Menu Close

Lee Adler’s

Lee Adler’s

Menu

Category: Lee’s Free Thinking

Unlock Market Trends: S&P 500 and Dow Analysis for January 2025

Lee Adler

Get exclusive insights into the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average with this week’s Technical Trader Report (subscriber link), where key levels and cycle patterns are shaping market trends. Discover actionable information you won’t find anywhere else:

  • S&P 500: Breaking above xxxx could set the stage for major gains, while a dip below xxxx would signal a deeper pullback. Where will it go next?
  • Dow Jones: A broken downtrend hints at opportunities. Learn how resistance levels between xxxxxx–xxxxxx could influence the next move.
  • Cycle Analysis: The 6-month cycle suggests a potential rebound, but long-term cycles indicate a pivotal moment. Will the bull market sustain, or are we on the verge of a correction?
  • Exclusive Indicator Insights: Narrow rally breadth raises questions about market strength. What’s the signal you should act on?

💡 Don’t miss out—subscribe today to access the full report and get ahead of the market with Lee Adler’s proprietary analysis. Secure your edge now: Learn More & Subscribe.

Go to the post

Maximize Your Trading Edge with Weekly Technical Chart Insights

Lee Adler

Are you ready to elevate your trading strategy with powerful insights? Our Weekly Technical Trader Report offers an unparalleled look into key market trends and chart patterns that can help you stay ahead of the curve. Packed with expert analysis and proprietary algorithms, this report is designed to support smart, confident decision-making.

What’s Inside the Report?

  • Proprietary Market Screens: Discover how our system evaluates over 1,500 stocks weekly to identify the most promising setups.
  • Cycle-Based Trading Insights: Learn how cycles influence trends and uncover windows for potential turning points.
  • Trend Analysis & Momentum: Get a clear picture of how key indicators are aligning to shape market conditions.

This week’s report includes deep dives into swing trade setups, market cycles, and actionable insights—all tailored to help traders identify opportunities with precision.

Why Traders Love This Report:

  • Data-Driven: Proprietary algorithms designed to filter out noise and highlight meaningful opportunities.
  • Expert Insights: Backed by six decades of market experience, this report helps traders of all levels find their edge.
  • Timely Updates: Stay informed with weekly analysis and keep pace with the ever-changing market.

Don’t Miss Out

Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, Technical Trader Weekly Chart Picks provides a reliable resource for navigating market complexities. The insights in this report could be the difference between staying ahead of the crowd or falling behind.

📩 Subscribe Now and start receiving actionable insights instantly.

Take the guesswork out of trading. Subscribe today to gain exclusive access to the tools and analysis trusted by serious traders.

(Note: Weekly stock picks and detailed trading recommendations are reserved exclusively for subscribers.)

Go to the post

Navigating Market Risks: Insights from Primary Dealer Positions – January 2025

Lee Adler

Dive into the latest analysis of primary dealer positions and their implications for Treasury and equity markets in 2025. This exclusive report uncovers critical trends in dealer financing, leverage, and hedging strategies, with a focus on key metrics like repo financing volatility and the debt ceiling’s impact on market liquidity. Discover why systemic leverage is growing and how this might influence the timing of the next bear market.

Highlights include:

  • Rising Dealer Leverage: Learn about the risks from record-high fixed-income inventories and imperfect hedges.
  • Repo Market Instability: Explore how wild fluctuations in repo financing could signal deeper systemic issues.
  • Market Outlook: Understand why technical indicators suggest a potential top formation in stocks and bonds.
  • Debt Ceiling Implications: Find out how the government’s cash management strategies could delay market disruptions.

Want the full breakdown of actionable insights and critical signals to watch? Subscribe now to Liquidity Trader for comprehensive analysis and guidance. 👉 Get Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader Delivered Instantly

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Go to the post

Top Swing Trade Picks & Market Insights: Gold, Footwear, and Short-Sale Opportunities – Jan 12, 2025

Lee Adler

🔗 Subscribers, download the full report here to access this week’s detailed analysis and chart picks.

Oh, Dem Golden Slippers!

This week’s Technical Trader Weekly Chart Picks provides a comprehensive look at market trends, offering actionable chart picks for swing trades. Here’s a preview of what our proprietary technical cycle screens uncovered:

  • Market Sentiment Shifts: A significant tilt towards sell signals for the fourth consecutive week, indicating potential opportunities for savvy traders.
  • Long-Term & Intermediate Trends: Key insights from proprietary cycle screens of all actively traded NYSE and Nasdaq stocks, highlight swing trend changes, exclusively for subscribers.
  • Performance Updates: December closed with an average gain of 3.7% over a 29-day holding period, reinforcing the value of disciplined, data-driven strategies.

Stay Ahead of the Market: Our proprietary algorithm continues to evolve, integrating adjustments aimed at enhancing entry and exit timing and reducing noise in trade signals. Subscribers gain exclusive access to expertly curated charts and performance tracking to refine their trading strategies.

🚀 Take your trading to the next level! Subscribe to our Technical Trader service designed for chart traders, and those looking for early warning on fundamentals based opportunities and dangers. Gain access to weekly chart picks, detailed performance tracking, and exclusive insights.

