Fed balance sheet and banking data, along with Treasury supply data had previously shown the prospect for some stock market weakness around the enormous expected end of May Treasury coupon settlement. I warned about it in our last update of this data on May 13, which was headlined, “Why Sell in May and Go Away.” Non-subscribers, click here for access.
Subscribers, click here to download the report.
Last week, the Treasury confirmed the amount of the settlement that I had estimated. Over the past few days, we’ve begun to see the effects of that in stocks and bonds. But how bad will it be? This report answers that question, and shows you why.
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