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Tag: systemic leverage

Navigating Market Risks: Insights from Primary Dealer Positions – January 2025

Dive into the latest analysis of primary dealer positions and their implications for Treasury and equity markets in 2025. This exclusive report uncovers critical trends in dealer financing, leverage, and hedging strategies, with a focus on key metrics like repo financing volatility and the debt ceiling’s impact on market liquidity. Discover why systemic leverage is growing and how this might influence the timing of the next bear market.

Highlights include:

  • Rising Dealer Leverage: Learn about the risks from record-high fixed-income inventories and imperfect hedges.
  • Repo Market Instability: Explore how wild fluctuations in repo financing could signal deeper systemic issues.
  • Market Outlook: Understand why technical indicators suggest a potential top formation in stocks and bonds.
  • Debt Ceiling Implications: Find out how the government’s cash management strategies could delay market disruptions.

Want the full breakdown of actionable insights and critical signals to watch? Subscribe now to Liquidity Trader for comprehensive analysis and guidance. 👉 Get Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader Delivered Instantly

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Primary Dealer Stress: Big Risks Delayed, Not Denied, in the Treasury and Equity Markets

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Primary Dealer positions and financing indicate elevated risk, but debt ceiling dynamics, and resulting market liquidity conditions should delay the next bear market until later this year. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

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