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June Federal Tax Data Shows Fed Has No Excuse – Chart Corrected

NOTE: I neglected to insert the updated Withholding Tax chart in the report posted last night. The data and analysis was complete and update. Here’s the report with the updated chart. 

The tax data shows that the market rationale for the rallies in stocks and bonds is just plain wrong.  Here’s the proof, and what to do about it.

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Gold Tops Out… For Now, Not for Long

The mining stocks and gold look poised for corrections, but the long term outlook remains bullish. Among our trading picks, GFI was stopped out last week wth a gain of 36% in 29 days. We should also take our profit on AU, which had gained 54% in 41 days as of Friday’s close. I have raised trailing stops on the remaining 5 picks to protect the gains in those. We can look to enter new trades depending on how the correction plays out.

This report covers the short to long term technical outlook for gold, and for gold mining stocks, along with recommended trading strategy.

Subscribers, click here to download report.

Try Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader, including the Gold and Mining Stock Trader risk free for 90 days (first time subscribers only)!  

Stocks Are Back in the Starting Blocks

The 10-12 month cycle “second wind” rally continues. It could run until the originally projected time window of late July through late September. The cycle projection is now 3250. Here’s what could change that outlook. Meanwhile, we closed our last option trade recommendation with a 65% gain last week, and we’re looking for the next one.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Primary Dealer Positions Are Off The Charts DANGEROUS

Primary Dealers continue to hold historically massive net long fixed income positions. They have purchased those positions using debt, resulting in huge increases in leverage.

In the short run, all this cash makes everything look great, but don’t be misled. Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Thursday, June 27 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Everything Looks Great When the US Treasury Pumps Cash Into the Market

The US Treasury continues to pay down T-Bills. That puts cash back into the accounts of the dealers and investors that had held the securities that are being redeemed. That, in turn, continues to stoke demand for longer dated notes and bonds. It has also contributed to the demand for stocks.

In the short run, all this cash makes everything look great, but don’t be misled. Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, June 25 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Trailing Stop Hit On Our SPY Call Trade

The initial trailing stop condition for our SPY call trade initiated last Monday was met at 2:30 PM today. In this weekend’s report I recommended that that the trade be closed if the S&P 500 was below 2960, beginning at 2:30 PM today. That condition was met. The option was trading at $7.03 at that time. The initial price at the time the buy condition was met was $4.25. That recommendation is now closed.

I will send a private email bulletin to subscribers in the event of a new trade recommendation during the week, prior to the regular, end of week report.

Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download Saturday’s complete report.

Try Lee Adler’s Technical Trader and Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! First time subscribers, sign up before 6:00 PM Pacific Time on Monday, June 24 and get the first month free. If you cancel within 30 days, you will not be charged. 90 day money back guarantee period also applies from the intial signup date. This offer applies to first time subscribers only.

Breathtakingly Bullish Chart Patterns in Gold Price and Gold Mining Stocks

Gold has broken out of a major resistance levels with longer term indicators projecting more gains after consolidation. All 7 of our gold mining stock picks from May 20 through June 3 are gaining. The smallest gain, at 6%, is on the GLD ETF, added June 3.  The mining stocks added June 3 are up from 11% to 18%, while the May 20 and 28 picks are up 51% and 42%.  I am recommending protecting those gains by raising trailing stop levels.

This report covers the short to long term technical outlook for gold, and for gold mining stocks, along with recommended trading strategy.

Click here to download report.

Try Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader, including the Gold and Mining Stock Trader risk free for 90 days (first time subscribers only)! Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Monday, June 24 and get the first month free.

30 day free trial and 90 day guarantee offer applies to first time subscribers only. Cancel within the first 30 days and you pay nothing. The 90 day guarantee applies from the date of your order.

Raise Those Trailing Stops on Our Current SPY Call Trade

Cycle projections for this move point higher, even though a pullback or consolidation is due this week.

The buy condition for last week’s recommended trade was met at 2 PM Monday June 17 with the option at a price of $4.25. As of Friday’s close, the gain was 71%. To protect as much of that as possible, I am raising trailing mental stops. I am not recommending any new trades at this time, but will send an email bulletin if anything changes.

Here are the keys. Technical Trader subscribers, click here to download the report.

Try Lee Adler’s Technical Trader and Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! First time subscribers, sign up before 6:00 PM Pacific Time on Sunday, June 23 and get the first month free. If you cancel within 30 days, you will not be charged. 90 day money back guarantee period also applies from the intial signup date. This offer applies to first time subscribers only.

We Knew the Treasury Paydowns Would Be Bullish, But What Now?

Last month in the Treasury Supply update (May 16) I wrote that the debt ceiling would continue to force the Treasury to pay down debt, short term T-bills in particular. I said that the paydowns “will continue until the end of Q2. That’s bullish for bonds, and possibly for stocks.”

But then I said that the picture changes radically in Q3. And that has not changed. Here’s what’s happened so far, what’s likely for the third quarter, and then the big change that’s coming. Having this information will help you to continue to take advantage of the market’s big move, and to be ready for when and how it’s likely to change.

Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free if you subscribe today! 

Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  Join by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Saturday, June 22 and get the first month free. Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

 

Holding Tight To Our Mining Picks

As gold consolidates we are holding our mining picks with adjusted stops. All 6 are in the green.

Click here to download report.

Try Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader, including the Gold and Mining Stock Trader risk free for 90 days (first time subscribers only)! Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Monday, June 17 and get the first month free.

30 day free trial and 90 day guarantee offer applies to first time subscribers only. Cancel within the first 30 days and you pay nothing. The 90 day guarantee applies from the date of your order.