Despite the noise about the Fed possibly cutting interest rates this week, the reality of the market says otherwise. If the Fed does cut, it could lead to disaster.
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The Fed’s balance sheet is shrinking, but bank lending for speculative purposes has soared. That is supporting financial asset price inflation. That’s dangerous. This report shows how it works, and why you should be concerned.
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Macro liquidity growth has slowed to a crawl. The Fed and its cohort major central banks are a negative factor on balance. But runaway financial market speculation is driving a big surge in bank lending to finance securities purchases, and that’s providing self-sustaining liquidity. But debt driven trends eventually break badly. This report looks at the keys to showing when this trend is reversing and gives you a strategy for maximizing the current trend.
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The ECB created a monster, and now that monster is chasing it. This report paints the gruesome picture, spells out the implications for you as a US investor, and tells you what to do about it.
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The Fed announced at its January meeting that “they panicking” (apologies to Trading Places) and that neither rate increases nor the shrinkage of the balance sheet are on autopilot any longer. The Fed says it will adjust both as the economy and “financial conditions,” aka the stock market, dictate.
So far, neither has given them an excuse to loosen, although the economic priesthood and the Wall Street captured media have repeatedly characterized the economy as “softening.” Softening is not the same as shrinking. That’s what the Fed is looking for. Although mostly it’s worried about a stock market decline. No sign of that lately either.
The question before us now is whether the Fed’s change in approach will pre-empt the crash I’ve been expecting. Here’s the answer, and I show you exactly why that is.
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Just because the Fed uttered a few comforting words to the market doesn’t mean that we are out of the woods. Talk is cheap. Money talks. Fed BS walks. Show me the money, the big money, then we’ll talk about a potentially bullish scenario. Because as of now, it’s not there.
This report will show you exactly why both stocks and bonds are riding for a fall, and will give you a good idea of exactly what to do about it.
Lee Adler