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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader- Money Trends

How Fed and Treasury policy, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity, interact to drive the financial markets. Focus on trend direction of US bonds and stocks. Resulting market strategy and tactical ideas. 4-5 in depth reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Federal Revenue Growth Gives Fed No Excuses, But Economic Strength May Be an Illusion

Lee Adler

Federal Deficit Chart- Availble full size in the reportFederal tax collection data for March showed modest economic growth but continuing wide Federal budget deficits. An uptick in nominal revenues has reduced Treasury issuance for the time being. But the revenue windfall will be counted and in the books by mid May. After that, things will change. Here’s what to expect and a recommended investment approach.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. Subscribe by 11:59 Pacific Time, Saturday April 13, and get 20% off the regular price including all renewals. Price will be adjusted after order completion.

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Here’s How Light Treasury Supply In April and May Create Selling Opportunities in Bonds and Stocks

Lee Adler

Treasury Supply Trend. See full size chart in the report.

Short term rates in the Treasury money markets have remained near their highs despite the Fed announcing a less tight monetary policy, and despite a big reduction in Treasury supply over the past month.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time, April 10 and get 15% off the published price. Applies to the initial price and all renewals. Price will be adjusted after order completion.

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Beware of Surprises as Withholding Taxes Stay Strong In March

Lee Adler

Withholding Tax Chart - Full sized in reportBeware! March withholding tax collections were strong, but excise taxes were weak.
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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

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As Fed Balance Sheet Shrinks, Speculative Bank Lending Soars

Lee Adler

The Fed’s balance sheet is shrinking, but bank lending for speculative purposes has soared. That is supporting financial asset price inflation. That’s dangerous. This report shows how it works, and why you should be concerned.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  

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Federal Tax Receipts and Other Real Time Data Bely the Current Narrative

Lee Adler

Withholding Tax Chart - Full sized in reportReal time federal tax receipts and other real time data bely the current bullish narrative. Here’s why the Fed won’t ease policy and why the rally won’t end well.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

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These Charts Show How Primary Dealers Create Huge Risk as They Get Longer and Longer the Bond Market

Lee Adler

Full sized chart in report. The Primary Dealers continue to carry historically massive net long fixed income positions, purchased with debt, resulting in huge increases in leverage. They are hedging in the futures markets, and have reduced their Treasury longs a bit over the past month. But their overall net long exposure continues to grow. Here’s what history tells us about why that could be a problem. And here’s how you can protect yourself and even take advantage of the fallout.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. Subscribe by midnight Pacific Time, March 19 and get 20% off the published price.

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Macro Liquidity Indicator Charts Show Rally Not Long For This World

Lee Adler

Macro liquidity growth has slowed to a crawl. The Fed and its cohort major central banks are a negative factor on balance. But runaway financial market speculation is driving a big surge in bank lending to finance securities purchases, and that’s providing self-sustaining liquidity. But debt driven trends eventually break badly. This report looks at the keys to showing when this trend is reversing and gives you a strategy for maximizing the current trend.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. Order by March 19 and get 20% off!

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Liquidity Trader Grand Opening Special

Lee Adler

Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader is now fully operational. After 18 years, The Wall Street Examiner Pro Trader is now Liquidity Trader. So please put Liquiditytrader.com in your favorites. Meanwhile, you can still read Lee’s Free Thinking and other great independent thinkers, at the Wall Street Examiner.

To mark this official launch I am extending the prelaunch special offer until 11:59 PM Pacific Time, Tuesday, March 19.  Subscribe now for 20% off posted prices. Renewals will be at the discounted rate.  Try Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! This offer ends March 19.

The order forms show the regular price. Your payment will be adjusted upon order completion. Thank you in advance for trying the service!

Lee

Questions? Contact Me!

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Charts Show Increased Speculative Leverage Driving Rallies in Stocks and Bonds

Lee Adler

Meanwhile, instead of liquidating other assets to raise the cash to buy new Treasury supply, dealers and other buyers have used up cash and added to their leverage. The rally has been pushed by a massive increase in leveraged speculation. This leaves the markets increasingly vulnerable. Here’s what to look for and how to trade it.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. Subscribe before March 15 and get 20% off the published price.

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Here’s Why Bonds Rallying Despite Burgeoning Supply is Bad News

Lee Adler

The BLS reported a very weak jobs number this morning. Treasuries are rallying again. How the BLS got that number in the face of surge in withholding tax collections in February is a mystery, but the likely outcome isn’t. Here’s why it’s bad news for both bonds and stocks, along with  a recommendation what to do about it.

Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. Subscribe before March 15 and get 20% off the published price, including all renewals. Subscribe at the published price and your cost will be reduced by 20% upon completion of the order.

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