Menu Close

Category: 2 – Technical Trader

Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis with market trend and position ideas for investors and weekly individual stock swing trade ideas for traders. Click here to subscribe. 90 day risk free trial!

A Top is In, But Which One Is It

This looks like a 6-month cycle down phase, but ideally it should be xxxx xxxx. With cycles in gear to the xxxxxxxx, it could be xxxxx, but it will end within xxxxx and should xxxxx just as xxxxx. Then we’ll see. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

It could be xxxxxx xxxxxxx, but building xxxxxx xxxxxx takes time. In the meantime, the longer term indicators aren’t xxxx xxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxx xxxxx.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Adding Stops to Take Profits

List performance was surprisingly stable from the week before given that the previous week was already at a record level for this exercise. The average gain was 13.8% on an average holding period of 29 calendar days. That compares with an average gain of 13.1% on an average holding period of 21 calendar days in the previous week. This includes picks closed out over the course of the week and those still open. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

This week’s swing trade screens generated 23 charts which met all buy side criteria for visual review, and 31 which met all sell criteria for the week ended Friday. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

I’ve developed an additional algo to take the place of visual review for weeding out chart patterns that are not attractive low risk entries here. The net result after that overlay left just 6 charts on the buy side and 13 on the sell side. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

These are very small numbers so I won’t draw any broad market conclusions from that. However, the fact that the numbers are small confirms what we already sensed. This advance is elderly, and is therefore prone to loss of balance and falls. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

We came into the week with 13 open picks, including 10 longs and 3 shorts. Two picks were stopped out and I have no new additions this week. We’ll thus go into the next week with 11 open picks, including 3 shorts and 8 longs. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Performance was adversely affected this week by one stock that crashed after having been one of the best performers. This is part of the game, and a drawback of only doing this exercise once a week as opposed to daily. On the other hand, a weekly period has the advantage of avoiding overtrading. There’s no perfect time frame, but doing it weekly allows the trader time to live life rather than staying glued to a trading screen every day. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

The culprit in this case was xxx which surprised traders on a revenue “miss” and a weak forecast. It had been uptrending beautifully. Then there were technical warning signs earlier in the week, but unless I go to a daily schedule, which is not on my horizon, then we have to roll with it when sheet happens. That’s the reason why I like to have enough picks to spread risk, so that if one goes really bad, it’s not a killer. And this wasn’t, given that the list still had a record average gain. Voila! The more the merrier. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

By the way, a stop would not have helped since the price opened on a huge gap down, well below any reasonable stop level I may have guessed at. I’ve now indicated a stop just below major trend support. If the uptrend holds, I’ll let this ride, week to week. If not, bye-bye. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

I’ve also indicated stops on all but one of the other picks for the purpose of taking profits. Virtually all of these picks are ready to “age out.” Non-subscribers click here for access. 

I reviewed the charts produced by the screens after the application of the new test for suitable setups. I did not like the patterns on either the buy side or the sell side. Even after applying the new filter, there was still nothing that I would consider a low risk, high reward entry setup. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

On the sell side, most were in uptrends, and while they may have peaked, they will be bouncy on the way down as they hit trend support. Again, not ideal entries. I’ll look for sell signals on the rebounds to lower highs for better shorts. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Market Flies Blind in Thin Air

A market in the stratosphere is flying blind, with no cycle projections in either direction. So how do we know whether a stall might be imminent? The short answer is that we don’t. It’s a matter of being on the alert for signs every week. For now, there are only hints that the upside is xxxxxx xxxxxx but xxxxx xxxxx that the downside will xxxxxx xxxxxxxx before another xxxx to end the 10-12 month cycle up phase.  Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – What to Do With Profitable Week Behind

Swing trade screens generated 32 charts which met all buy side criteria for visual review, and 28 which met all sell criteria for the week ended Thursday. Non-subscribers click here for access. 

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

List performance improved from the week before. The average gain was 13.1% on an average holding period of 21 calendar days. This includes picks closed out over the course of the week and those still open. It compared with an average gain of 7.4% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days, the previous week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

The list’s current performance has reached a level where it has maxed out in the past, suggesting some drawdown ahead. But there’s only one outright sell signal. I’m adding a tight stop to that chart. See table below for all particulars. Non-subscribers click here for access.

This morning, I reviewed all of the charts produced by the screens. Here’s what I came up with for the week ahead. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

How Stocks Can Forestall the Inevitable

If the rally doesn’t broaden and gain strength this week then it’s probably on its last legs, and set for a big correction. Any broadening this week would forestall that indefinitely.  Here are the specific levels and time frames to watch to know what comes next. . Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – Read My List, No New Shorts

Based on Thursday’s closing prices, the swing trade screens generated 57 charts which met all buy side criteria for visual review, and 75 which met all sell criteria. This again suggests that this is a mature up-move, not one in its early stages. However, the margin and total numbers are too small to suggest a broad extended downturn.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

List performance improved from the week before. The average gain was 7.4% on an average holding period of 25 calendar days. That’s versus a gain of 4.8% on an average holding period of 26 days, the previous week. This includes picks closed out over the course of the week and those still open. Non-subscribers click here for access.

The list’s current recovery is more than sufficient to overtake the net loss on all closeouts in February, which had a net loss of 4.2% on an average holding period of 17 calendar days. This does not include the 12 remaining open positions currently on the list, which have an average gain of 13.8% on an average holding period of 23 days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

This morning, I reviewed all of the charts produced by the screens. I was skeptical about the sell signals since they were mostly from stocks still in uptrends. While some of them will crack, most won’t and I don’t like the odds against shorting stocks in uptrends. The remainder had already been downtrending for months, or were stuck in ranges with multiple whipsaw signals. I skipped those as well. Non-subscribers click here for access.

