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Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Meltup Gonna Take You Hiya – Link Corrected

Lee Adler

Last night, I posted this report with a bad link. That’s been corrected. My apologies!

Cycles and other technical factors are lined up for the usual Turkey – Santa Claus rally.

Cycle projections have risen across the board, with a 4 week cycle high projected at xxxx over xxxx week. Projected highs for the next longer cycles range from xxxx to xxxx, ideally due between November xx and xxxxxxxxx xx. There’s still no projection for the 6-month cycle but its high isn’t due until xxxxxxxx at the earliest.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – More Longs

Lee Adler

The screens generated few final signals in the aftermath of the big move. For the week ended Monday, there were just 40 charts with a second buy signal and 21 charts with second sell signals. That’s a big change from last week when there 123 buy signals and 79 sells. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

I reviewed all of the charts from today’s screen results. I chose six to add on the buy side and no sells. As usual, there will be no stops set for the first week. The charts were better looking on the long side this week, so I will roll with the existing picks without stops.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

The public facing report is not the complete report. Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.

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Not Just a One Week Wonder

Lee Adler

Intermediate term technical indicators launched last week, supporting the expectation of an extension of the rally. However, while we might expect an extension lasting at least xxx xxxx xxxx to xxxx xxxxx xxxx, unless Fed policy flips back to QE, or the Treasury starts paying down T-bills again, the rally’s days are numbered. This does not look like a new bull market upleg. In this report, I show the likely price and time targets of the move, along with key support and resistance levels. How the market behaves around those levels will dictate how we drive on these curves. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Adding Longs

Lee Adler

The screens generated more buys than sells for the week ended Monday. There were 123 charts with a second buy signal over the last two days of the period, and 79 charts with second sell signals. That was a shift from Friday, when sells dominated, but Monday’s rally flipped many charts into the buy column. There are a large number of borderline and whipsaw signals. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

It’s difficult to be confident that this will stick, but it sets the market up for yet another Fed policy re-substantiation rally. So I’m putting the existing shorts already on the list on a tight leash with protective stops just above key resistance levels.   And I am adding longs.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

The public facing report is not the complete report. Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.

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Last Week I Warned of Market Crash Potential

Lee Adler

Last week, I posted this warning:

Technical signs of an intermediate bottom forming have broken, and cycle projections now point lower. Multiple failed buy signals mean that the market is currently more vulnerable to a crash than has been the case for a long time. Watch out if the market breaks down on Monday. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

That worst case scenario appeared to be in the process of being actualized last week. But with a Fed meeting on tap, this morning there’s been some pre-emptive nibbling and short covering. Non subscribers click here to access.

Despite that, the outlook remains in a range from mildly negative to possible crash. Here’s the supporting evidence, and specific projections for likely time frames and price ranges for the next bottom. Non subscribers click here to access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Beware of Bear Market Crash Potential

Lee Adler

Technical signs of an intermediate bottom forming have broken, and cycle projections now point lower. Multiple failed buy signals mean that the market is currently more vulnerable to a crash than has been the case for a long time. Watch out if the market breaks down on Monday. Here’s what to look for.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Which is Better, Late or Never?

Lee Adler

The screens generated far more sells than buys last week, needless to say. There were 133 final sell signals and just 17 buys. Of those 17, 17 were fixed income ETFs. Time for a little countertrend rally in bonds?

I reviewed all of the charts on the sell side. Many of the charts had been in extended declines, but there were plenty more with new short term sell signals that looked enticing. I chose 7 to add to the list as shorts this week. Since they got hammered on Friday and this morning’s open is looking weak, I will track them based on the average price of this morning’s open and Wednesday’s opening print. This would assume a half entry now, and the other half Wednesday morning. Purely arbitrary SWAG for the entry price. No stops yet. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

The public facing report is not the complete report. Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Interim Update

Lee Adler

Thanks to problems with my Windoze operating system, this will be an interim update, just for existing picks. I hope to have the operating system issues solved ASAP and will follow with a regular update of this report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

The public facing report is not the complete report. Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.

Go to the post

Cycles Still Lean One Way, Not t’Other

Lee Adler

I give an very slight edge that the market will go this way on the basis of the 6 month cycle, but other indications suggest that the up phase is ……. ……. ……… It’s not a time for xxxxx xxxxxx, but I’m leaning toward the xxxxxx side, and would press the bets if that’s confirmed. On the other hand, if there’s no xxxxxx this week, then xxxx xxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxx would be a good bet.

Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Go to the post

Veal Market – Baby Calves Get Slaughtered

Lee Adler

The list got slaughtered last week. At best, my buy side picks were too early, and at worst, flat out wrong. The average loss is now 2.9% with an average holding period of 12 calendar days, including 2 picks that hit stops and were closed out. With the 18 remaining open picks, for those whose buy signals have reversed, I have added tight stops. It boils down to the dreaded “holdin and hopin,” for a rebound and better exit point, but with lines in the sand where I will retreat and regroup. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

The public facing report is not the complete report. Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.

Go to the post