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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader

Reports on the Fed and Treasury, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, European banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity. Resulting market strategy recommendations. 7-8 reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Not QE? The Financial Times Is Either Stupid or Lying

The pause in the growth of the Fed’s balance sheet over the past 6 weeks isn’t what the pundits are telling you. Some are saying that it’s evidence that the Fed is not doing QE. They’re either gaslighting, or clueless. But we know what it is, and we know what happens now.

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January Treasury Data – Boffo Revenues, Soaring Outlays and Deficit

Withholding tax collections are soaring. But despite that and the massive stimulus of skyrocketing government outlays and ever widening deficits, the ‘conomy is only so-so. Here’s why, what it means for liquidity and the markets. And of course, what you should do about it.

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Email System Back in Business

I just discovered today that Liquidity Traders email system had malfunctioned and had stopped sending notifications to you last week. All posts were available here onsite, but you may have missed one over the last few days if you have not visited the site.

The emails are now sending again and you should be notified instantly when a new post is published.

I apologize for the inconvenience! My apologies as well if you have recieved multiple emails in the past few minutes as we cleared the block. Thanks for your patience and support!

Lee

The Big Treasury Margin Call is Called Off

With the light supply and the Fed money putting the wind at their backs, Primary Dealers got a gift on top of that. Coronavirus. The panic that induced has driven money out of stocks and into bonds. Just what they needed.

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Get this report and access to past reports.  Read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only.

When the Dealers Will Say WTF and Just Keep Selling

Dealers cut back their fixed income inventories ever so slightly over the past month. They also increased their hedges, but again, slightly. They are still near historical record net long positions, and still carry historic levels of leverage.

With a bulge in Treasury supply on the way, is this where the bond market might trigger them throwing up their hands and saying WTF, despite the Fed?

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Also, I have republished Thursday’s Treasury market update due to a faulty posting with  links to an earlier report. Those errors have have now been corrected. I apologize for the delay!

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Get this report and access to past reports.  Read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only.

Market Conditions Were As Good As It Gets

Supply and demand conditions for stocks and bonds have been as good as it gets over the past month. We can thank the Fed’s Not QE program, and light Treasury supply for that.

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Get this report and access to past reports.  Read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only.

These Charts Show That Macro Liquidity And Stock Prices Always Move in Lockstep

It ain’t rocket science. The Fed drives liquidity and stock prices are the first order effect because that’s how monetary policy transmission is designed. These charts show you the way!

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Monthly Treasury Data Confirms Slower Growth- Bullish!

Federal revenues softened in December. That could be just a blip, or it could be the first signs of a looming recession. It’s bullish if it is, and bullish if it isn’t. Here’s why everything is bullish.

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90 Days Risk Free If You Join Now!

Get this report and access to past reports.  Read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only.