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Primary Dealers Deleverage and Grow Cautious

As the Fed has cut back on QE, Primary Dealers have also cut back their inventories of Treasuries and the leverage that they use to finance them. That’s not bullish. Here are the details and a few charts along with a suggested strategy to play the dealers’ game, not the one they want you to play as they set up new traders for the kill.

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Miners Are Interesting While Boring for Gold

There are 5 mining picks on our chart list while digging gold patiently.

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Bulls Come Back to Work

The long holiday weekend has ended and bulls are back at their desks.

Bullish on Biden’s growing lead in the polls, right? Because when the market was going down 2 weeks ago, the papers said that was because the market feared Biden. I guess traders switched sides, because the charts sure look bullish again all of a sudden.

Wow.

Here’s what to look for to signal that this is for real. Along with a few ideas on how to ride it.

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June Swoon

The Treasury’s numbers are in for June and they’re not good. First things first. The BLS jobs data is just BS.

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Act on real-time reality!

The Virus Is the Economy

The VIrus is the Economy

Common sense says that as case numbers increase, tax collections would fall and vice versa, REGARDLESS of whether governments imposed lockdowns. So my expectation was that as governors across the country lifted restrictions, case numbers would rise, and tax collections would fall.

Well here we are.

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IF YOU WANT TO KNOW WHAT’S HAPPENIN NOW, before even the Street does, read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days!

Act on real-time reality!

Gold Breaks Out, or Does It?

Gold has edged above resistance this morning. Is it a breakout, and if so, what does it mean? This report has answers and a few mining picks to dig.

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Early, But It’s a Potential Crash Setup Again

There are no guarantees in this game. Crashes are extremely rare events. But these are extreme times, and this particular setup calls for extreme caution.

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As Bad As Next Week Will Be

The imbalance between Fed QE and Treasury supply is ugly as as it gets for the next week, but then it gets less ugly. Here’s what you need to know and how you need to see it to trade successfully.

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Here’s What Could Start a New Gold Rush

Gold is poised for a breakout. Here’s what to look for and a couple new mining picks to swing.

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Beware of the Rub That Will Irritate Markets

We know that total liquidity is still growing. The Fed is still printing and pumping money into the system at an historic rate. That rate is well above the norms of the original QE back in 2009-10, but well below the peak panic levels of March and April. The Fed has been dialing it back from the extreme pumping it reached at the market bottom in March.

Ay, but theres’s a rub, and it’s not barbecue. It’s an irritant. And the markets won’t like it.

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