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Liquidity Now Hinges on Mood

Lee Adler

DVP (Delivery versus payment) Repo, which is the bulk of the repo market, made a new high last week, supporting a bullish trend in stocks. The players continue to be ready and willing to use repo to acquire and finance holding Treasury inventory. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Coupon issuance at mid-month was light which eased the burden on the markets. At the same time, the Treasury has issued a tsunami of T-bills in July and August. That turns into repo. That is insta-money. T-bill issuance is effectively money printing as long as the players are willing to repo the T-bills. If they were not, they would need to liquidate assets to buy the new T-bills. They’d rather hold their stocks and bonds, and use repo to buy the bills. It’s cheap financing for their holdings of long-term financial assets. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

In view of this process, here’s an illustrated look ahead at what to expect to signal a final top in stock prices. See for yourself, understand, and decide based on these specific triggers. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

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KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Bits and Pieces- Why What Was Bearish is Now Bullish

Lee Adler

Whereas, in the course of human events… Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Wait! Who starts a report with “Whereas!” I do! Whereas I’ve been summer vacation mode, traveling, I’m a bit behind on updated the Treasury supply and banking data. So I’ll reduce this to bite sized pieces for more current consumption over the next two days. First let’s start with Treasury supply. The Treasury and TBAC just released their latest 6-month supply estimates on July 31. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

In following reports, I’ll get to the Fed balance sheet data, which is released on Thursday evening, and then the banking data, released Friday evening. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Repo use surged last week in a massive breakout. Clearly, the players have decided that they are ready and willing to use repo to acquire and finance Treasury inventory. Coupon issuance for the August 15 mid-month refunding is light, but the Treasury has issued a tsunami of T-bills in July and August. Heavy coupon supply is due at month end. Then T-bill paydowns are coming in September as usual, thanks to the mid month estimated tax payment windfall. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Meanwhile, T-bill issuance has been massive in July and August. Back in the old days, I thought that T-bill issuance was bearish because buyers needed to liquidate existing assets to purchase them. That used to work, but now it is wrong, as we recognized when T-bill issuance surged in June. Here’s why, what it means for the market, and how to play it as a result. Non-subscribers, click here for access. 

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Catching Many Fish

Lee Adler

The signals suggest that we caught an important turn here.  On Friday, 534 short term buy signals and 133 short-term sell signals triggered, out of the 1482 stocks that met minimum price and volume criteria. After applying long term structure filters there were 94 buys and 24 sells. I added 15 of the buys to the list, and 1 short. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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A Pit Oval Week Lies Ahead

Lee Adler

This week is pivotal to the cycle outlook. The 6-month cycle topped out too early, well ahead of its ideal time window. This leaves the potential for a vicious reaction rally, or even a second wind to the up phase. Or maybe not. This report tells you what to expect, and when.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Still Looking Up for Gold

Lee Adler

Gold’s cycle projections and trend structures still look moderately bullish but no such luck for the miners. It’s time to swing those picks up, or else.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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Swing Trade Screen Picks – Missing 80%

Lee Adler

In attempting to develop a method that requires a minimum time investment, the once weekly format has its shortcomings. While results have been positive over the past 31 months, they haven’t beaten the market. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

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Implications of Market Ahead of Itself

Lee Adler

The 6-month cycle has apparently topped out well ahead of its ideal time window, a suggestion of longer-term… Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

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Tax Collections Were Worse than the Jobs Report But…

Lee Adler

After a strong June, tax collections weakened in July. Do they suggest that the widely feared recession may already have begun, or that maybe it’s just a normal correction?  Here’s the answer, as always with the proprietary graphs that you can’t get anywhere else that show you why.   Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Why Primary Dealers Net Short Fixed Income Is Now Bad News for Stocks

Lee Adler

Primary Dealers remain net short the bond market, considering both their securities portfolios and futures hedges. That’s a problem, considering not only what’s going on right now, but what has been going on for the past 3 months. Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Here’s what this means for stocks and bonds, and what you should do about it.  Non-subscribers, click here for access.

Subscription Plans

KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW, before the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Act on real-time reality! 

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Stars Suddenly Align for Gold

Lee Adler

Gold is in a 9-12 month cycle down phase that isn’t going down, which is a bullish sign for the longer term.  It has re-emerged from the base from which it broke out in mid July. If this holds, it confirms the implied target of xxxx. The 13-week cycle has shifted back into an up phase with a projection of xxxx ideally due no sooner than xxxxxx xx. Short-term cycles have also turned up, with highs due no sooner than xxx xxxxxx. I have added new mining picks to swing. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Subscribers, click here to download the report.

Subscription Plans

Try Lee Adler’s Gold Trader risk free for 90 days!

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gate keeper are blocking Liquiditytrader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

The strategy and tactics suggestions in this report are informational and general in nature, and illustrative of one approach. They are not investment advice. No representation is made that it is the best approach, will be profitable, or even suitable for any particular investor.

Nothing in this letter is meant as personalized investment advice and you should not construe it as such. Trading involves risk of loss, and in the case of options, the loss can be 100% of the amount invested. Any trading that you do with reference to strategies and tactics suggested in this report should be done only after consulting with your financial adviser. Trade at your own risk. 

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