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Posted in 1 - Liquidity Trader, Fed, Central Bank and Banking Macro Liquidity

Light Treasury Supply, Even Paydowns, and Ongoing QE – Still Bullish

Fed QE and Treasury supply remain roughly in balance. The Fed is still funding most, if not all new issuance, either by direct purchase of Treasuries, or indirect funding via purchases of MBS. Meanwhile delayed tax collections are creating a July cash windfall for the Treasury. It’s all bullish for the next two weeks.

But then it gets different. Here’s why, and what to do about it.

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