🔗 Visit LiquidityTrader.com and join an elite community of traders maximizing their edge in the market.

Go to the post

Withholding Taxes Surge – Could This Signal a Market Breakout?

Lee Adler

Federal tax collection data shows surprising strength – but what does this mean for markets in 2025?

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

December’s spike in federal withholding tax collections reflects broader economic trends that may influence both stock and bond markets. While the numbers indicate resilience, questions remain about how sustainable this growth is and what role the debt ceiling will play in shaping future outcomes. 🔗 Unlock Full Access – Subscribe Now for in-depth breakdowns and exclusive insights that can help shape your trading strategy.

🔹 By the Numbers:

  • Withheld taxes jumped 13.8% year-over-year by the end of December.
  • Even adjusted for employee compensation inflation, growth remained impressive at 8.8%.
  • Corporate tax collections showed variability – but is this a sign of trouble or just noise?

📈 Charts Show:
Tax collection patterns reveal intriguing cyclical movements. Some trends suggest sustained strength, while others hint at potential shifts ahead.

  • Revenue Growth Cycles – See how recent patterns stack up against historical averages.
  • Short-Term Pullbacks – Are these normal pauses or early warning signs of market retracement?
    🔗 Unlock Full Access – Subscribe Now for in-depth breakdowns and exclusive insights that can help shape your trading strategy.

💼 What You Should Know:
These tax trends could play a crucial role in shaping market conditions over the coming months. Understanding the underlying drivers could offer key insights – but timing and context are essential.

👉 Curious About What’s Next?
Our premium report dives into the details behind these trends, providing the context and analysis you need to stay informed.

🔗 Unlock Full Access – Subscribe Now for in-depth breakdowns and exclusive insights that can help shape your trading strategy.

Go to the post

Is the Market on the Verge of a Major Move? Key Levels to Watch This Week

Lee Adler

The markets are heating up, with the S&P 500 testing crucial resistance zones that could define the next major trend. As the Dow flirts with breakout levels, traders are eyeing potential shifts that could signal either a new uptrend or a sharp reversal.

🔍 What does this mean for your portfolio?

Cycle analysis points to pivotal turning points, but the signals are mixed. Short-term strength is emerging, but long-term indicators are flashing caution. The coming week could provide the clarity traders need – if they know what to watch.

Highlights from this week’s report:

  • 📈 A key index is approaching resistance that could trigger a breakout – or a breakdown.
  • 🔄 Cycle indicators suggest a critical phase ahead, with potential for major market movement.
  • 🚩 One major index is nearing a level that could either confirm strength or signal a top.

👉 Want to see the full analysis and stay ahead of the market?
Get the complete breakdown by subscribing to our latest Technical Trader Weekly report.

🔗 Subscribe now and get instant access

Don’t miss the insights that could shape your next trade.

Go to the post

Master Market Cycles – Exclusive Swing Trade and Short Sale Picks for January 2025

Lee Adler

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis isn’t just about finding buying opportunities – it’s about identifying short sale setups as well. This week’s charts highlight potential reversals and breakdowns, including a well-known retail stock that has flashed multiple sell signals. By applying refined versions of JM Hurst’s cycle theories, these insights provide both long and short opportunities to capitalize on market fluctuations.

🔍 What’s on the Radar:

  • One retail giant just hit resistance within a declining cycle, signaling a possible short sale.
  • A tech stock is triggering early reversal patterns, hinting at a potential upside break.
  • A real estate play near cycle support is showing signs of accumulation – will it hold?

📊 December Results: +3.7% average gain with 29 calendar days average holding period.
These aren’t just signals – they’re part of an ongoing education in market timing and cycle recognition.
👉 Subscribe now to receive Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader instantly and learn to profit from both sides of the market.

Go to the post

Top Chart Picks for Traders – Download Full Report | Liquidity Trader

Lee Adler

Weekly Chart Picks: Long and Short Opportunities for Traders

Happy New Year from Liquidity Trader!

Start your trading year strong with our latest market analysis and chart picks. This week, our screens revealed 133 charts meeting long-term structural buy criteria, while 500 charts hit long-term sell criteria. Notably, this marks two consecutive weeks where nearly one-third of all stocks screened met sell conditions, signaling increased short-selling opportunities as we head into the new year.

Key Highlights:

  • Long-Term Buys: 133 stocks met structural buy criteria.
  • Long-Term Sells: 500 stocks flagged for structural sell criteria.
  • Intermediate Analysis: 132 of the buy setups also matched intermediate buy triggers, while 499 sell setups aligned with intermediate sell signals.
  • Short-Term Triggers: 11 short-term buys and 41 short-term sells were identified.

Visual Review Insights:
Upon closer examination, none of the buy setups stood out, while only one sell short presented a viable entry point. Many charts with sell signals have already moved, limiting ideal entry options at this time.

Performance Recap:
Five picks dropped off the list last week. Across all open and closed positions, the list achieved an average gain of 10.1% over an average holding period of 30 days. This is an improvement from the 7.6% gain in the prior week with a 31-day average holding period.