On the buy side, most charts again looked to be too late in the game, but there were 3 that I liked for their potential to be late-stage movers, or long-term breakouts that look likely to extend. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Tracking of the new picks will assume a half position purchase on the opening price and half on the close as of today, March 1. Non-subscribers click here for access.

3 picks hit stops since the last report and 4 others were closed out as of last week’s opening print. I have added or adjusted stops on several of the remaining picks. The rest I’m content to let ride for this week. The table below shows open picks and those closed out last week. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Charts Say- All Important Monday

If the rally doesn’t stop right here, it will head for multiple targets over the next few months. Here are those targets and ideal timing. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – What Happens When Not Holding the Mag Seven

Despite the huge gains on Thursday there were only 39 charts which met all my buy side criteria in the screens, and 26 with meeting final sell criteria. It suggests that this is a mature up-move, not one just getting started. By the same token it shows no sign of an imminent downturn.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

List performance was disappointing in light of the big move. That’s because I had too many shorts on the list. The average gain was just 4.8% on an average holding period of 26 calendar days. That’s versus 2.8% on an average holding period of 18 days, the previous week.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

It’s disappointing not to take full advantage of that huge gain. On the other hand, buying and holding the Magnificent Seven for the past couple of years would have been brilliant… Right… what they say about hindsight.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

If you’ve known me for a long time, you know that I am more comfortable shorting stocks than buying them. That’s been the weakness in this process in the past 18 months. I’ve been fascinated by those stocks that the screens are spitting out on the sell side, but shorting them hasn’t worked well. The downsides have been limited, if they emerge at all.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

This morning, I looked at the 26 charts on the sell side with interest to see if any of them stood out. Upon visual review, let’s just say that I was underwhelmed, which skepticism would have served better if I had applied it 4 weeks ago. But I did cave on two of them, and added them to the list on the short side as shown on the table below.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

On the buy side, most charts looked to be too late in the game, but there were 6 that I liked for their potential to be late-stage movers, or long-term breakouts that look likely to extend.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

All tracking, except for one pick, will start assuming half the purchase on the opening price and half on the close as of today, February 23. The exception is based on a limit price being hit at some point prior to the next update. These are all shown on the table below.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

6 picks hit stops since the last report. I will close out 2 shorts as of the opening print today. I have added or adjusted stops on several of the remaining picks. The rest I’m content to let ride for this week. The table below shows open picks and those closed out last week.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Charts Say- Read My Lips, One More Rally

There are indications of top formation in the 6-month cycle and 6-8 week cycles. But projections suggest at least one more rally with new highs targeted around xxx xxxx. The 10-12 month cycle high isn’t due until xxxxxxxxxxx, with the projection widening to xxxx-xxxx. Non subscribers click here to access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

In the short run, the 13-week cycle still has time on the meter for its up phase, with a projection of xxxx and a high due in xxx xxxx xxxx xxxxx.   Non subscribers click here to access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

_______________________________________

These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, intended for an audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Swing Trade Screen Picks – List Recovers Both Ways.

Over the past two trading sessions there were 102 charts with a second buy signal on the week, and 192 with a second sell signal. That includes signals from Tuesday’s big selloff and Wednesday’s big rebound. The bears still had the bigger numbers. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Technical Trader subscribers click here to download the complete report.

There were too many to review visually, so I added a filter to test 6-month cycle status. After applying that, there were 59 buys and still 174 sells. That speaks for itself. Non-subscribers click here for access.

List performance improved in the past week with an average gain of 2.8% on an average holding period of 18 days. That compares with the February 6 status of an approximate breakeven with an average holding period of 17 calendar days. Non-subscribers click here for access.

I am standing pat on the list this week. Yesterday, due to a Windows update meltdown, I was forced to reboot my computer 10 times until I finally was able to get it running smoothly again at 10 PM last night. As a result I was not able to accomplish the tasks I normally would have. So I will set aside looking for new picks for this week. We already have a very substantial list. Non-subscribers click here for access.

3 picks hit stops last week. I have added or adjusted stops on several of the remaining picks. The rest I’m content to let ride for this week. The table shows open picks and those closed out last week. Non-subscribers click here for acces.

Table of picks and performance in the subscriber report. Non-subscribers click here for access.

Not a subscriber? Get price and time targets, and weekly swing trade chart picks, risk free for 90 days! 

The strategy and tactics opinions expressed in this report illustrate one particular approach to trading. No representation is made that it is the best approach, or even suitable for any particular investor. This is a developmental and experimental exercise, for the purpose of providing experienced chart traders with ideas and concepts to use or not use as they see fit.

Nothing in this report is meant as individual investment advice and you should not construe it as such. These picks are illustrative and theoretical.

This public report is not the full report.  Only subscribers have access to the full report and regular tracking of the theoretical picks and closeouts made in the reports.  Non-subscribers click here for access.

Attention New Subscribers! Please check your spam folder for your subscription welcome messages and post notifications and whitelist Liquiditytrader.com. Some email providers like Hotmail and others which use the Proofpoint gatekeeper are blocking Liquidity Trader emails completely. I have been unable to get them to stop. Please notify them to “Let my emails go!”

If you continue to have issues receiving Liquidity Trader emails, just check here daily at 9 AM ET for the latest posts.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

%d bloggers like this: