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Why Sell in May and Go Away

“Sell in May and go away,” looks like a good idea again this year. The time has come. The time is now. Here’s why.   Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – No Way!

List performance turned negative last week after more than 2 straight months of weekly gains. Including picks still open at the end of the week, plus those stopped out during the week, the list had an average drawdown of -0.4% on an average holding period of 15 calendar days. That compared with the prior week holding an average gain of 1.8% on an average holding period of 15 days. And that was down from an average gain of 7.8%. We could say that it’s early yet as the transition has been underway to a new set of trades, but that would bely the fact that there just don’t seem to be any good setups around.    Non-subscribers click here for access.

Here are this week’s suggestions and updates on prior picks that we are tracking.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Higher But Narrow

There are multiple indications that the market averages will move higher, but other signs that the advance remains narrowly based. Some stocks may be shortable.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Icing on the Gold Cake

The last rally in a xxxxxx month cycle topping process is now under way. There are no projections yet on the shorter cycles, while the xxxxx month cycle projection has risen to xxxx. While the short term looks bright, there are also notable challenges in the long term outlook. So don’t be fooled.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Meanwhile, we’re swinging 5 mining picks to take advantage of rising gold prices.  Subscribers, see table in report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Surprise Shorts

List performance came back to earth last week after 3 months of strong gains. Including picks still open at the end of the week, plus those stopped out during the week, the average gain last week was 1.8% on an average holding period of 15 calendar days. This is down from an average gain of 7.8% on an average holding period of 21 calendar days in the previous week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

For all picks closed out in April the average gain was 15.2% on an average holding period of 34 calendar days. Of those 7 were buys and 4 were shorts. 9 of the 11 picks close out were profitable. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Past performance does not suggest future results. Non-subscribers click here for access.

The latest screens ferreted out 71 stocks that met buy side criteria on Friday before the trigger test, up from 45 the week before. There were 59 sells versus 26 the week before. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Next, I counted the signals that were triggered on Friday alone. That’s as opposed to the total number. The total includes those which triggered previously and continued to meet all other criteria to remain on that signal. Non-subscribers click here for access.

After applying the trigger filters, none of the 71 buys hit their triggers on Friday, while 8 of the sells did. As a result, I’m adding no buys and 4 shorts to the list this week. Including these new picks, that will leave 4 buys and 4 shorts on the list to start this week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

See the table and charts in the report for specifics. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Don’t Trust, Verify

More proof is needed before we can relax in the view that a 6-month cycle up phase has begun. A strong up day could get the ball rolling, and suggest loading up on the buy side for swing trade purposes. Otherwise, a two way street would allow playing both directions. That is, look both ways before crossing. Here are specific things to look for as triggers. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

April Tax Collections Soared

Forget the modest increase in jobs reported by the BLS. Withholding tax collections were strong in April. The US Treasury is flush with more cash than expected, well above its target for the end of Q2. This means that T-bill paydowns may extend for longer than just through late May as is normally the case. That is, unless the Federal Government decides to hold on to all of the massive $900 billion war chest that it has accumulated through better-than-expected tax collections and lower spending than last year in April, mostly the former. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

This is the second straight month of strong tax revenue. That means less supply. The usual April-May tax bulge cash cow could hang around through June, when the government sees a mini tax collection bulge from June estimated taxes. That could extend the T-bill paydown period into late June or early July before the well runs dry. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

And that, my friends, will be a xxxx xxxxx between now and the end of the second quarter. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

As I wrote in this update last month, “Cash doesn’t guarantee a bull stampede, but it means that the gates are open for them to easily run through.” Non-subscribers, click here for access.

This report gives the details of the April tax deluge, what it means for the market, and how you can use that information in your trading and investment strategy.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Gold Valley Rally

Gold is due for a rally, but not much more.

Yet. And that’s ok. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

I have added 4 mining picks to swing, just in case.  Subscribers, see table in report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

The Fed Doesn’t Matter Any More

Bulletin- Fed Cuts QT by $35 billion per month. This is irrelevant and immaterial in the face of the mushrooming Treasury supply ahead. Read on!   Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Today is FOMC circus day, with the Chairman’s Dog and Pony Show after the main event.  Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

It’s all irrelevant. The First Law of Market Dynamics—Don’t Fight the Fed—has been called into question since October 2022 when a new cyclical bull market was born despite Fed policy. It was tight then, and remains tight now, as the Fed relentlessly drains money from the system by shrinking its balance sheet.  Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

That won’t change until the Fed does more than talk about it. And why should it change. Inflation marches on, and the markets are doing just fine.  Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Tight Fed policy hasn’t mattered because the players have been determined to create their own liquidity. Who needs QE when you can just borrow your own cash into existence. With plastic in our pockets, we are all mini central banks. We create credit and money by simply spending what we don’t have because the banks give everybody, especially hedge funds and dealers and private equity, a blank check for credit when they want it.  Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Of course, the Fed had also set up an enormous sludge fund, oops, I mean slush fund, called the RRP facility. That was set up as a piggy bank where all the money market funds deposited all the excess cash that the Fed had pumped into the system during 12 years of QE. At one point in 2022, that fund exceeded $2.5 trillion. That will fund a lot of stock purchases.   Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

And it has.  Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Gradually that fund was drawn down as the US Government ran persistent huge deficits and had to borrow the money to fund them. Only since 2021 has the Fed not been there to buy all that debt. That debt issuance, particularly in the form of short-term Treasury bills had sopped up all but $330 billion of the RRP slush fund by two weeks ago, April 15. But since then, things changed as we knew they would.   Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Here’s what it means, along with a road map of how to drive the markets’ winding roads over the next few months.   Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Hidden Gems

The screens continue to produce slim pickings. I’m adding just 3 buys and no shorts to the list this week. Including these new picks, that will leave just one short and 4 buys on the list for this week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

All 5 picks on the list to start the week last week were winners, including 2 that hit trailing stops. Including picks still open at the end of the week, plus those stopped out during the week, the average gain last week was 7.8% on an average holding period of 21 calendar days. This is down from 17.1% last week on an average holding period of 35 calendar days.

Past performance does not suggest future results.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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