For December, after cutting losses earlier in the month, the average gain stands at 3.7% over a 29-day average holding period.

Download the Full Report:
Subscribers can click to download the full report with charts and analysis of open and new picks.

Non-subscribers, gain access to the full report by clicking here.

Disclaimer:
All chart picks are theoretical, based on technical screens, for informational purposes, and assume cash-based strategies without margin or options. Past performance does not indicate future results.

For detailed insights and ongoing market updates, visit Liquidity Trader.

Go to the post

Liquidity Trends and Stock Market Insights – Is a Bear Market Imminent? | Download Full Report

Lee Adler

Is the Stock Market on the Brink of Reversal? Stay Ahead with the Latest Liquidity Insights 🚨

The stock market is pushing into extreme territory, with liquidity measures signaling potential risks ahead. Liquidity Trader’s latest report dives deep into the underlying factors shaping market movements and highlights key indicators that could spell the beginning of a bear market.

📊 Key Insights from the Report:

1. Expanding Market Liquidity
Despite the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Tightening (QT), liquidity within the financial system continues to rise. This growth, driven by private lending, repo markets, and government spending, reveals the market’s capacity to self-generate liquidity, even as the Fed reduces its balance sheet.
👉 Non-subscribers can click here to access the full analysis.

2. Stock Market Resilience – How Long Can It Last?
Markets remain elevated, reflecting bullish sentiment and ample liquidity. Although stocks are extended to extreme levels, no definitive sell signals have emerged—yet. However, the risk of a market correction or bear market is increasing. This report shows you the signs.
👉 Non-subscribers can click here to access the full analysis.

3. Debt Limit and Treasury Dynamics
With the re-imposition of the debt limit approaching, Treasury actions could inject further liquidity into the system. This dynamic may temporarily support markets, but the long-term implications will remain. This report tells what they are, and how and when we’ll get there.
👉 Gain full insights by clicking here for access.

4. Repo Markets – Fueling Speculation at Dangerous Levels
Delivery vs. Payment (DVP) repos have played a crucial role in funding federal debt and amplifying liquidity available for asset speculation. Repo trends strongly correlate with rising stock prices, but signs of an approaching trend reversal are emerging. This report shows and tells how to know when the trend has reversed.
👉 Non-subscribers can click here to explore these findings.

5. Shrinking Fed Reverse Repo (RRP) Liquidity
The Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility, once a key source of liquidity, has dwindled to nominal levels. As reliance shifts to market-driven liquidity through repos and leverage, the risk of market fragility increases. Our report examines signals of an imminent unwinding, one that could become self reinforcing and chaotic.
👉 Access the full breakdown by clicking here.

6. Foreign Central Banks – A Key Market Driver
Foreign central banks’ liquidity flows significantly influence U.S. markets. Current data hints at potential warning signs, though no decisive sell signals have been triggered. This report shows you what those signals will look like and will keep you updated regularly.
👉 Understand the implications by accessing the full report.

7. Treasury and Bond Market Outlook
Elevated Treasury cash balances are fueling short-term liquidity, but rising bond yields and ongoing debt issuance are creating pressures that could spread into equities and other asset classes. This report will tell you when to expect that.
👉 Download the full analysis here to stay informed.

💼 Why You Need This Report:
Understanding liquidity trends and their correlation with stock prices is essential to staying ahead of market movements and avoiding, or profiting from, downturns. Whether you’re an active trader or a long-term investor, the insights in this report will provide you with the knowledge to navigate volatile conditions.

👉 Subscribe Now to Unlock Full Access
Gain exclusive access to this critical report and stay informed with real-time updates on liquidity, repo markets, and Treasury dynamics.

📈 Limited-Time Offer – 90-Day Risk-Free Trial
Start your journey with Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader and make smarter, data-driven decisions before the market reacts.

🔗 Subscribe Now to stay ahead of market trends!

Go to the post

Top Chart Picks for a Prosperous 2025: Merry Christmas from Liquidity Trader

Lee Adler

As we celebrate the festive season, Liquidity Trader presents a weekly selection of chart picks that signal promising opportunities for substantial growth in 2025. Algorithmic analysis delves into key market trends, providing you with actionable insights to make informed investment decisions.

Key Highlights:

  • In-Depth Analysis: Liquidity Trader’s systems meticulously examine market movements to identify stocks with the potential for significant gains in both directions (including short sales) in the coming weeks and months.
  • Strategic Insights: Gain a competitive edge with these weekly reports, showing these chart picks derived from both automated systems and my personal review, along with what they mean for the overall market outlook.
  • Expert Recommendations: Leverage this expert output to navigate the complexities of the financial landscape and optimize your investment portfolio.

Stay informed and ahead of the curve with LiquidityTrader’s latest analyses and recommendations. Latest performance:

Want to unlock full access to our chart picks and exclusive market insights? Subscribe now to receive real-time updates and stay ahead in the investment game.

Wishing you a Merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year!

Note: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Don’t miss out on the latest market opportunities. Join Liquidity Trader today and take your investment strategy to the next level. Questions? Call 561-839-3726 and I will be happy to speak to you about subscription options.

Go to the post