with confidence.

Stay ahead of the curve. Take a risk free trial today to read the full analysis to uncover the latest insights and strategies tailored for professional investors and money managers. Don’t miss this opportunity to refine your market approach in a rapidly shifting environment. Also includes weekly stock screens for swing trade ideas. A good short term swing trade entry can turn into a great long term holding.

S&P Futures: Volatility is Back – What’s Next for the Market?

Published: January 27, 2025

The S&P 500 futures have seen a sharp drop, testing critical levels and raising questions about the market’s resilience. With volatility returning and key technical zones at play, traders are bracing for a pivotal week. Could this be the start of a major trend change, or just a temporary shakeout?

Discover the full analysis and actionable insights in the latest Liquidity Trader report. Subscribe Now to Access

Weekly Chart Picks: Your Edge in Swing Trading

Published: January 27, 2025

Explore the week’s top swing trade setups, handpicked from over 1,400 screened stocks. Whether you’re targeting breakout buys or shorts, our data-backed methodology offers a fresh perspective. With algorithm adjustments and visual reviews, these picks aim to optimize performance while managing risk.

Get the full list of swing trade opportunities and updates on past performance. Subscribe for Exclusive Access

Gold: Poised for a Breakout?

Published: January 27, 2025

Gold is approaching critical levels, with long-term cycles suggesting a potential breakout toward new highs. As we watch key resistance and momentum shifts, could this be the start of a significant uptrend for gold and mining stocks?

Unlock detailed cycle analysis and key price targets in the full Gold Trader report. Subscribe to Learn More

Liquidity Trends: Is the Market Topping Out?

Published: January 25, 2025

A shift in market sentiment and liquidity dynamics could mark the start of a more turbulent phase for equities. Key indicators like the Stock Price to Bank Deposit Ratio and Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo trends are flashing signals. Is this a momentary pause, or the precursor to broader market shifts?

Stay ahead with comprehensive liquidity insights in the latest Macro Liquidity Report. Subscribe for Access

Macro Liquidity Report: Navigating Risks in 2025

Published: January 24, 2025

The balance between liquidity expansion and systemic risks is more precarious than ever. As Treasury operations and repo market trends evolve, so do the risks and opportunities for investors. Are we heading for a sustained rally or a potential correction?

Gain unparalleled insights into liquidity-driven market risks in the full report. Subscribe Today