The Fed’s balance sheet is shrinking, but bank lending for speculative purposes has soared. That is supporting financial asset price inflation. That’s dangerous. This report shows how it works, and why you should be concerned.
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Real time federal tax receipts and other real time data bely the current bullish narrative. Here’s why the Fed won’t ease policy and why the rally won’t end well.
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There’s a critical price level that gold needs to cross to signal that it will ultimately break out to the upside in a new bull market upleg. Meanwhile, I have added another mining stock pick. We now have 3 toes in the water for a move to the upside, with stops of course!
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The previous week’s “as good as it gets” played out last week, with a failed breakout through major resistance. But bears still need more to prove their case. The jury is still considering the evidence. This report shows it to you.
Meanwhile, our SPY call trade from 2 weeks ago was stopped out with a 65% profit on Wednesday. A conditional SPY put trade was triggered when the trigger condition was met with 5 minutes left in the trading day on Friday. I have updated that trade to include stop levels and an S&P price target.
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The Primary Dealers continue to carry historically massive net long fixed income positions, purchased with debt, resulting in huge increases in leverage. They are hedging in the futures markets, and have reduced their Treasury longs a bit over the past month. But their overall net long exposure continues to grow. Here’s what history tells us about why that could be a problem. And here’s how you can protect yourself and even take advantage of the fallout.
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Gold’s technical analysis picture has a couple of cycles opposed right now. We’re watching a key level for confirmation of a bull market. We’re also sticking with a couple of mining stock picks but with protective stops added.
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OK, so it may or may not be this week after the FOMC announcement. But this report gives you a couple of cycle projection targets and a couple of keys to watch to signal whether the trend will continue or reverse.
We’re still long our suggested SPY call trade that triggered last Monday. I have raised trailing stops on that to protect the profit.
I also am suggesting a put trade for later this week if certain conditions are met. This report spells out the conditions that would trigger that trade.
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Macro liquidity growth has slowed to a crawl. The Fed and its cohort major central banks are a negative factor on balance. But runaway financial market speculation is driving a big surge in bank lending to finance securities purchases, and that’s providing self-sustaining liquidity. But debt driven trends eventually break badly. This report looks at the keys to showing when this trend is reversing and gives you a strategy for maximizing the current trend.
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Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader is now fully operational. After 18 years, The Wall Street Examiner Pro Trader is now Liquidity Trader. So please put Liquiditytrader.com in your favorites. Meanwhile, you can still read Lee’s Free Thinking and other great independent thinkers, at the Wall Street Examiner.
To mark this official launch I am extending the prelaunch special offer until 11:59 PM Pacific Time, Tuesday, March 19. Subscribe now for 20% off posted prices. Renewals will be at the discounted rate. Try Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! This offer ends March 19.
The order forms show the regular price. Your payment will be adjusted upon order completion. Thank you in advance for trying the service!
Lee
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Meanwhile, instead of liquidating other assets to raise the cash to buy new Treasury supply, dealers and other buyers have used up cash and added to their leverage. The rally has been pushed by a massive increase in leveraged speculation. This leaves the markets increasingly vulnerable. Here’s what to look for and how to trade it.
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Lee Adler
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