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Category: 1 – Liquidity Trader

Reports on the Fed and Treasury, Primary Dealers, real time Federal tax collections, foreign central banks, US banking system, European banking system, and other factors that affect market liquidity. Resulting market strategy recommendations. 7-8 reports each month. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

Danger! Market Liquidity Is About To Get Very Tight

With the lifting of the debt ceiling the market’s tailwind is about to change direction. A gale force wind will blow the other way.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 9PM Pacific Time, Tuesday July 23 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Stupidity, Greed, and Recklessness Drive Surging Loan Growth

All charts viewable full size in the report.
All charts viewable full size in the report.

Loan growth is red hot. And it’s all based on speculation. But lenders act as if there’s no risk in all these new loans. Here’s the proof, and what it means.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 10 AM Pacific Time Monday, July 15 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Wake Up! The Fed Is About to Play a Huge Joke on You

View charts full size and full resolution in the report.

The joke is on Wall Street, investors, and yes, the Fed itself. But you will be prepared to take advantage because you read this report.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 10 AM Pacific Time Monday, July 15 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

June Federal Tax Data Shows Fed Has No Excuse – Chart Corrected

NOTE: I neglected to insert the updated Withholding Tax chart in the report posted last night. The data and analysis was complete and update. Here’s the report with the updated chart. 

The tax data shows that the market rationale for the rallies in stocks and bonds is just plain wrong.  Here’s the proof, and what to do about it.

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Primary Dealer Positions Are Off The Charts DANGEROUS

Primary Dealers continue to hold historically massive net long fixed income positions. They have purchased those positions using debt, resulting in huge increases in leverage.

In the short run, all this cash makes everything look great, but don’t be misled. Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Thursday, June 27 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Everything Looks Great When the US Treasury Pumps Cash Into the Market

The US Treasury continues to pay down T-Bills. That puts cash back into the accounts of the dealers and investors that had held the securities that are being redeemed. That, in turn, continues to stoke demand for longer dated notes and bonds. It has also contributed to the demand for stocks.

In the short run, all this cash makes everything look great, but don’t be misled. Click here to download the report (Subscribers Only)

Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, June 25 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

We Knew the Treasury Paydowns Would Be Bullish, But What Now?

Last month in the Treasury Supply update (May 16) I wrote that the debt ceiling would continue to force the Treasury to pay down debt, short term T-bills in particular. I said that the paydowns “will continue until the end of Q2. That’s bullish for bonds, and possibly for stocks.”

But then I said that the picture changes radically in Q3. And that has not changed. Here’s what’s happened so far, what’s likely for the third quarter, and then the big change that’s coming. Having this information will help you to continue to take advantage of the market’s big move, and to be ready for when and how it’s likely to change.

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One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free if you subscribe today! 

Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  Join by 11:59 PM Pacific Time Saturday, June 22 and get the first month free. Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

 

Federal Budget Data is a Bad News-Bad News Story

Tax collections were strong in May except for a dip that coincided with the Nonfarm Payrolls survey. Here’s why that’s unequivocally bad news for the markets and why you need to get ready for a delayed shock reaction.

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One Month Free Trial and 90 days risk free if you subscribe today! 

Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.  New subscribers can join by 5:00 PM Pacific Time Friday, June 14 and get the first month free! Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.

Short Term Positive Liquidity, Long Term Scary

View this and all charts full size, full resolution in the report.
View charts full size and full resolution in the report.

The Composite Liquidity Indicator remains near a record extreme, and that’s scary. Here’s what you need to know.

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Not a subscriber yet? Get this report right now and read Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader risk free for 90 days! Satisfaction guaranteed or your money back.

Subscribe by 5 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, June 12 and get the first month free!

Free first month, and 90 day risk free trial offer is for first time subscribers only. Quarterly billing will begin on the 31st day unless you cancel before that date.